Italy Vs Türkiye
Italy Vs Türkiye Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
UEFA Nations League

3 : 1 FT
Oct 5th
TürkiyeItaly: Matches Played 10
7 Wins
In last 10 games
2 Losses
In last 10 games
1 Draws
In last 10 games
Türkiye: Matches Played 10
4 Wins
In last 10 games
6 Losses
In last 10 games
0 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
Türkiye
Italy
Türkiye
Türkiye
Last Matches (Italy)
Italy
France
Türkiye
Italy
Greece
Luxembourg
Italy
Italy
Moldova
Italy
Last Matches (Türkiye)
Italy
Belgium
Türkiye
Türkiye
Türkiye
Türkiye
Australia
Venezuela
Türkiye
Kosovo
League Table
Northern Ireland
Hungary
Ukraine
GeorgiaTop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 3
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 95% | 5% |
| 1.5 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 2.5 goals | 57.6% | 42.4% |
| 3.5 goals | 35.2% | 64.8% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
48.9%
No
51.1%
1X
87.7%
12
81.5%
X2
30.7%
2-0
12%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.8%
1-1
8.8%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
5%
4-0
4.9%
1 / 1
46.3%
1 / X
3.7%
1 / 2
0.8%
X / 1
20%
X / X
11.1%
X / 2
4.9%
2 / 1
3%
2 / X
3.7%
2 / 2
6.5%
Home -1.25
47.4%
odds 2.02
Away -1.25
52.6%
odds 1.82
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 9.5
52.6%
odds 1.80
Under 9.5
47.4%
odds 2.00
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 3.5
57.6%
odds 1.62
Under 3.5
42.4%
odds 2.20
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Implied from Bet365 anytime-scorer odds (margin included, not devigged across players).
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Italy
Advice: Double chance : Italy or draw
Expected goals: 3
Match Centre
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Italy
Türkiye
Average Event Minute
Italy
Türkiye
Season Statistics
| Italy | Türkiye | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | LWD | LLL |
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.3 | 2.7 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 |
| Biggest win streak | 1 | 0 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 2 matches.
Italy
Türkiye
Trends
3 match streak · UEFA Nations League
Italy are unbeaten in their last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.
3 match streak · UEFA Nations League
Italy have scored in each of their last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.
4 match streak · UEFA Nations League
Italy have conceded in each of their last 4 matches in UEFA Nations League.
3 match streak · UEFA Nations League
Both teams have scored in each of Italy's last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.
4 match streak · UEFA Nations League
Türkiye have conceded in each of their last 4 matches in UEFA Nations League.
3 match streak · UEFA Nations League
Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Türkiye's last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Italy
H · 12 Nov
France
UnratedA · 15 Nov
Belgium
UnratedTürkiye
H · 12 Nov
Belgium
UnratedA · 15 Nov
France
UnratedItaly vs Türkiye Prediction & Tips
Italy took on Türkiye in the World UEFA Nations League. Italy had won 1 and drawn 1 of their 3 league games this season, while Türkiye have 0 wins and 0 draws from 3.
Our model favoured Italy as the more likely side (50% home, 50% draw, 0% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 3, with both teams to score rated at 48.9%. The published tip for this match was Under 3.5 at a 74% win probability.
Published by
Victor Moses
Football Analyst & Predictor
Italy vs Türkiye FAQs
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Match Preview
Italy vs Türkiye Prediction & Match Preview
League: World : UEFA Nations League
Date: Mon, Oct 5th 2026
Venue: ,