Nacional AC MG Vs Venda Nova

Nacional AC MG Vs Venda Nova Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mineiro - 3

Nacional AC MG

1 : 1 FT

Oct 17th

Venda Nova

Prediction Odds Confidence

Under 3.5 1.24

WON

Nacional AC MG: Matches Played 10

WWWL

4 Wins

In last 10 games

4 Losses

In last 10 games

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Venda Nova: Matches Played 4

WWDW

3 Wins

In last 4 games

0 Losses

In last 4 games

1 Draws

In last 4 games

Home Draw Away

10% 2.15

45% 3.40

45% 2.75

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H

No head-to-head data yet.

Last Matches (Nacional AC MG)

10 October 2026 • Mineiro - 3

Novo Esporte Clube

1 0

Nacional AC MG

5 October 2026 • Mineiro - 3

Nacional AC MG

2 1

Nova Lavras

25 September 2026 • Mineiro - 3

Inter de Minas

0 1

Nacional AC MG

21 September 2026 • Mineiro - 3

Nacional AC MG

3 0

Santarritense

21 June 2025 • Mineiro - 2

Valeriodoce

2 2

Nacional AC MG

14 June 2025 • Mineiro - 2

Nacional AC MG

0 3

North Esporte

7 June 2025 • Mineiro - 2

Betim

0 0

Nacional AC MG

31 May 2025 • Mineiro - 2

Nacional AC MG

2 1

Guarani MG

28 May 2025 • Mineiro - 2

Democrata SL

1 0

Nacional AC MG

25 May 2025 • Mineiro - 2

Guarani MG

2 0

Nacional AC MG

Last Matches (Venda Nova)

9 October 2026 • Mineiro - 3

Venda Nova

3 0

Inter de Minas

3 October 2026 • Mineiro - 3

Novo Esporte Clube

0 0

Venda Nova

27 September 2026 • Mineiro - 3

Santarritense

0 8

Venda Nova

19 September 2026 • Mineiro - 3

Venda Nova

2 1

Nova Lavras

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form

Venda Nova

5 3 2 0 14-2 12 11

DWDWW

Novo Esporte Clube

5 3 1 1 26-5 21 10

WWDLW

Nacional AC MG

5 3 1 1 7-3 4 10

DLWWW

Nova Lavras

5 3 0 2 21-4 17 9

WWLWL

Inter de Minas

5 1 0 4 8-10 -2 3

LLWLL

Santarritense

5 0 0 5 2-54 -52 0

LLLLL

Paracatu

5 4 0 1 12-2 10 12

WLWWW

Betim 2

5 4 0 1 6-2 4 12

LWWWW

Sao Joao del Rei

5 3 0 2 7-3 4 9

WWLLW

Araxá

5 2 0 3 6-5 1 6

WLWLL

Funorte

5 1 1 3 3-10 -7 4

LDLWL

Siderurgica

5 0 1 4 3-15 -12 1

LDLLL

See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.8

Line	Over	Under
0.5 goals	93.9%	6.1%
1.5 goals	76.9%	23.1%
2.5 goals	53%	47%
3.5 goals	30.8%	69.2%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Venda Nova

Advice: Double chance : draw or Venda Nova

Expected goals: 2.8

Form 47% / 53%

Attack 32% / 68%

Defence 33% / 67%

Poisson 0% / 100%

Overall 37.3% / 62.7%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Nacional AC MG 4/6

Venda Nova 3/4

Over 2.5

Nacional AC MG 4/6

Venda Nova 3/4

Over 3.5

Nacional AC MG 1/6

Venda Nova 1/4

BTTS (Yes)

Nacional AC MG 2/6

Venda Nova 1/4

Goals By Time Period

Nacional AC MG

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Venda Nova

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Average Event Minute

Nacional AC MG

First goal scored: 36' First goal conceded: 36' First card: 73'

Venda Nova

First goal scored: 9' First goal conceded: 5' First card: —

Season Statistics

	Nacional AC MG	Venda Nova
Form	WWWL	WWDW
Played	4	4
Wins	3	3
Draws	0	1
Losses	1	0
Goals for (avg)	1.5	3.3
Goals against (avg)	0.5	0.3
Clean sheets	2	3
Failed to score	1	1
Biggest win streak	3	2

Trends

4 match streak · Mineiro - 3

Venda Nova are unbeaten in their last 4 matches in Mineiro - 3.

3 match streak · Mineiro - 3

Venda Nova have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches in Mineiro - 3.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Nacional AC MG

H · 17 Oct

Venda Nova

5/5

Venda Nova

A · 17 Oct

Nacional AC MG

4/5

Nacional AC MG vs Venda Nova Prediction & Tips

Nacional AC MG took on Venda Nova in the Brazil Mineiro - 3. Nacional AC MG had won 3 and drawn 0 of their 4 league games this season, while Venda Nova have 3 wins and 1 draws from 4.

Our model favoured Venda Nova as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.8, with both teams to score rated at 50.5%. The published tip for this match was Under 3.5 at a 81% win probability.

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

Nacional AC MG vs Venda Nova FAQs

When did the match between Nacional AC MG and Venda Nova take place? +

The match between Nacional AC MG and Venda Nova took place on Sat, 17th Oct 2026 at 7:00 PM.

Which league is this match in? +

Brazil Mineiro - 3

What is their ranking in the league table this season? +

Nacional AC MG are 3rd on the table, while Venda Nova are 1st.

How accurate was the prediction for this match? +

The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.

Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +

Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.

How often are predictions updated? +

Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Nacional AC MG vs Venda Nova Prediction & Match Preview

League: Brazil : Mineiro - 3

Date: Sat, Oct 17th 2026

Venue: ,