Danubio Vs Cerro Largo
Danubio Vs Cerro Largo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera División - Apertura

2:00 PM
Oct 4th
Cerro LargoDanubio: Matches Played 10
3 Wins
In last 10 games
4 Losses
In last 10 games
3 Draws
In last 10 games
Cerro Largo: Matches Played 10
1 Wins
In last 10 games
5 Losses
In last 10 games
4 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Last Matches (Danubio)
Danubio
Central Espanol
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Danubio
Juventud
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Last Matches (Cerro Largo)
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
League Table
Penarol
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
Albion FC
Juventud
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
DanubioTop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 87.1% | 12.9% |
| 1.5 goals | 60.7% | 39.3% |
| 2.5 goals | 33.7% | 66.3% |
| 3.5 goals | 15.2% | 84.8% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
40.9%
No
59.1%
1X
61.3%
12
69.7%
X2
69%
0-1
14.2%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
12.9%
1-0
12.2%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.8%
1 / 1
17.2%
1 / X
4.6%
1 / 2
1.6%
X / 1
12.4%
X / X
21.1%
X / 2
15%
2 / 1
1.3%
2 / X
4.6%
2 / 2
22.1%
Home -1.25
28.6%
odds 3.30
Away -1.25
71.4%
odds 1.32
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 8.5
51.5%
odds 1.80
Under 8.5
48.5%
odds 1.91
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 1.5
70.3%
odds 1.30
Under 1.5
29.7%
odds 3.08
Implied from 1xBet odds.
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Cerro Largo
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Cerro Largo and -3.5 goals
Expected goals: 2
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Average Event Minute
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Season Statistics
| Danubio | Cerro Largo | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | WWLDDWLDLDDDWLLLLDDDLDLDDLLDDL | WLLLLWWLWDDLLWLLWWDDWLDDDDLDLL |
| Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 8 |
| Draws | 14 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 14 | 12 |
| Biggest win streak | 2 | 2 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 4 matches.
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Trends
3 match streak · Primera División
Cerro Largo have conceded in each of their last 3 matches in Primera División.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Danubio
A · 24 Oct
Deportivo Maldonado
5/5Cerro Largo
H · 25 Oct
Boston River
2/5A · 31 Oct
Racing Montevideo
4/5Danubio vs Cerro Largo Prediction & Tips
Danubio takes on Cerro Largo in the Uruguay Primera División - Apertura on Sunday, 4 October 2026. Danubio have won 4 and drawn 14 of their 30 league games this season, while Cerro Largo have 8 wins and 9 draws from 30.
Our model favours Cerro Largo as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2, with both teams to score rated at 40.9%.
Published by
Victor Moses
Football Analyst & Predictor
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Match Preview
Danubio vs Cerro Largo Prediction & Match Preview
League: Uruguay : Primera División - Apertura
Date: Sun, Oct 4th 2026
Venue: Gardens of the Hippodrome,