VictorsPredict

Danubio Vs Cerro Largo

Danubio Vs Cerro Largo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Primera División - Apertura

Danubio

2:00 PM

Oct 4th

Cerro Largo
Prediction Odds Confidence
X 3.44

Danubio: Matches Played 10

LLDDL
W

3 Wins

In last 10 games

L

4 Losses

In last 10 games

D

3 Draws

In last 10 games

Cerro Largo: Matches Played 10

DLDLL
W

1 Wins

In last 10 games

L

5 Losses

In last 10 games

D

4 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
10% 2.00
45% 3.10
45% 3.60

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
30 March 2026 • Primera División
L
Cerro Largo
2 0
Danubio
18 August 2025 • Primera División - Clausura
L
Cerro Largo
1 0
Danubio
6 March 2025 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana
D
Cerro Largo
2 2
Danubio
15 February 2025 • Primera División - Apertura
D
Danubio
0 0
Cerro Largo
20 October 2024 • Primera División - Clausura
D
Cerro Largo
0 0
Danubio
9 June 2024 • Primera División - Apertura
D
Cerro Largo
2 2
Danubio
20 April 2024 • Primera División - Apertura
D
Danubio
1 1
Cerro Largo
2 September 2023 • Primera División - Clausura
W
Danubio
2 0
Cerro Largo
18 February 2023 • Primera División - Apertura
L
Cerro Largo
1 0
Danubio
Last Matches (Danubio)
18 October 2026 • Primera División
W
Danubio
1 0
Central Espanol
15 October 2026 • Copa Uruguay
W
Central Espanol
0 6
Danubio
9 October 2026 • Primera División
L
Atletico Torque
1 0
Danubio
4 October 2026 • Primera División
W
Danubio
2 1
Cerro Largo
27 September 2026 • Primera División
L
Defensor Sporting
1 0
Danubio
24 September 2026 • Copa Uruguay
D
Danubio
1 1
Penarol
20 September 2026 • Primera División
D
Danubio
1 1
Wanderers
13 September 2026 • Primera División
D
Juventud
1 1
Danubio
5 September 2026 • Primera División
L
Danubio
0 4
Penarol
1 September 2026 • Copa Uruguay
L
Atletico Torque
2 0
Danubio
Last Matches (Cerro Largo)
16 October 2026 • Primera División
D
Cerro
1 1
Cerro Largo
11 October 2026 • Primera División
L
Cerro Largo
0 1
Albion FC
4 October 2026 • Primera División
L
Danubio
2 1
Cerro Largo
30 September 2026 • Copa Uruguay
W
Cerro Largo
1 0
Rentistas
26 September 2026 • Primera División
L
Cerro Largo
0 2
Club Nacional
19 September 2026 • Primera División
L
Deportivo Maldonado
2 0
Cerro Largo
12 September 2026 • Primera División
D
Cerro Largo
0 0
Central Espanol
9 September 2026 • Copa Uruguay
D
Cerro Largo
1 1
Defensor Sporting
4 September 2026 • Primera División
L
Atletico Torque
2 1
Cerro Largo
30 August 2026 • Primera División
D
Cerro Largo
1 1
Liverpool Montevideo

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Penarol
34 19 8 7 51-27 24 64
DLDWD
2
Deportivo Maldonado
34 18 8 8 54-32 22 62
WLDWW
3
Atletico Torque
34 18 6 10 57-40 17 60
WLWLD
4
Club Nacional
34 18 4 12 51-41 10 58
LWWWW
5
Racing Montevideo
34 15 12 7 42-30 12 57
DWLLL
6
Liverpool Montevideo
34 15 11 8 45-31 14 56
WWDWW
7
Wanderers
34 14 8 12 41-43 -2 50
LLLWW
8
Albion FC
34 13 7 14 47-44 3 46
WWWWL
9
Juventud
34 10 11 13 37-41 -4 41
DLWDD
10
Central Espanol
34 10 8 16 33-47 -14 38
LLLLL
11
Cerro Largo
34 9 10 15 32-38 -6 37
WDLLL
12
Boston River
34 10 7 17 33-45 -12 37
LWWDL
13
Cerro
34 10 7 17 28-51 -23 37
LDWLD
14
Defensor Sporting
34 8 12 14 33-43 -10 36
DLLLW
15
Progreso
34 10 5 19 31-47 -16 35
WWDLW
16
Danubio
34 6 14 14 28-43 -15 32
LWLWL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals87.1%12.9%
1.5 goals60.7%39.3%
2.5 goals33.7%66.3%
3.5 goals15.2%84.8%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Cerro Largo

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Cerro Largo and -3.5 goals

Expected goals: 2

Form 50% / 50%
Attack 50% / 50%
Defence 47% / 53%
Poisson 57% / 43%
Head-to-head 15% / 85%
Goals 25% / 75%
Overall 40.7% / 59.3%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Danubio 3/6
Cerro Largo 4/6

Over 2.5

Danubio 2/6
Cerro Largo 1/6

Over 3.5

Danubio 1/6
Cerro Largo 0/6

BTTS (Yes)

Danubio 2/6
Cerro Largo 2/6

Goals By Time Period

Danubio

0-15
2
16-30
4
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
2
76+

Cerro Largo

0-15
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
61-75
2
76+

Average Event Minute

Danubio

First goal scored: 43' First goal conceded: 44' First card: 36'

Cerro Largo

First goal scored: 71' First goal conceded: 33' First card: 45'

Season Statistics

DanubioCerro Largo
Form
WWLDDWLDLDDDWLLLLDDDLDLDDLLDDL
WLLLLWWLWDDLLWLLWWDDWLDDDDLDLL
Played3030
Wins48
Draws149
Losses1213
Goals for (avg)0.80.9
Goals against (avg)1.31.1
Clean sheets78
Failed to score1412
Biggest win streak22

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 4 matches.

Danubio

Total shots 6.8
Blocked 0
67% off target 33% on target
Possession 36%

Cerro Largo

Total shots 5.3
Blocked 0
72% off target 28% on target
Possession 40%

Trends

3 match streak · Primera División

Cerro Largo have conceded in each of their last 3 matches in Primera División.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Danubio

A · 24 Oct

Deportivo Maldonado

5/5

Cerro Largo

H · 25 Oct

Boston River

2/5

A · 31 Oct

Racing Montevideo

4/5

Danubio vs Cerro Largo Prediction & Tips

Danubio takes on Cerro Largo in the Uruguay Primera División - Apertura on Sunday, 4 October 2026. Danubio have won 4 and drawn 14 of their 30 league games this season, while Cerro Largo have 8 wins and 9 draws from 30.

Our model favours Cerro Largo as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2, with both teams to score rated at 40.9%.

V

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

Danubio vs Cerro Largo FAQs

When is the match between Danubio and Cerro Largo? +
The match between Danubio and Cerro Largo is scheduled for Sun, 4th Oct 2026 at 2:00 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
Uruguay Primera División - Apertura
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
Danubio are 16th on the table, while Cerro Largo are 11th.
How accurate is the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match is based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Is the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Danubio vs Cerro Largo Prediction & Match Preview

League: Uruguay : Primera División - Apertura

Date: Sun, Oct 4th 2026

Venue: Gardens of the Hippodrome,