Rio Ave Vs Nacional
Rio Ave Vs Nacional Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Primeira Liga

3 : 2 FT
Oct 11th
NacionalRio Ave: Matches Played 10
3 Wins
In last 10 games
6 Losses
In last 10 games
1 Draws
In last 10 games
Nacional: Matches Played 10
2 Wins
In last 10 games
7 Losses
In last 10 games
1 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
Nacional
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Nacional
Rio Ave
Nacional
Rio Ave
Nacional
Last Matches (Rio Ave)
Rio Ave
Louletano
Rio Ave
Alverca
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
Estoril
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
Last Matches (Nacional)
Nacional
Sanjoanense
Rio Ave
Nacional
Nacional
Sporting CP
Nacional
Vitória SC
Nacional
Santa Clara
League Table
FC Porto
Benfica
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
Arouca
Academico Viseu
GIL Vicente
SC Braga
Moreirense
Alverca
Famalicao
Estrela
Vitória SC
Maritimo
Nacional
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
EstorilTop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 3
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 94.8% | 5.2% |
| 1.5 goals | 79.3% | 20.7% |
| 2.5 goals | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| 3.5 goals | 34.2% | 65.8% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
59.3%
No
40.7%
1X
58.9%
12
75.5%
X2
65.5%
1-1
11.4%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
8%
1-0
7.3%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.2%
1 / 1
20.2%
1 / X
5.3%
1 / 2
2.6%
X / 1
11.9%
X / X
13.8%
X / 2
13.8%
2 / 1
2.3%
2 / X
5.3%
2 / 2
24.7%
Home -1.25
27.4%
odds 3.45
Away -1.25
72.6%
odds 1.30
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 9.5
55.7%
odds 1.67
Under 9.5
44.3%
odds 2.10
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 1.5
56.5%
odds 1.62
Under 1.5
43.5%
odds 2.10
Implied from 1xBet odds.
Implied from Bet365 anytime-scorer odds (margin included, not devigged across players).
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Rio Ave
Advice: Double chance : Rio Ave or draw
Expected goals: 3
Match Centre
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Rio Ave
Nacional
Average Event Minute
Rio Ave
Nacional
Season Statistics
| Rio Ave | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | LLWLLDL | DWLLLLL |
| Played | 7 | 7 |
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0.7 | 1 |
| Goals against (avg) | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 3 |
| Biggest win streak | 1 | 1 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 5 matches.
Rio Ave
Nacional
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Rio Ave
A · 1 Nov
Academico Viseu
4/5H · 8 Nov
SC Braga
3/5A · 21 Nov
Vianense
UnratedA · 28 Nov
Arouca
4/5H · 6 Dec
Casa Pia
1/5A · 13 Dec
Maritimo
2/5H · 20 Dec
Benfica
5/5A · 27 Dec
Vitória SC
2/5Nacional
A · 1 Nov
Arouca
4/5H · 7 Nov
Academico Viseu
4/5A · 27 Nov
Maritimo
2/5H · 6 Dec
Benfica
5/5A · 13 Dec
Casa Pia
1/5H · 20 Dec
Moreirense
3/5A · 27 Dec
FC Porto
5/5H · 10 Jan
GIL Vicente
4/5Rio Ave vs Nacional Prediction & Tips
Rio Ave took on Nacional in the Portugal Primeira Liga. Rio Ave had won 1 and drawn 1 of their 7 league games this season, while Nacional have 1 wins and 1 draws from 7.
Our model favoured Rio Ave as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 3, with both teams to score rated at 59.3%. The published tip for this match was Under 3.5 at a 83% win probability.
Published by
Victor Moses
Football Analyst & Predictor
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Match Preview
Rio Ave vs Nacional Prediction & Match Preview
League: Portugal : Primeira Liga
Date: Sun, Oct 11th 2026
Venue: Estádio dos Arcos,