Cherno More Varna Vs Septemvri Sofia
Cherno More Varna Vs Septemvri Sofia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
First League

2 : 0 FT
Oct 24th
Septemvri SofiaCherno More Varna: Matches Played 10
3 Wins
In last 10 games
5 Losses
In last 10 games
2 Draws
In last 10 games
Septemvri Sofia: Matches Played 10
2 Wins
In last 10 games
7 Losses
In last 10 games
1 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Septemvri Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Cherno More Varna
Septemvri Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Last Matches (Cherno More Varna)
Marek
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
CSKA Sofia
Cherno More Varna
CSKA 1948
Last Matches (Septemvri Sofia)
Septemvri Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
Levski Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
League Table
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
Dunav Ruse
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Septemvri SofiaTop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2.9
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 94.5% | 5.5% |
| 1.5 goals | 78.5% | 21.5% |
| 2.5 goals | 55.4% | 44.6% |
| 3.5 goals | 33% | 67% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
58.6%
No
41.4%
1X
62.4%
12
75.2%
X2
62.4%
1-1
11.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
1-0
8%
0-1
8%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
5.8%
0-2
5.8%
1 / 1
22.3%
1 / X
5.3%
1 / 2
2.4%
X / 1
12.9%
X / X
14.1%
X / 2
12.9%
2 / 1
2.4%
2 / X
5.3%
2 / 2
22.3%
Home -1.25
36.3%
odds 2.60
Away -1.25
63.7%
odds 1.48
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 8.5
51.6%
odds 1.78
Under 8.5
48.4%
odds 1.90
Implied from Marathonbet odds.
Implied from Bet365 anytime-scorer odds (margin included, not devigged across players).
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Cherno More Varna
Advice: Double chance : Cherno More Varna or draw
Expected goals: 2.9
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Cherno More Varna
Septemvri Sofia
Average Event Minute
Cherno More Varna
Septemvri Sofia
Season Statistics
| Cherno More Varna | Septemvri Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | DLLLLWLLDDL | DLLLWWDLLLL |
| Played | 11 | 11 |
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1 | 0.9 |
| Goals against (avg) | 2 | 1.9 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 |
| Biggest win streak | 1 | 2 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.
Cherno More Varna
Septemvri Sofia
Trends
5 match streak · First League
Septemvri Sofia have conceded in each of their last 5 matches in First League.
4 match streak · First League
Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Septemvri Sofia's last 4 matches in First League.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Cherno More Varna
H · 21 Oct
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2/5H · 24 Oct
Septemvri Sofia
1/5A · 31 Oct
Slavia Sofia
3/5H · 7 Nov
Botev Vratsa
2/5A · 21 Nov
Spartak Varna
3/5H · 28 Nov
Botev Plovdiv
4/5A · 5 Dec
Ludogorets
4/5H · 13 Feb
CSKA 1948
4/5Septemvri Sofia
A · 24 Oct
Cherno More Varna
1/5H · 31 Oct
Lokomotiv Sofia
2/5A · 7 Nov
Arda Kardzhali
3/5H · 21 Nov
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2/5H · 28 Nov
Levski Sofia
5/5A · 5 Dec
CSKA Sofia
5/5H · 13 Feb
Spartak Varna
3/5A · 20 Feb
CSKA 1948
4/5Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia Prediction & Tips
Cherno More Varna took on Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria First League. Cherno More Varna had won 1 and drawn 3 of their 11 league games this season, while Septemvri Sofia have 2 wins and 2 draws from 11.
Our model favoured Cherno More Varna as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.9, with both teams to score rated at 58.6%. The published tip for this match was Under 3.5 at a 83% win probability.
Published by
Victor Moses
Football Analyst & Predictor
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Match Preview
Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia Prediction & Match Preview
League: Bulgaria : First League
Date: Sat, Oct 24th 2026
Venue: Ticha,