VictorsPredict

Ponferradina Vs Real Avilés

Ponferradina Vs Real Avilés Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Ponferradina

0 : 2 FT

Oct 11th

Real Avilés
Prediction Odds Confidence
Under 3.5 1.21
WON

Ponferradina: Matches Played 10

DLWDW
W

4 Wins

In last 10 games

L

2 Losses

In last 10 games

D

4 Draws

In last 10 games

Real Avilés: Matches Played 10

LWDDL
W

5 Wins

In last 10 games

L

3 Losses

In last 10 games

D

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
45% 1.75
45% 3.20
10% 4.00

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
1 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
D
Ponferradina
1 1
Real Avilés
9 May 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1
W
Ponferradina
3 1
Real Avilés
31 August 2025 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1
W
Real Avilés
0 3
Ponferradina
2 August 2023 • Friendlies Clubs
D
Real Avilés
0 0
Ponferradina
Last Matches (Ponferradina)
17 October 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1
D
Zamora
1 1
Ponferradina
11 October 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1
L
Ponferradina
0 2
Real Avilés
4 October 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1
W
Ponferradina
1 0
Mirandes
27 September 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1
D
Pontevedra
1 1
Ponferradina
19 September 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1
W
Ponferradina
1 0
Mérida AD
13 September 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1
L
Deportivo La Coruña II
2 1
Ponferradina
4 September 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1
D
Ponferradina
0 0
Lugo
29 August 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1
W
UD Ourense
0 1
Ponferradina
19 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
D
Ponferradina
2 2
Real Madrid II
8 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
W
Marino de Luanco
0 3
Ponferradina
Last Matches (Real Avilés)
18 October 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1
W
Real Avilés
3 0
UD Ourense
11 October 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1
W
Ponferradina
0 2
Real Avilés
2 October 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1
L
Real Avilés
1 2
Lugo
27 September 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1
D
Barakaldo
3 3
Real Avilés
19 September 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1
D
CD Coria
1 1
Real Avilés
12 September 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1
W
Real Avilés
3 1
Unionistas de Salamanca
6 September 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1
L
Athletic Club II
2 1
Real Avilés
28 August 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1
L
Real Avilés
0 1
Pontevedra
21 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
W
Real Avilés
4 2
Sporting Gijón II
15 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
W
Mosconia
0 2
Real Avilés

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Lugo
8 7 1 0 15-4 11 22
WWWWW
2
UD Logroñés
8 5 2 1 17-11 6 17
DLWWD
3
Racing Ferrol
8 5 1 2 9-5 4 16
WWWLW
4
Mérida AD
8 4 0 4 15-12 3 12
WWWLL
5
Athletic Club II
8 3 3 2 13-10 3 12
LDLWD
6
Zamora
8 3 3 2 10-8 2 12
DDWWL
7
Cultural Leonesa
8 3 3 2 9-7 2 12
DWLDW
8
Cacereño
8 3 3 2 7-5 2 12
LDLDW
9
Ponferradina
8 3 3 2 6-6 0 12
DLWDW
10
Real Avilés
8 3 2 3 14-10 4 11
WWLDD
11
Pontevedra
8 3 2 3 10-10 0 11
WLLDD
12
Mirandes
8 3 2 3 10-10 0 11
LDLWD
13
Real Unión
8 2 4 2 15-13 2 10
DDDLD
14
Extremadura 1924
8 3 1 4 11-10 1 10
DWWLL
15
Barakaldo
8 2 3 3 8-10 -2 9
WLDDL
16
Deportivo La Coruña II
8 2 2 4 8-11 -3 8
LLLWD
17
CD Coria
8 2 2 4 12-16 -4 8
WLLDD
18
Unionistas de Salamanca
8 2 1 5 10-14 -4 7
LDWLW
19
UD Ourense
8 1 2 5 3-13 -10 5
LWDDL
20
Arenas Getxo
8 0 2 6 5-22 -17 2
LLDLL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.2

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals89.5%10.5%
1.5 goals65.7%34.3%
2.5 goals39.1%60.9%
3.5 goals19.1%80.9%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Ponferradina

Advice: Combo Double chance : Ponferradina or draw and -3.5 goals

Expected goals: 2.2

Form 62% / 38%
Attack 31% / 69%
Defence 75% / 25%
Poisson 100% / 0%
Head-to-head 80% / 20%
Goals 78% / 22%
Overall 65.2% / 34.8%

Match Centre

8' 🟨 Away
29' 🟨 Away
33' 🟨 Home
44' 🟨 Away
45' 🟨 Home
46' 🔁 Home
46' 🔁 Home
48' 🔁 Away
52' 🟨 Home
59' 🔁 Home
67' ⚽ Away
68' 🔁 Away
68' 🔁 Away
69' 🔁 Home
79' 🔁 Away
79' 🔁 Away
84' ⚽ Away
86' 🟨 Home
86' 🔁 Home
90' 🟨 Away
90' 🟥 Away

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Ponferradina 4/6
Real Avilés 6/6

Over 2.5

Ponferradina 1/6
Real Avilés 4/6

Over 3.5

Ponferradina 0/6
Real Avilés 2/6

BTTS (Yes)

Ponferradina 3/6
Real Avilés 4/6

Goals By Time Period

Ponferradina

1
0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
76+

Real Avilés

1
0-15
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
2
61-75
2
76+

Average Event Minute

Ponferradina

First goal scored: 38' First goal conceded: 51' First card: 29'

Real Avilés

First goal scored: 34' First goal conceded: 67' First card: 40'

Season Statistics

PonferradinaReal Avilés
Form
WDLWDW
LLWDDL
Played66
Wins31
Draws22
Losses13
Goals for (avg)0.81.5
Goals against (avg)0.51.7
Clean sheets40
Failed to score11
Biggest win streak11

Trends

7 match streak · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Real Avilés have scored in each of their last 7 matches in Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Ponferradina

H · 24 Oct

Barakaldo

2/5

A · 27 Oct

Llanera

Unrated

A · 31 Oct

Racing Ferrol

5/5

A · 8 Nov

Cultural Leonesa

4/5

H · 15 Nov

Cacereño

4/5

H · 22 Nov

Extremadura 1924

2/5

A · 29 Nov

CD Coria

2/5

H · 6 Dec

UD Logroñés

5/5

Real Avilés

H · 24 Oct

UD Logroñés

5/5

A · 31 Oct

Real Unión

2/5

H · 6 Nov

Extremadura 1924

2/5

A · 15 Nov

Zamora

4/5

A · 22 Nov

Arenas Getxo

1/5

H · 29 Nov

Mirandes

3/5

A · 6 Dec

Deportivo La Coruña II

2/5

H · 13 Dec

Mérida AD

4/5

Ponferradina vs Real Avilés Prediction & Tips

Ponferradina took on Real Avilés in the Spain Primera División RFEF - Group 1. Ponferradina had won 3 and drawn 2 of their 6 league games this season, while Real Avilés have 1 wins and 2 draws from 6.

Our model favoured Ponferradina as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.2, with both teams to score rated at 45.1%. The published tip for this match was Under 3.5 at a 83% win probability.

P

Published by

Pá Vick

Football Analyst & Predictor

Ponferradina vs Real Avilés FAQs

When did the match between Ponferradina and Real Avilés take place? +
The match between Ponferradina and Real Avilés took place on Sun, 11th Oct 2026 at 3:30 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
Spain Primera División RFEF - Group 1
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
Ponferradina are 9th on the table, while Real Avilés are 10th.
How accurate was the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Ponferradina vs Real Avilés Prediction & Match Preview

League: Spain : Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Date: Sun, Oct 11th 2026

Venue: ,