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LeaguesFrance Vs Italy
France Vs Italy Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
UEFA Nations League
7:45 PM
Oct 2nd
ItalyFrance: Matches Played 10
7 Wins
In last 10 games
2 Losses
In last 10 games
1 Draws
In last 10 games
Italy: Matches Played 10
7 Wins
In last 10 games
2 Losses
In last 10 games
1 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
Italy
FranceFranceFranceLast Matches (France)France
FranceBelgium
TürkiyeFrance
France
France
ParaguayFrance
NorwayLast Matches (Italy)ItalyFranceTürkiyeItaly
Greece
LuxembourgItaly
Italy
MoldovaItaly
League Table
Northern Ireland
Hungary
Ukraine
GeorgiaTop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2.2
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 89.5% | 10.5% |
| 1.5 goals | 65.7% | 34.3% |
| 2.5 goals | 39.1% | 60.9% |
| 3.5 goals | 19.1% | 80.9% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
45.1%
No
54.9%
1X
70.4%
12
71.5%
X2
58%
1-0
13.2%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
10.5%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.3%
1 / 1
24.5%
1 / X
4.8%
1 / 2
1.4%
X / 1
15.6%
X / X
18.9%
X / 2
11.6%
2 / 1
1.9%
2 / X
4.8%
2 / 2
16.5%
Home -1.25
48.7%
odds 1.98
Away -1.25
51.3%
odds 1.88
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 8.5
53.6%
odds 1.73
Under 8.5
46.4%
odds 2.00
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 3.5
50%
odds 1.83
Under 3.5
50%
odds 1.83
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Implied from Bet365 anytime-scorer odds (margin included, not devigged across players).
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: France
Advice: Double chance : France or draw
Expected goals: 2.2
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
France
Italy
Average Event Minute
France
Italy
Season Statistics
| France | Italy | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | WW | LW |
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1 | 2 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 |
| Biggest win streak | 2 | 0 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 2 matches.
France
Italy
Trends
4 match streak · UEFA Nations League
France are unbeaten in their last 4 matches in UEFA Nations League.
4 match streak · UEFA Nations League
France have scored in each of their last 4 matches in UEFA Nations League.
3 match streak · UEFA Nations League
Italy are unbeaten in their last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.
3 match streak · UEFA Nations League
Italy have scored in each of their last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.
4 match streak · UEFA Nations League
Italy have conceded in each of their last 4 matches in UEFA Nations League.
3 match streak · UEFA Nations League
Both teams have scored in each of Italy's last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
France
A · 12 Nov
Italy
UnratedH · 15 Nov
Türkiye
UnratedItaly
H · 12 Nov
France
UnratedA · 15 Nov
Belgium
UnratedFrance vs Italy Prediction & Tips
France takes on Italy in the World UEFA Nations League on Friday, 2 October 2026. France have won 2 and drawn 0 of their 2 league games this season, while Italy have 1 wins and 0 draws from 2.
Our model favours France as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.2, with both teams to score rated at 45.1%. The published tip for this match is Home at a 67% win probability.
Published by
Goodluck Basil
Football Analyst & Predictor
France vs Italy FAQs
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Match Preview
France vs Italy Prediction & Match Preview
League: World : UEFA Nations League
Date: Fri, Oct 2nd 2026
Venue: Stade de France, Paris