VictorsPredict

Rio Ave Vs Nacional

Rio Ave Vs Nacional Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Primeira Liga

Rio Ave

3 : 2 FT

Oct 11th

Nacional
Prediction Odds Confidence
Under 3.5 1.21
LOST

Rio Ave: Matches Played 10

WLLDL
W

3 Wins

In last 10 games

L

6 Losses

In last 10 games

D

1 Draws

In last 10 games

Nacional: Matches Played 10

LLLLL
W

2 Wins

In last 10 games

L

7 Losses

In last 10 games

D

1 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
45% 2.05
45% 3.30
10% 3.30

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
25 January 2026 • Primeira Liga
L
Nacional
4 0
Rio Ave
17 August 2025 • Primeira Liga
D
Rio Ave
1 1
Nacional
10 May 2025 • Primeira Liga
D
Nacional
3 3
Rio Ave
29 December 2024 • Primeira Liga
W
Rio Ave
2 1
Nacional
31 July 2024 • Friendlies Clubs
D
Rio Ave
1 1
Nacional
10 April 2022 • Segunda Liga
L
Nacional
2 0
Rio Ave
28 November 2021 • Segunda Liga
W
Rio Ave
1 0
Nacional
19 May 2021 • Primeira Liga
W
Nacional
1 2
Rio Ave
5 February 2021 • Primeira Liga
D
Rio Ave
0 0
Nacional
17 March 2019 • Primeira Liga
W
Nacional
0 1
Rio Ave
Last Matches (Rio Ave)
25 October 2026 • Primeira Liga
L
Rio Ave
0 4
Famalicao
17 October 2026 • Taça de Portugal
W
Louletano
0 1
Rio Ave
11 October 2026 • Primeira Liga
W
Rio Ave
3 2
Nacional
19 September 2026 • Primeira Liga
L
Alverca
1 0
Rio Ave
14 September 2026 • Primeira Liga
D
Rio Ave
3 3
Estrela
6 September 2026 • Primeira Liga
L
Santa Clara
4 0
Rio Ave
28 August 2026 • Primeira Liga
L
Rio Ave
0 4
Sporting CP
22 August 2026 • Primeira Liga
W
Estoril
0 2
Rio Ave
15 August 2026 • Primeira Liga
L
Rio Ave
0 2
FC Porto
9 August 2026 • Primeira Liga
L
GIL Vicente
1 0
Rio Ave
Last Matches (Nacional)
25 October 2026 • Primeira Liga
W
Nacional
1 0
SC Braga
17 October 2026 • Taça de Portugal
L
Sanjoanense
1 0
Nacional
11 October 2026 • Primeira Liga
L
Rio Ave
3 2
Nacional
19 September 2026 • Primeira Liga
L
Nacional
0 4
Famalicao
12 September 2026 • Primeira Liga
L
Nacional
1 3
Alverca
5 September 2026 • Primeira Liga
L
Sporting CP
2 0
Nacional
30 August 2026 • Primeira Liga
L
Nacional
2 3
Estrela
23 August 2026 • Primeira Liga
L
Vitória SC
1 0
Nacional
16 August 2026 • Primeira Liga
W
Nacional
2 0
Estoril
10 August 2026 • Primeira Liga
D
Santa Clara
2 2
Nacional

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
FC Porto
10 10 0 0 25-4 21 30
WWWWW
2
Benfica
9 7 1 1 26-8 18 22
WWLWW
3
Sporting CP
10 6 3 1 23-11 12 21
WLWDD
4
Santa Clara
10 6 3 1 15-6 9 21
WLWDW
5
Arouca
10 6 2 2 13-7 6 20
WWWDL
6
Academico Viseu
10 6 2 2 15-12 3 20
WWWWW
7
GIL Vicente
9 4 2 3 8-7 1 14
LWWDL
8
SC Braga
10 4 2 4 12-11 1 14
WLLLD
9
Moreirense
10 4 2 4 13-17 -4 14
WWLDW
10
Alverca
9 3 2 4 13-13 0 11
LWWWL
11
Famalicao
10 2 4 4 14-14 0 10
LWLWD
12
Estrela
10 2 4 4 15-19 -4 10
LLLLD
13
Vitória SC
9 2 2 5 10-10 0 8
WLDLD
14
Maritimo
10 2 2 6 9-21 -12 8
LLLDL
15
Nacional
10 2 1 7 10-19 -9 7
LWLLL
16
Rio Ave
10 2 1 7 9-23 -14 7
LLWLD
17
Casa Pia
10 2 1 7 5-19 -14 7
LWLWL
18
Estoril
10 0 2 8 5-19 -14 2
LLLLL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 3

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals94.8%5.2%
1.5 goals79.3%20.7%
2.5 goals56.5%43.5%
3.5 goals34.2%65.8%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Rio Ave

Advice: Double chance : Rio Ave or draw

Expected goals: 3

Form 100% / 0%
Attack 63% / 38%
Defence 52% / 48%
Poisson 48% / 52%
Head-to-head 50% / 50%
Goals 41% / 59%
Overall 50.8% / 49.4%

Match Centre

1.74 expected_goals 1.28
361 Passes accurate 244
6 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Blocked Shots 1
17 Free Kicks 7
7 Shots on Goal 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
423 Total passes 316
1 Red Cards 0
11 Total Shots 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
8 Corner Kicks 8
0 Shots off Goal 6
0 Offsides 3
7 Fouls 17
56% Ball Possession 44%
32' ⚽ Away
39' ⚽ Home
50' 🟨 Home
54' 🟥 Home
57' ⚽ Home
59' ⚽ Away
63' 🔁 Home
63' 🔁 Home
68' 🔁 Away
68' 🔁 Away
72' ⚽ Home
73' 🟨 Home
76' 🔁 Home
76' 🔁 Home
78' 🔁 Home
78' 🔁 Away
81' 🔁 Away
81' 🔁 Away
90' 🟨 Home

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Rio Ave 4/6
Nacional 4/6

Over 2.5

Rio Ave 4/6
Nacional 3/6

Over 3.5

Rio Ave 4/6
Nacional 3/6

BTTS (Yes)

Rio Ave 2/6
Nacional 2/6

Goals By Time Period

Rio Ave

0-15
16-30
2
31-45
2
46-60
1
61-75
2
76+

Nacional

0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
1
46-60
61-75
1
76+

Average Event Minute

Rio Ave

First goal scored: 58' First goal conceded: 21' First card: 66'

Nacional

First goal scored: 44' First goal conceded: 39' First card: 46'

Season Statistics

Rio AveNacional
Form
LLWLLDL
DWLLLLL
Played77
Wins11
Draws11
Losses55
Goals for (avg)0.71
Goals against (avg)2.12.1
Clean sheets11
Failed to score53
Biggest win streak11

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 5 matches.

Rio Ave

Total shots 8
Blocked 2
30% off target 70% on target
42% inside box 58% outside box
Total passes 403.6
Accurate passes 341.8 (51%)
Possession 49%

Nacional

Total shots 9.8
Blocked 1.4
60% off target 40% on target
61% inside box 39% outside box
Total passes 366
Accurate passes 292.8 (16%)
Possession 44%

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Rio Ave

A · 1 Nov

Academico Viseu

4/5

H · 8 Nov

SC Braga

3/5

A · 21 Nov

Vianense

Unrated

A · 28 Nov

Arouca

4/5

H · 6 Dec

Casa Pia

1/5

A · 13 Dec

Maritimo

2/5

H · 20 Dec

Benfica

5/5

A · 27 Dec

Vitória SC

2/5

Nacional

A · 1 Nov

Arouca

4/5

H · 7 Nov

Academico Viseu

4/5

A · 27 Nov

Maritimo

2/5

H · 6 Dec

Benfica

5/5

A · 13 Dec

Casa Pia

1/5

H · 20 Dec

Moreirense

3/5

A · 27 Dec

FC Porto

5/5

H · 10 Jan

GIL Vicente

4/5

Rio Ave vs Nacional Prediction & Tips

Rio Ave took on Nacional in the Portugal Primeira Liga. Rio Ave had won 1 and drawn 1 of their 7 league games this season, while Nacional have 1 wins and 1 draws from 7.

Our model favoured Rio Ave as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 3, with both teams to score rated at 59.3%. The published tip for this match was Under 3.5 at a 83% win probability.

V

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

Rio Ave vs Nacional FAQs

When did the match between Rio Ave and Nacional take place? +
The match between Rio Ave and Nacional took place on Sun, 11th Oct 2026 at 3:30 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
Portugal Primeira Liga
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
Rio Ave are 16th on the table, while Nacional are 15th.
How accurate was the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Rio Ave vs Nacional Prediction & Match Preview

League: Portugal : Primeira Liga

Date: Sun, Oct 11th 2026

Venue: Estádio dos Arcos,