VictorsPredict

Atletico Ascoli Vs Fossombrone

Atletico Ascoli Vs Fossombrone Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Serie D - Girone F

Atletico Ascoli

2:00 PM

Oct 4th

Fossombrone
Prediction Odds Confidence
Under 3.5 1.29
78%

Atletico Ascoli: Matches Played 10

LWDWL
W

4 Wins

In last 10 games

L

3 Losses

In last 10 games

D

3 Draws

In last 10 games

Fossombrone: Matches Played 10

WLWLD
W

4 Wins

In last 10 games

L

5 Losses

In last 10 games

D

1 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
10% 1.75
45% 3.40
45% 4.00

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
19 April 2026 • Serie D - Girone F
D
Atletico Ascoli
1 1
Fossombrone
7 December 2025 • Serie D - Girone F
D
Fossombrone
0 0
Atletico Ascoli
16 February 2025 • Serie D - Girone F
D
Atletico Ascoli
1 1
Fossombrone
20 October 2024 • Serie D - Girone F
L
Fossombrone
1 0
Atletico Ascoli
14 April 2024 • Serie D - Girone F
D
Fossombrone
1 1
Atletico Ascoli
3 December 2023 • Serie D - Girone F
D
Atletico Ascoli
0 0
Fossombrone
27 August 2023 • Coppa Italia Serie D
W
Atletico Ascoli
1 0
Fossombrone
Last Matches (Atletico Ascoli)
25 October 2026 • Serie D - Girone F
D
Termoli Calcio
0 0
Atletico Ascoli
18 October 2026 • Serie D - Girone F
W
Atletico Ascoli
5 1
Lanciano FC
11 October 2026 • Serie D - Girone F
W
Vigor Senigallia
1 2
Atletico Ascoli
4 October 2026 • Serie D - Girone F
L
Atletico Ascoli
0 1
Fossombrone
27 September 2026 • Serie D - Girone F
L
Real Giulianova
4 2
Atletico Ascoli
20 September 2026 • Serie D - Girone F
W
Atletico Ascoli
1 0
Sporting Trestina
16 September 2026 • Serie D - Girone F
D
L'Aquila
0 0
Atletico Ascoli
13 September 2026 • Serie D - Girone F
W
Atletico Ascoli
2 1
Maceratese
6 September 2026 • Serie D - Girone F
L
Angelana
2 0
Atletico Ascoli
8 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
D
Pineto
1 1
Atletico Ascoli
Last Matches (Fossombrone)
18 October 2026 • Serie D - Girone F
W
Ancona
2 3
Fossombrone
11 October 2026 • Serie D - Girone F
L
Fossombrone
1 2
Termoli Calcio
4 October 2026 • Serie D - Girone F
W
Atletico Ascoli
0 1
Fossombrone
27 September 2026 • Serie D - Girone F
D
Vigor Senigallia
0 0
Fossombrone
20 September 2026 • Serie D - Girone F
L
Fossombrone
2 4
Lanciano FC
16 September 2026 • Serie D - Girone F
W
Sporting Trestina
0 1
Fossombrone
12 September 2026 • Serie D - Girone F
L
Fossombrone
0 4
L'Aquila
6 September 2026 • Serie D - Girone F
W
Real Giulianova
1 2
Fossombrone
1 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
L
Cesena
3 0
Fossombrone
3 May 2026 • Serie D - Girone F
L
Recanatese
2 0
Fossombrone

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Teramo
10 8 1 1 26-13 13 25
WWWWW
2
L'Aquila
10 7 3 0 20-7 13 24
DWWWW
3
Ancona
10 6 2 2 18-8 10 20
WWLWW
4
Foligno Calcio
10 6 1 3 14-11 3 19
WLLWW
5
Notaresco
10 4 4 2 13-9 4 16
DDWWW
6
Vigor Senigallia
10 5 1 4 18-20 -2 16
LLWLL
7
Montecchio Gallo
10 4 3 3 13-10 3 15
WDWLL
8
Atletico Ascoli
10 4 2 4 13-11 2 14
LDWWL
9
Fossombrone
10 4 2 4 12-17 -5 14
DLWLW
10
Real Giulianova
10 4 1 5 12-14 -2 13
LWWLW
11
Termoli Calcio
10 3 3 4 6-7 -1 12
DDLWW
12
Lanciano FC
10 3 2 5 14-17 -3 11
LDLWL
13
Maceratese
10 3 2 5 13-17 -4 11
WDLLW
14
Sporting Trestina
10 3 1 6 7-14 -7 10
WWLLL
15
Recanatese
10 2 3 5 12-15 -3 9
LWLLL
16
Santegidiese
10 2 3 5 8-13 -5 9
DLLLL
17
Pietralunga
10 2 3 5 5-10 -5 9
DLWWL
18
Angelana
10 1 1 8 5-16 -11 4
LLLLL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.6

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals92.6%7.4%
1.5 goals73.3%26.7%
2.5 goals48.2%51.8%
3.5 goals26.4%73.6%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Fossombrone

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fossombrone

Expected goals: 2.6

Form 50% / 50%
Attack 50% / 50%
Defence 56% / 44%
Poisson 50% / 50%
Head-to-head 36% / 64%
Goals 43% / 57%
Overall 47.5% / 52.5%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Atletico Ascoli 3/6
Fossombrone 3/6

Over 2.5

Atletico Ascoli 3/6
Fossombrone 3/6

Over 3.5

Atletico Ascoli 2/6
Fossombrone 2/6

BTTS (Yes)

Atletico Ascoli 3/6
Fossombrone 3/6

Goals By Time Period

Atletico Ascoli

1
0-15
4
16-30
2
31-45
1
46-60
61-75
2
76+

Fossombrone

1
0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
3
46-60
1
61-75
1
76+

Average Event Minute

Atletico Ascoli

First goal scored: 16' First goal conceded: 39' First card: —

Fossombrone

First goal scored: 48' First goal conceded: 41' First card: 82'

Season Statistics

Atletico AscoliFossombrone
Form
LWDWL
WLWLD
Played55
Wins22
Draws11
Losses22
Goals for (avg)11
Goals against (avg)1.41.8
Clean sheets22
Failed to score22
Biggest win streak11

Trends

3 match streak · Serie D - Girone F

Atletico Ascoli are unbeaten in their last 3 matches in Serie D - Girone F.

3 match streak · Serie D - Girone F

Fossombrone have scored in each of their last 3 matches in Serie D - Girone F.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Atletico Ascoli

A · 1 Nov

Ancona

5/5

H · 8 Nov

Teramo

5/5

A · 15 Nov

Pietralunga

1/5

H · 22 Nov

Santegidiese

1/5

A · 29 Nov

Recanatese

2/5

H · 6 Dec

Foligno Calcio

4/5

A · 13 Dec

Notaresco

4/5

H · 20 Dec

Montecchio Gallo

4/5

Fossombrone

H · 25 Oct

Teramo

5/5

A · 1 Nov

Pietralunga

1/5

H · 8 Nov

Santegidiese

1/5

A · 15 Nov

Recanatese

2/5

H · 22 Nov

Foligno Calcio

4/5

A · 29 Nov

Notaresco

4/5

H · 6 Dec

Montecchio Gallo

4/5

A · 13 Dec

Angelana

1/5

Atletico Ascoli vs Fossombrone Prediction & Tips

Atletico Ascoli takes on Fossombrone in the Italy Serie D - Girone F on Sunday, 4 October 2026. Atletico Ascoli have won 2 and drawn 1 of their 5 league games this season, while Fossombrone have 2 wins and 1 draws from 5.

Our model favours Fossombrone as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.6, with both teams to score rated at 52.6%. The published tip for this match is Under 3.5 at a 78% win probability.

V

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

Atletico Ascoli vs Fossombrone FAQs

When is the match between Atletico Ascoli and Fossombrone? +
The match between Atletico Ascoli and Fossombrone is scheduled for Sun, 4th Oct 2026 at 2:00 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
Italy Serie D - Girone F
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
Atletico Ascoli are 8th on the table, while Fossombrone are 9th.
How accurate is the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match is based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Is the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Atletico Ascoli vs Fossombrone Prediction & Match Preview

League: Italy : Serie D - Girone F

Date: Sun, Oct 4th 2026

Venue: ,