VictorsPredict

Italy Vs Türkiye

Italy Vs Türkiye Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

UEFA Nations League

Italy

3 : 1 FT

Oct 5th

Türkiye
Prediction Odds Confidence
Under 3.5 1.36
LOST

Italy: Matches Played 10

LW
W

7 Wins

In last 10 games

L

2 Losses

In last 10 games

D

1 Draws

In last 10 games

Türkiye: Matches Played 10

LL
W

4 Wins

In last 10 games

L

6 Losses

In last 10 games

D

0 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
50% 1.40
50% 4.20
0% 6.00

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
28 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
Türkiye
1 4
Italy
4 June 2024 • Friendlies
D
Italy
0 0
Türkiye
29 March 2022 • Friendlies
W
Türkiye
2 3
Italy
11 June 2021 • Euro Championship
W
Türkiye
0 3
Italy
Last Matches (Italy)
5 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
Italy
3 1
Türkiye
2 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
D
France
1 1
Italy
28 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
Türkiye
1 4
Italy
25 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
L
Italy
0 2
Belgium
7 June 2026 • Friendlies
W
Greece
0 1
Italy
3 June 2026 • Friendlies
W
Luxembourg
0 1
Italy
26 March 2026 • World Cup - Qualification Europe
W
Italy
2 0
Northern Ireland
16 November 2025 • World Cup - Qualification Europe
L
Italy
1 4
Norway
13 November 2025 • World Cup - Qualification Europe
W
Moldova
0 2
Italy
14 October 2025 • World Cup - Qualification Europe
W
Italy
3 0
Israel
Last Matches (Türkiye)
5 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
L
Italy
3 1
Türkiye
2 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
L
Belgium
3 0
Türkiye
28 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
L
Türkiye
1 4
Italy
25 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
L
Türkiye
0 1
France
26 June 2026 • World Cup
W
Türkiye
3 2
USA
20 June 2026 • World Cup
L
Türkiye
0 1
Paraguay
14 June 2026 • World Cup
L
Australia
2 0
Türkiye
6 June 2026 • Friendlies
W
Venezuela
1 2
Türkiye
1 June 2026 • Friendlies
W
Türkiye
4 0
FYR Macedonia
31 March 2026 • World Cup - Qualification Europe
W
Kosovo
0 1
Türkiye

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Northern Ireland
4 2 2 0 4-0 4 8
DWDW
2
Hungary
4 2 1 1 3-2 1 7
WWDL
3
Ukraine
4 1 1 2 2-5 -3 4
LLDW
4
Georgia
4 0 2 2 0-2 -2 2
DLDL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 3

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals95%5%
1.5 goals80%20%
2.5 goals57.6%42.4%
3.5 goals35.2%64.8%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Italy

Advice: Double chance : Italy or draw

Expected goals: 3

Form 100% / 0%
Attack 83% / 17%
Defence 67% / 33%
Head-to-head 91% / 9%
Goals 77% / 23%
Overall 79.5% / 20.5%

Match Centre

6 Shots on Goal 5
2 Shots off Goal 5
15 Total Shots 14
7 Blocked Shots 4
12 Shots insidebox 7
3 Shots outsidebox 7
11 Fouls 9
3 Corner Kicks 9
5 Offsides 0
45% Ball Possession 55%
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
451 Total passes 554
394 Passes accurate 496
87% Passes % 90%
2.04 expected_goals 1.42
-0.29 goals_prevented -0.29
26' ⚽ Home
42' 🟨 Home
47' 🟨 Home
55' 🟨 Away
55' 🔁 Home
56' 🔁 Home
56' 🔁 Home
61' ⚽ Away
64' ⚽ Home
70' 🔁 Home
70' 🔁 Away
70' 🔁 Away
79' 🔁 Away
81' 🟨 Away
84' 🔁 Home
87' ⚽ Home
88' 🔁 Away
88' 🔁 Away

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Italy 4/6
Türkiye 4/6

Over 2.5

Italy 2/6
Türkiye 4/6

Over 3.5

Italy 2/6
Türkiye 3/6

BTTS (Yes)

Italy 3/6
Türkiye 3/6

Goals By Time Period

Italy

0-15
1
16-30
31-45
46-60
2
61-75
1
76+

Türkiye

0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
76+

Average Event Minute

Italy

First goal scored: 47' First goal conceded: 58' First card: 48'

Türkiye

First goal scored: 61' First goal conceded: 18' First card: 56'

Season Statistics

ItalyTürkiye
Form
LWD
LLL
Played33
Wins10
Draws10
Losses13
Goals for (avg)1.70.3
Goals against (avg)1.32.7
Clean sheets00
Failed to score12
Biggest win streak10

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 2 matches.

Italy

Total shots 14.5
Blocked 6.5
50% off target 50% on target
75% inside box 25% outside box
Total passes 421
Accurate passes 362 (44%)
Possession 40%

Türkiye

Total shots 18.5
Blocked 4.5
54% off target 46% on target
45% inside box 55% outside box
Total passes 498.5
Accurate passes 436.5 (45%)
Possession 51%

Trends

3 match streak · UEFA Nations League

Italy are unbeaten in their last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.

3 match streak · UEFA Nations League

Italy have scored in each of their last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.

4 match streak · UEFA Nations League

Italy have conceded in each of their last 4 matches in UEFA Nations League.

3 match streak · UEFA Nations League

Both teams have scored in each of Italy's last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.

4 match streak · UEFA Nations League

Türkiye have conceded in each of their last 4 matches in UEFA Nations League.

3 match streak · UEFA Nations League

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Türkiye's last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Italy

H · 12 Nov

France

Unrated

A · 15 Nov

Belgium

Unrated

Türkiye

H · 12 Nov

Belgium

Unrated

A · 15 Nov

France

Unrated

Italy vs Türkiye Prediction & Tips

Italy took on Türkiye in the World UEFA Nations League. Italy had won 1 and drawn 1 of their 3 league games this season, while Türkiye have 0 wins and 0 draws from 3.

Our model favoured Italy as the more likely side (50% home, 50% draw, 0% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 3, with both teams to score rated at 48.9%. The published tip for this match was Under 3.5 at a 74% win probability.

V

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

Italy vs Türkiye FAQs

When did the match between Italy and Türkiye take place? +
The match between Italy and Türkiye took place on Mon, 5th Oct 2026 at 7:45 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
World UEFA Nations League
How accurate was the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Italy vs Türkiye Prediction & Match Preview

League: World : UEFA Nations League

Date: Mon, Oct 5th 2026

Venue: ,