VictorsPredict

Castro Vs Tropezón

Castro Vs Tropezón Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Tercera División RFEF - Group 3

Castro

4:00 PM

Oct 4th

Tropezón
Prediction Odds Confidence
Under 3.5 1.19
84%

Castro: Matches Played 10

DWDL
W

1 Wins

In last 10 games

L

6 Losses

In last 10 games

D

3 Draws

In last 10 games

Tropezón: Matches Played 10

WWWW
W

7 Wins

In last 10 games

L

1 Losses

In last 10 games

D

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
0% 3.90
50% 3.25
50% 1.83

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
9 May 2026 • Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
L
Castro
0 2
Tropezón
11 January 2026 • Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
L
Tropezón
3 1
Castro
24 May 2025 • Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
L
Tropezón
2 0
Castro
18 May 2025 • Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
L
Castro
0 1
Tropezón
19 January 2025 • Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
L
Tropezón
1 0
Castro
8 September 2024 • Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
W
Castro
2 1
Tropezón
25 February 2024 • Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
W
Tropezón
2 3
Castro
8 October 2023 • Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
L
Castro
0 2
Tropezón
22 April 2023 • Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
D
Castro
0 0
Tropezón
8 January 2023 • Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
L
Tropezón
3 1
Castro
Last Matches (Castro)
27 September 2026 • Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
L
Castro
0 2
Atlético Mineros
19 September 2026 • Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
D
Revilla
2 2
Castro
13 September 2026 • Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
W
Castro
2 0
Solares
6 September 2026 • Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
D
Selaya
0 0
Castro
9 May 2026 • Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
L
Castro
0 2
Tropezón
3 May 2026 • Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
D
Cartes
0 0
Castro
26 April 2026 • Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
L
Castro
2 3
Gimnástica Torrelavega
18 April 2026 • Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
L
Revilla
2 1
Castro
12 April 2026 • Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
L
Castro
0 1
Guarnizo
2 April 2026 • Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
L
Colindres
1 0
Castro
Last Matches (Tropezón)
27 September 2026 • Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
W
Tropezón
2 0
Revilla
19 September 2026 • Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
W
Solares
1 2
Tropezón
12 September 2026 • Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
W
Tropezón
3 0
Selaya
6 September 2026 • Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
W
Laredo
1 2
Tropezón
20 June 2026 • Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
L
Arnedo
1 0
Tropezón
13 June 2026 • Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
W
Tropezón
1 0
Arnedo
31 May 2026 • Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
D
Tropezón
0 0
Laredo
24 May 2026 • Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
W
Tropezón
3 0
Guarnizo
17 May 2026 • Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
D
Guarnizo
0 0
Tropezón
9 May 2026 • Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
W
Castro
0 2
Tropezón

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Tropezón
8 6 2 0 15-5 10 20
DDWWW
2
Cayón
9 6 2 1 11-2 9 20
WWWDW
3
Laredo
8 6 0 2 18-5 13 18
LWWWW
4
Revilla
9 5 3 1 20-12 8 18
DWWWD
5
Vimenor
9 5 2 2 13-7 6 17
DWWLL
6
Bezana
8 5 2 1 13-7 6 17
DLDWW
7
Sámano
8 3 4 1 16-8 8 13
DDWWD
8
Torina
8 2 6 0 9-3 6 12
DDDDD
9
Atlético Mineros
8 3 1 4 12-18 -6 10
DWLLW
10
Castro
8 2 2 4 10-12 -2 8
LWLLL
11
Guarnizo
8 2 2 4 10-14 -4 8
WLDDW
12
Selaya
9 2 1 6 6-14 -8 7
LLLLW
13
Atlético Albericia
8 1 3 4 10-14 -4 6
DDWDL
14
Solares
8 1 3 4 7-13 -6 6
LDDDW
15
Escobedo
8 1 3 4 7-15 -8 6
DLLDW
16
Naval Reinosa
8 1 2 5 10-19 -9 5
WLDLL
17
Velarde
8 1 2 5 5-14 -9 5
DLLLL
18
Barquereño
8 1 2 5 6-16 -10 5
LDWLL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.4

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals90.9%9.1%
1.5 goals69.2%30.8%
2.5 goals43%57%
3.5 goals22.1%77.9%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Tropezón

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tropezón

Expected goals: 2.4

Form 29% / 71%
Attack 31% / 69%
Defence 33% / 67%
Poisson 35% / 65%
Head-to-head 0% / 100%
Goals 10% / 90%
Overall 27.6% / 72.4%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Castro 4/6
Tropezón 4/6

Over 2.5

Castro 1/6
Tropezón 3/6

Over 3.5

Castro 1/6
Tropezón 0/6

BTTS (Yes)

Castro 1/6
Tropezón 2/6

Goals By Time Period

Castro

0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
1
46-60
61-75
1
76+

Tropezón

1
0-15
16-30
2
31-45
2
46-60
2
61-75
5
76+

Average Event Minute

Castro

First goal scored: 44' First goal conceded: 44' First card: 50'

Tropezón

First goal scored: 50' First goal conceded: 76' First card: —

Season Statistics

CastroTropezón
Form
DWDL
WWWW
Played44
Wins14
Draws20
Losses10
Goals for (avg)12.3
Goals against (avg)10.5
Clean sheets22
Failed to score20
Biggest win streak14

Trends

4 match streak · Tercera División RFEF - Group 3

Tropezón are unbeaten in their last 4 matches in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.

4 match streak · Tercera División RFEF - Group 3

Tropezón have won 4 consecutive matches in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.

4 match streak · Tercera División RFEF - Group 3

Tropezón have scored in each of their last 4 matches in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Castro

H · 4 Oct

Tropezón

5/5

A · 10 Oct

Atlético Albericia

2/5

H · 18 Oct

Escobedo

2/5

A · 25 Oct

Naval Reinosa

1/5

H · 1 Nov

Barquereño

1/5

A · 8 Nov

Vimenor

4/5

H · 15 Nov

Guarnizo

3/5

A · 22 Nov

Cayón

5/5

Tropezón

A · 4 Oct

Castro

3/5

H · 10 Oct

Atlético Mineros

3/5

H · 18 Oct

Atlético Albericia

2/5

A · 25 Oct

Escobedo

2/5

H · 1 Nov

Naval Reinosa

1/5

A · 8 Nov

Barquereño

1/5

H · 15 Nov

Vimenor

4/5

A · 22 Nov

Guarnizo

3/5

Castro vs Tropezón Prediction & Tips

Castro takes on Tropezón in the Spain Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 on Sunday, 4 October 2026. Castro have won 1 and drawn 2 of their 4 league games this season, while Tropezón have 4 wins and 0 draws from 4.

Our model favours Tropezón as the more likely side (0% home, 50% draw, 50% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.4, with both teams to score rated at 42.6%. The published tip for this match is Under 3.5 at a 84% win probability.

G

Published by

Goodluck Basil

Football Analyst & Predictor

Castro vs Tropezón FAQs

When is the match between Castro and Tropezón? +
The match between Castro and Tropezón is scheduled for Sun, 4th Oct 2026 at 4:00 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
Spain Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
Castro are 10th on the table, while Tropezón are 1st.
How accurate is the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match is based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Is the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Castro vs Tropezón Prediction & Match Preview

League: Spain : Tercera División RFEF - Group 3

Date: Sun, Oct 4th 2026

Venue: ,