BTTS stands for both teams to score, and it represents one of the most popular betting markets for a reason. Betting on BTTS requires less information than most bets – there’s no guesswork behind how many total goals there will be in the game, and no guesswork behind predicting the winning team. To win the bet, you must only decide if both teams will score at least one goal in the game. This type of bet is unique and simple because you can use team traits and behaviours to help predict and rationalise your decision.
This market also has a mathematical appeal, as a bet of BTTS yes will win regardless if the final score is a 1-1, 2-1, 3-2, or any score in which both teams score. In traditional betting, a draw is a particularly frustrating event because it strikes one of the most important aspects of accurately predicting the score. For some bettors, predicting results is too unpredictable. BTTS is a great alternative as it allows players to express an opinion on the attacking and defensive skills of both teams.
At Footy Prediction and similar sites, you can find Free BTTS Predictions with information such as each team’s most recent games in which they did or did not keep a clean sheet, as well as games in which they did or did not score, to help make a more educated decision when betting on which games will have goals scored by both teams.
The Data Foundation of a Good BTTS Selection
Fundamentally, successful predictions for BTTS are built from the same data: how many matches the team scores in, and how many matches the team concedes. Scoring frequency and clean sheet percentages answer these questions very well. A team that scores in nine out of ten of their latest matches tends to lead to BTTS yes outcomes. Conversely, a team that has kept clean sheets in six out of eight of their latest matches tends to lead to BTTS yes outcomes in that fixture.
Scoring Frequency Is Not the Same as Goal Volume
Another aspect of BTTS yes predictions is the volume of goals that a team scores in a match. If a team scores in every match, but as a team only scores one goal per match, that team contributes to BTTS more than a team that scores in every fifth match, but scores four goals in a single match. It is preferable for a team to score every match than for a team to score a lot of goals every now and then.
Reading Defensive Records Honestly
Clean sheet percentage is a great defensive statistic for BTTS research. However, quality or position of opposing teams must be considered when drawing conclusions. A team that keeps clean sheets against the three lowest teams in the league may seem solid, but in reality, they could be a poor defensive team. If a team has the same record against teams in the top-half, it would suggest they are likely to be a solid defensive team and be a good predictor for a tough upcoming match.
When BTTS Yes Makes the Strongest Case
The strongest BTTS yes cases arise when both teams are poor defensively, but are good at scoring. If both teams have scored in at least 8 of their last ten matches, and both teams have conceded in at least 7 of those matches, the case for BTTS yes is very strong. If there has been a consistent trend in their past matches where both teams have been good at scoring, BTTS yes is even more likely to occur.
High-Risk Matches and Tactical Context
When looking at team statistics, context may be more important than the statistics themselves. Matches with high-stakes scenarios, such as matches with a draw that would be sufficient for a team to progress, or matches where one team is likely to defend a lead, may lead to an expectation that both teams will score despite the statistics showing that it is likely. When performing an analysis, look at the context and what both teams are trying to accomplish in addition to the statistics.
Building BTTS Into Accumulators
Single BTTS selections have a defined and independent probability meaning that they are good selections to form a BTTS accumulator bet with good value and high return. When both teams score and concede consistently, the likelihood of the matches being BTTS is high. The aim is to avoid poor selections and matches simply to increase the number of selections in the accumulator.
BTTS No: The Underused Reverse Market
Most bettors emphasise BTTS Yes, but it is evident that, with the right circumstances, BTTS No can be equally profitable, as it is often severely undervalued. Situations such as when a defensively strong team with multiple recent clean sheets is pitted against a team with a poor overall scoring record with a conservative tactical game plan. In this instance, BTTS No is quite a good value selection as the market typically biases toward the scoring of goals.
Conclusion
BTTS predictions focus on the observable traits of a team, and the evidence to support this is seen through scoring and defending statistics, as these are simply documented across leagues. BTTS No selections are based on these statistics rather than on an impression or a guess, and when combined with a tactical overlay across the context of the game, this is arguably one of the best returns a bettor can make when utilizing the specialists’ offerings to the football market.