Nairobi United Vs Mara Sugar

Nairobi United Vs Mara Sugar Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

FKF Premier League

Nairobi United

1:00 PM

Oct 16th

Mara Sugar

Prediction Odds Confidence

1X 1.25

80%

Nairobi United: Matches Played 10

2 Wins

In last 10 games

2 Losses

In last 10 games

6 Draws

In last 10 games

Mara Sugar: Matches Played 10

4 Wins

In last 10 games

3 Losses

In last 10 games

3 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away

45% 2.20

45% 2.88

10% 3.20

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H

1 April 2026 • FKF Premier League

Nairobi United

1 1

Mara Sugar

1 October 2025 • FKF Premier League

Mara Sugar

0 1

Nairobi United

1 June 2025 • Shield Cup

Nairobi United

1 1

Mara Sugar

1 June 2025 • Shield Cup

Nairobi United

1 1

Mara Sugar

2 June 2024 • Super League

Mara Sugar

1 0

Nairobi United

16 December 2023 • Super League

Nairobi United

0 2

Mara Sugar

Last Matches (Nairobi United)

1 November 2026 • FKF Premier League

Nairobi United

1 1

Bandari

28 October 2026 • FKF Premier League

Murang'a SEAL

3 2

Nairobi United

25 October 2026 • FKF Premier League

Nairobi United

1 1

APS Bomet

18 October 2026 • FKF Premier League

Shabana

0 0

Nairobi United

11 October 2026 • FKF Premier League

Nairobi United

2 2

KCB

31 May 2026 • FKF Premier League

GOR Mahia

0 1

Nairobi United

24 May 2026 • FKF Premier League

Nairobi United

0 0

Kenya Police

16 May 2026 • FKF Premier League

Nairobi United

2 2

Posta Rangers FC

10 May 2026 • FKF Premier League

Kariobangi Sharks

2 0

Nairobi United

6 May 2026 • FKF Premier League

Nairobi United

1 0

Tusker

Last Matches (Mara Sugar)

24 October 2026 • FKF Premier League

Ulinzi Stars

0 0

Mara Sugar

19 October 2026 • FKF Premier League

Mara Sugar

2 1

Mombasa Elite

11 October 2026 • FKF Premier League

2 2

Mara Sugar

31 May 2026 • FKF Premier League

Murang'a SEAL

2 1

Mara Sugar

27 May 2026 • FKF Premier League

Mara Sugar

0 0

GOR Mahia

16 May 2026 • FKF Premier League

Mara Sugar

0 1

Mathare United

13 May 2026 • FKF Premier League

Mara Sugar

1 0

Shabana

9 May 2026 • FKF Premier League

AFC Leopards

2 1

Mara Sugar

24 April 2026 • FKF Premier League

Tusker

0 1

Mara Sugar

18 April 2026 • FKF Premier League

Kariobangi Sharks

0 1

Mara Sugar

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form

GOR Mahia

5 4 0 1 8-4 4 12

LWWWW

KCB

5 3 1 1 8-5 3 10

WWLWD

AFC Leopards

5 2 3 0 4-1 3 9

WDDWD

Murang'a SEAL

5 2 1 2 11-9 2 7

DWLWL

Migori Youth

4 1 3 0 4-2 2 6

WDDD

APS Bomet

5 1 3 1 4-2 2 6

DWDLD

Mara Sugar

4 1 3 0 4-3 1 6

DDWD

Shabana

4 1 3 0 2-1 1 6

DDDW

Kenya Police

4 1 2 1 3-3 0 5

WDLD

Mathare United

4 1 2 1 2-2 0 5

WDLD

4 1 2 1 5-7 -2 5

LWDD

Nairobi United

5 0 4 1 6-7 -1 4

DLDDD

Bandari

5 0 4 1 2-3 -1 4

DDLDD

Homeboyz

4 1 1 2 2-4 -2 4

LLDW

Posta Rangers FC

4 1 1 2 2-6 -4 4

DWLL

Tusker

2 1 0 1 3-2 1 3

Ulinzi Stars

4 0 2 2 1-4 -3 2

LDDL

Mombasa Elite

5 0 1 4 2-8 -6 1

LLDLL

See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 4

Line	Over	Under
0.5 goals	98.1%	1.9%
1.5 goals	90.8%	9.2%
2.5 goals	76.1%	23.9%
3.5 goals	56.6%	43.4%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Nairobi United

Advice: Combo Double chance : Nairobi United or draw and +2.5 goals

Expected goals: 4

Form 50% / 50%

Attack 50% / 50%

Defence 50% / 50%

Poisson 55% / 45%

Head-to-head 62% / 38%

Goals 56% / 44%

Overall 53.8% / 46.2%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Nairobi United 4/6

Mara Sugar 3/6

Over 2.5

Nairobi United 2/6

Mara Sugar 3/6

Over 3.5

Nairobi United 2/6

Mara Sugar 1/6

BTTS (Yes)

Nairobi United 4/6

Mara Sugar 3/6

Goals By Time Period

Nairobi United

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Mara Sugar

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Average Event Minute

Nairobi United

First goal scored: 42' First goal conceded: 24' First card: —

Mara Sugar

First goal scored: 21' First goal conceded: 58' First card: —

Season Statistics

	Nairobi United	Mara Sugar
Form	D	D
Played	1	1
Wins	0	0
Draws	1	1
Losses	0	0
Goals for (avg)	2	2
Goals against (avg)	2	2
Clean sheets	0	0
Failed to score	0	0
Biggest win streak	0	0

Trends

3 match streak · FKF Premier League

Nairobi United have scored in each of their last 3 matches in FKF Premier League.

3 match streak · FKF Premier League

Nairobi United have conceded in each of their last 3 matches in FKF Premier League.

3 match streak · FKF Premier League

Both teams have scored in each of Nairobi United's last 3 matches in FKF Premier League.

3 match streak · FKF Premier League

Mara Sugar are unbeaten in their last 3 matches in FKF Premier League.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Nairobi United

A · 8 Nov

GOR Mahia

5/5

H · 14 Nov

Mara Sugar

4/5

H · 20 Nov

Tusker

1/5

A · 25 Nov

3/5

A · 29 Nov

Posta Rangers FC

2/5

H · 5 Dec

Ulinzi Stars

1/5

H · 11 Dec

Migori Youth

4/5

A · 12 Dec

Mathare United

3/5

Mara Sugar

H · 1 Nov

Kenya Police

3/5

H · 7 Nov

Homeboyz

2/5

A · 20 Nov

KCB

5/5

H · 25 Nov

GOR Mahia

5/5

A · 29 Nov

Bandari

2/5

H · 5 Dec

Murang'a SEAL

4/5

A · 11 Dec

Posta Rangers FC

2/5

H · 16 Dec

Mathare United

3/5

Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar Prediction & Tips

Nairobi United takes on Mara Sugar in the Kenya FKF Premier League on Friday, 16 October 2026. Nairobi United have won 0 and drawn 1 of their 1 league games this season, while Mara Sugar have 0 wins and 1 draws from 1.

Our model favours Nairobi United as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 4, with both teams to score rated at 74.7%. The published tip for this match is 1X at a 80% win probability.

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar FAQs

When is the match between Nairobi United and Mara Sugar? +

The match between Nairobi United and Mara Sugar is scheduled for Fri, 16th Oct 2026 at 1:00 PM.

Which league is this match in? +

Kenya FKF Premier League

What is their ranking in the league table this season? +

Nairobi United are 12th on the table, while Mara Sugar are 7th.

How accurate is the prediction for this match? +

The prediction for this match is based on statistical analysis and the available football data.

Is the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +

Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.

How often are predictions updated? +

Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar Prediction & Match Preview

League: Kenya : FKF Premier League

Date: Fri, Oct 16th 2026

Venue: ,