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LeaguesSarnese Vs Paganese
Sarnese Vs Paganese Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Serie D - Girone G
2:30 PM
Oct 4th
PaganeseSarnese: Matches Played 10
6 Wins
In last 10 games
2 Losses
In last 10 games
2 Draws
In last 10 games
Paganese: Matches Played 10
5 Wins
In last 10 games
3 Losses
In last 10 games
2 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
Sarnese
PaganeseSarnesePaganeseSarneseLast Matches (Sarnese)
AranovaSarnese
Atletico LodigianiSarnese
OsseseSarnese
Venafro
AfragoleseSarnese
CaveseLast Matches (Paganese)Paganese
TrasteverePaganese
Latte DolcePaganese
Martina Franca
Città di FasanoPaganese
GravinaPaganeseLeague Table
Sarnese
Monastir
Certosa V. CampagnanoAranovaTrasteverePaganeseUnipomeziaOssese
Albalonga
AnzioCittà di AnagniAfragoleseGelbison
Sarrabus OgliastraVenafroBudoniLatte DolceAtletico LodigianiTop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 3.4
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 96.6% | 3.4% |
| 1.5 goals | 85.3% | 14.7% |
| 2.5 goals | 66% | 34% |
| 3.5 goals | 44.1% | 55.9% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
66.6%
No
33.4%
1X
57.1%
12
77.5%
X2
65.4%
1-1
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
6.9%
0-1
6%
0-2
5.4%
1-0
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
1 / 1
20.6%
1 / X
5.5%
1 / 2
3.2%
X / 1
11.2%
X / X
11.6%
X / 2
13.4%
2 / 1
2.7%
2 / X
5.5%
2 / 2
26.3%
Home -0.25
47.9%
odds 1.98
Away -0.25
52.1%
odds 1.82
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 8.5
47.9%
odds 1.98
Under 8.5
52.1%
odds 1.82
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Paganese
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Paganese and +1.5 goals
Expected goals: 3.4
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Sarnese
Paganese
Average Event Minute
Sarnese
Paganese
Season Statistics
| Sarnese | Paganese | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | WDWWD | WWDWL |
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 |
| Biggest win streak | 2 | 2 |
Trends
9 match streak · Serie D - Girone G
Sarnese have scored in each of their last 9 matches in Serie D - Girone G.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Sarnese
H · 1 Nov
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2/5A · 8 Nov
Monastir
5/5H · 15 Nov
Anzio
3/5A · 22 Nov
Certosa V. Campagnano
5/5H · 29 Nov
Albalonga
3/5A · 6 Dec
Latte Dolce
1/5H · 13 Dec
Trastevere
4/5A · 20 Dec
Unipomezia
4/5Paganese
A · 4 Oct
Sarnese
5/5H · 7 Oct
Real Normanna
UnratedH · 11 Oct
Budoni
1/5A · 18 Oct
Venafro
2/5A · 25 Oct
Città di Anagni
3/5H · 1 Nov
Ossese
3/5A · 8 Nov
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2/5H · 15 Nov
Atletico Lodigiani
1/5Sarnese vs Paganese Prediction & Tips
Sarnese takes on Paganese in the Italy Serie D - Girone G on Sunday, 4 October 2026. Sarnese have won 3 and drawn 2 of their 5 league games this season, while Paganese have 3 wins and 1 draws from 5.
Our model favours Paganese as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 3.4, with both teams to score rated at 66.6%. The published tip for this match is Under 3.5 at a 77% win probability.
Published by
Victor Moses
Football Analyst & Predictor
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Match Preview
Sarnese vs Paganese Prediction & Match Preview
League: Italy : Serie D - Girone G
Date: Sun, Oct 4th 2026
Venue: ,