Castro Vs Tropezón
Castro Vs Tropezón Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3

4:00 PM
Oct 4th
TropezónCastro: Matches Played 10
1 Wins
In last 10 games
6 Losses
In last 10 games
3 Draws
In last 10 games
Tropezón: Matches Played 10
7 Wins
In last 10 games
1 Losses
In last 10 games
2 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
Castro
Tropezón
Tropezón
Castro
Tropezón
Castro
Tropezón
Castro
Castro
Tropezón
Last Matches (Castro)
Castro
Revilla
Castro
Selaya
Castro
Cartes
Castro
Revilla
Castro
Colindres
Last Matches (Tropezón)
Tropezón
Solares
Tropezón
Laredo
Arnedo
Tropezón
Tropezón
Tropezón
Guarnizo
Castro
League Table
Tropezón
Cayón
Laredo
Revilla
Vimenor
Bezana
Sámano
Torina
Atlético Mineros
Castro
Guarnizo
Selaya
Atlético Albericia
Solares
Escobedo
Naval Reinosa
Velarde
BarquereñoTop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2.4
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 90.9% | 9.1% |
| 1.5 goals | 69.2% | 30.8% |
| 2.5 goals | 43% | 57% |
| 3.5 goals | 22.1% | 77.9% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
42.6%
No
57.4%
1X
41.1%
12
75.7%
X2
83.2%
0-1
15%
0-2
12.3%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
9.1%
0-3
6.8%
1-0
6.8%
1-3
5.1%
1 / 1
9%
1 / X
4%
1 / 2
2.3%
X / 1
7%
X / X
16.2%
X / 2
19.9%
2 / 1
0.9%
2 / X
4%
2 / 2
36.8%
Home +0.75
50%
odds 1.90
Away +0.75
50%
odds 1.90
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Tropezón
Advice: Double chance : draw or Tropezón
Expected goals: 2.4
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Castro
Tropezón
Average Event Minute
Castro
Tropezón
Season Statistics
| Castro | Tropezón | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | DWDL | WWWW |
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1 | 2.3 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 |
| Biggest win streak | 1 | 4 |
Trends
4 match streak · Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
Tropezón are unbeaten in their last 4 matches in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
4 match streak · Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
Tropezón have won 4 consecutive matches in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
4 match streak · Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
Tropezón have scored in each of their last 4 matches in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Castro
H · 4 Oct
Tropezón
5/5A · 10 Oct
Atlético Albericia
2/5H · 18 Oct
Escobedo
2/5A · 25 Oct
Naval Reinosa
1/5H · 1 Nov
Barquereño
1/5A · 8 Nov
Vimenor
4/5H · 15 Nov
Guarnizo
3/5A · 22 Nov
Cayón
5/5Tropezón
A · 4 Oct
Castro
3/5H · 10 Oct
Atlético Mineros
3/5H · 18 Oct
Atlético Albericia
2/5A · 25 Oct
Escobedo
2/5H · 1 Nov
Naval Reinosa
1/5A · 8 Nov
Barquereño
1/5H · 15 Nov
Vimenor
4/5A · 22 Nov
Guarnizo
3/5Castro vs Tropezón Prediction & Tips
Castro takes on Tropezón in the Spain Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 on Sunday, 4 October 2026. Castro have won 1 and drawn 2 of their 4 league games this season, while Tropezón have 4 wins and 0 draws from 4.
Our model favours Tropezón as the more likely side (0% home, 50% draw, 50% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.4, with both teams to score rated at 42.6%. The published tip for this match is Under 3.5 at a 84% win probability.
Published by
Goodluck Basil
Football Analyst & Predictor
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Match Preview
Castro vs Tropezón Prediction & Match Preview
League: Spain : Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
Date: Sun, Oct 4th 2026
Venue: ,