Bahia Vs Mirassol
Bahia Vs Mirassol Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Serie A

1 : 0 FT
Oct 11th
MirassolBahia: Matches Played 10
4 Wins
In last 10 games
2 Losses
In last 10 games
4 Draws
In last 10 games
Mirassol: Matches Played 10
4 Wins
In last 10 games
2 Losses
In last 10 games
4 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
Mirassol
Mirassol
Bahia
Last Matches (Bahia)
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
RB Bragantino
Bahia
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
Fluminense
Bahia
Last Matches (Mirassol)
Mirassol
Mirassol
Bahia
RB Bragantino
Uberlandia
Mirassol
Mirassol
Coritiba
Flamengo
Mirassol
League Table
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
Atletico-MG
Santos
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
Gremio
Mirassol
Internacional
Corinthians
Remo
Chapecoense-scTop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2.7
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 93.3% | 6.7% |
| 1.5 goals | 75.1% | 24.9% |
| 2.5 goals | 50.6% | 49.4% |
| 3.5 goals | 28.6% | 71.4% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
54.3%
No
45.7%
1X
69.6%
12
74.5%
X2
55.9%
1-1
12.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.4%
1 / 1
26.5%
1 / X
5.1%
1 / 2
1.9%
X / 1
15.1%
X / X
15.3%
X / 2
11.1%
2 / 1
2.5%
2 / X
5.1%
2 / 2
17.4%
Home -1.25
39.4%
odds 2.38
Away -1.25
60.6%
odds 1.55
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 10.5
53.6%
odds 1.73
Under 10.5
46.4%
odds 2.00
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 4.5
53.6%
odds 1.73
Under 4.5
46.4%
odds 2.00
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Implied from Bet365 anytime-scorer odds (margin included, not devigged across players).
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Bahia
Advice: Double chance : Bahia or draw
Expected goals: 2.7
Match Centre
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Bahia
Mirassol
Average Event Minute
Bahia
Mirassol
Season Statistics
| Bahia | Mirassol | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | WDWDWWLWLWLDDLDLWWDDDDDWWWWLL | WDDDLLLLLLWLWDLWLWDWLLDDLWDWD |
| Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 7 |
| Biggest win streak | 4 | 1 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.
Bahia
Mirassol
Trends
5 match streak · Serie A
Bahia have conceded in each of their last 5 matches in Serie A.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Bahia
H · 11 Oct
Mirassol
2/5H · 18 Oct
Flamengo
5/5A · 25 Oct
Santos
4/5H · 29 Oct
Sao Paulo
3/5A · 6 Nov
Cruzeiro
5/5A · 18 Nov
Gremio
2/5H · 22 Nov
Coritiba
3/5A · 29 Nov
Botafogo
3/5Mirassol
A · 30 Oct
Corinthians
1/5A · 3 Nov
Chapecoense-sc
1/5H · 18 Nov
Atletico-MG
4/5A · 22 Nov
Fluminense
4/5H · 29 Nov
Atletico Paranaense
4/5A · 2 Dec
Gremio
2/5Bahia vs Mirassol Prediction & Tips
Bahia took on Mirassol in the Brazil Serie A. Bahia had won 12 and drawn 10 of their 29 league games this season, while Mirassol have 8 wins and 9 draws from 29.
Our model favoured Bahia as the more likely side (35% home, 35% draw, 30% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.7, with both teams to score rated at 54.3%. The published tip for this match was 1X at a 83% win probability.
Published by
Pá Vick
Football Analyst & Predictor
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Match Preview
Bahia vs Mirassol Prediction & Match Preview
League: Brazil : Serie A
Date: Sun, Oct 11th 2026
Venue: Arena Fonte Nova,