Tapatío Vs CA La Paz

Tapatío Vs CA La Paz Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Liga de Expansión MX

Tapatío

12:00 AM

Oct 9th

CA La Paz

Prediction Odds Confidence

BTS 1.37

73%

Tapatío: Matches Played 10

DLLWL

3 Wins

In last 10 games

6 Losses

In last 10 games

1 Draws

In last 10 games

CA La Paz: Matches Played 10

WDWWL

6 Wins

In last 10 games

2 Losses

In last 10 games

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away

10% 2.62

45% 3.60

45% 2.20

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H

10 January 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX

CA La Paz

2 2

Tapatío

3 August 2025 • Liga de Expansión MX

Tapatío

2 0

CA La Paz

1 March 2025 • Liga de Expansión MX

CA La Paz

4 1

Tapatío

15 September 2024 • Liga de Expansión MX

Tapatío

1 0

CA La Paz

2 February 2024 • Liga de Expansión MX

Tapatío

0 2

CA La Paz

7 August 2023 • Liga de Expansión MX

CA La Paz

2 2

Tapatío

29 January 2023 • Liga de Expansión MX

Tapatío

2 0

CA La Paz

13 October 2022 • Liga de Expansión MX

CA La Paz

3 2

Tapatío

Last Matches (Tapatío)

25 October 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX

Tapatío

1 2

Monarcas

18 October 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX

Durango

5 0

Tapatío

13 October 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX

Tapatío

4 1

Tepatitlán

9 October 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX

Tapatío

2 4

CA La Paz

4 October 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX

Cancún

1 0

Tapatío

20 September 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX

Tapatío

4 0

Tlaxcala

13 September 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX

Dorados

3 1

Tapatío

6 September 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX

Tapatío

1 3

Leones Negros UDG

28 August 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

1 1

Tapatío

24 August 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX

Tapatío

4 2

Mineros de Zacatecas

Last Matches (CA La Paz)

3 October 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX

CA La Paz

1 2

Venados FC

25 September 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

1 3

CA La Paz

19 September 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX

CA La Paz

3 1

Correcaminos Uat

13 September 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX

Leones Negros UDG

2 2

CA La Paz

5 September 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX

CA La Paz

3 0

Mineros de Zacatecas

28 August 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX

Cancún

1 2

CA La Paz

22 August 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX

CA La Paz

1 1

Cruz Azul Hidalgo

15 August 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX

CA La Paz

2 0

Piratas

8 August 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX

Tepatitlán

0 5

CA La Paz

1 August 2026 • Liga de Expansión MX

CA La Paz

0 1

Durango

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form

CA La Paz

14 8 3 3 33-18 15 27

WDWLW

Leones Negros UDG

14 8 3 3 31-19 12 27

WLDWW

Monarcas

14 8 2 4 25-16 9 26

WLDDL

Piratas

14 7 3 4 26-14 12 24

WWLWL

Venados FC

14 7 3 4 31-25 6 24

WDDWW

Cancún

14 6 4 4 26-18 8 22

WDDWL

Durango

14 6 3 5 18-14 4 21

LWDWW

Tlaxcala

14 5 4 5 27-27 0 19

WDWDW

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

14 6 1 7 14-25 -11 19

WWWLL

Mineros de Zacatecas

14 5 3 6 26-25 1 18

LLDLW

Tapatío

14 5 2 7 24-27 -3 17

LLWLL

Correcaminos Uat

14 4 4 6 21-24 -3 16

LLLDW

Dorados

14 4 4 6 23-29 -6 16

LWLLL

CDS Tampico Madero

14 4 3 7 15-23 -8 15

LWDLL

Cruz Azul Hidalgo

14 3 5 6 17-22 -5 14

LWWDL

Tepatitlán

14 2 1 11 10-41 -31 7

LLLDW

See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 3.3

Line	Over	Under
0.5 goals	96.3%	3.7%
1.5 goals	84.1%	15.9%
2.5 goals	64%	36%
3.5 goals	42%	58%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: CA La Paz

Advice: Double chance : draw or CA La Paz

Expected goals: 3.3

Form 29% / 71%

Attack 37% / 63%

Defence 43% / 57%

Poisson 41% / 59%

Head-to-head 50% / 50%

Goals 43% / 57%

Overall 40.5% / 59.5%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Tapatío 5/6

CA La Paz 6/6

Over 2.5

Tapatío 5/6

CA La Paz 6/6

Over 3.5

Tapatío 4/6

CA La Paz 3/6

BTTS (Yes)

Tapatío 3/6

CA La Paz 5/6

Goals By Time Period

Tapatío

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

CA La Paz

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Average Event Minute

Tapatío

First goal scored: 27' First goal conceded: 27' First card: 13'

CA La Paz

First goal scored: 29' First goal conceded: 50' First card: 36'

Season Statistics

	Tapatío	CA La Paz
Form	DWLWWDLLWL	LLWWDWWDWWL
Played	10	11
Wins	4	6
Draws	2	2
Losses	4	3
Goals for (avg)	1.7	2.2
Goals against (avg)	1.5	1.2
Clean sheets	3	3
Failed to score	2	1
Biggest win streak	2	2

Trends

5 match streak · Liga de Expansión MX

Tapatío have conceded in each of their last 5 matches in Liga de Expansión MX.

4 match streak · Liga de Expansión MX

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Tapatío's last 4 matches in Liga de Expansión MX.

9 match streak · Liga de Expansión MX

CA La Paz have scored in each of their last 9 matches in Liga de Expansión MX.

4 match streak · Liga de Expansión MX

CA La Paz have conceded in each of their last 4 matches in Liga de Expansión MX.

4 match streak · Liga de Expansión MX

Both teams have scored in each of CA La Paz's last 4 matches in Liga de Expansión MX.

6 match streak · Liga de Expansión MX

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of CA La Paz's last 6 matches in Liga de Expansión MX.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Tapatío

A · 1 Nov

Piratas

4/5

CA La Paz

A · 9 Oct

Tapatío

2/5

H · 17 Oct

Tlaxcala

3/5

A · 25 Oct

CDS Tampico Madero

2/5

H · 31 Oct

Dorados

2/5

Tapatío vs CA La Paz Prediction & Tips

Tapatío takes on CA La Paz in the Mexico Liga de Expansión MX on Friday, 9 October 2026. Tapatío have won 4 and drawn 2 of their 10 league games this season, while CA La Paz have 6 wins and 2 draws from 11.

Our model favours CA La Paz as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 3.3, with both teams to score rated at 64.5%. The published tip for this match is BTS at a 73% win probability.

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

Tapatío vs CA La Paz FAQs

When is the match between Tapatío and CA La Paz? +

The match between Tapatío and CA La Paz is scheduled for Fri, 9th Oct 2026 at 12:00 AM.

Which league is this match in? +

Mexico Liga de Expansión MX

What is their ranking in the league table this season? +

Tapatío are 11th on the table, while CA La Paz are 1st.

How accurate is the prediction for this match? +

The prediction for this match is based on statistical analysis and the available football data.

Is the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +

Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.

How often are predictions updated? +

Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Tapatío vs CA La Paz Prediction & Match Preview

League: Mexico : Liga de Expansión MX

Date: Fri, Oct 9th 2026

Venue: Estadio Akron,