Velez Sarsfield Vs Gimnasia M.

Velez Sarsfield Vs Gimnasia M. Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Liga Profesional Argentina

Velez Sarsfield

1 : 0 FT

Oct 17th

Gimnasia M.

Prediction Odds Confidence

Under 3.5 1.18

WON

Velez Sarsfield: Matches Played 10

WDWDL

4 Wins

In last 10 games

1 Losses

In last 10 games

5 Draws

In last 10 games

Gimnasia M.: Matches Played 10

DLDLW

4 Wins

In last 10 games

4 Losses

In last 10 games

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away

45% 1.75

45% 3.30

10% 4.60

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H

3 April 2026 • Liga Profesional Argentina

Gimnasia M.

3 2

Velez Sarsfield

Last Matches (Velez Sarsfield)

31 October 2026 • Liga Profesional Argentina

Velez Sarsfield

2 2

San Lorenzo

26 October 2026 • Liga Profesional Argentina

Central Cordoba de Santiago

0 5

Velez Sarsfield

17 October 2026 • Liga Profesional Argentina

Velez Sarsfield

1 0

Gimnasia M.

12 October 2026 • Liga Profesional Argentina

Lanus

2 0

Velez Sarsfield

5 October 2026 • Liga Profesional Argentina

Velez Sarsfield

2 2

Platense

21 September 2026 • Liga Profesional Argentina

Velez Sarsfield

3 2

Tigre

11 September 2026 • Liga Profesional Argentina

Newells Old Boys

1 1

Velez Sarsfield

6 September 2026 • Liga Profesional Argentina

Velez Sarsfield

1 0

Estudiantes L.P.

29 August 2026 • Liga Profesional Argentina

Deportivo Riestra

1 1

Velez Sarsfield

23 August 2026 • Liga Profesional Argentina

River Plate

2 2

Velez Sarsfield

Last Matches (Gimnasia M.)

17 October 2026 • Liga Profesional Argentina

Velez Sarsfield

1 0

Gimnasia M.

12 October 2026 • Liga Profesional Argentina

Gimnasia M.

1 0

Newells Old Boys

5 October 2026 • Liga Profesional Argentina

Estudiantes L.P.

3 0

Gimnasia M.

19 September 2026 • Liga Profesional Argentina

Gimnasia M.

0 0

Deportivo Riestra

11 September 2026 • Liga Profesional Argentina

Defensa Y Justicia

2 0

Gimnasia M.

5 September 2026 • Liga Profesional Argentina

Gimnasia M.

2 2

Boca Juniors

30 August 2026 • Liga Profesional Argentina

Independiente

0 3

Gimnasia M.

22 August 2026 • Liga Profesional Argentina

Gimnasia L.P.

2 3

Gimnasia M.

18 August 2026 • Liga Profesional Argentina

Gimnasia M.

3 1

Talleres Cordoba

9 August 2026 • Liga Profesional Argentina

Instituto Cordoba

1 0

Gimnasia M.

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form

Estudiantes L.P.

16 9 4 3 19-7 12 31

LLDWL

Boca Juniors

16 8 6 2 22-9 13 30

WWDWW

Velez Sarsfield

16 7 7 2 18-12 6 28

WWLDW

Talleres Cordoba

16 7 5 4 17-13 4 26

LLDLL

Independiente

16 6 6 4 24-20 4 24

LDDLW

Lanus

16 6 6 4 18-15 3 24

DWWDW

San Lorenzo

16 5 7 4 14-14 0 22

DWWLL

Union Santa Fe

16 5 6 5 24-20 4 21

WDLLL

Instituto Cordoba

16 6 3 7 17-17 0 21

WWDWW

Defensa Y Justicia

16 4 7 5 18-21 -3 19

WLWWD

Gimnasia M.

16 5 4 7 14-22 -8 19

LLWLD

Platense

16 3 7 6 10-15 -5 16

WLDDL

Central Cordoba de Santiago

16 4 4 8 11-21 -10 16

LLDDD

Newells Old Boys

16 3 6 7 15-27 -12 15

DWLDW

Deportivo Riestra

16 1 8 7 5-12 -7 11

LDLDD

See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.1

Line	Over	Under
0.5 goals	88.4%	11.6%
1.5 goals	63.3%	36.7%
2.5 goals	36.4%	63.6%
3.5 goals	17.1%	82.9%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Velez Sarsfield

Advice: Double chance : Velez Sarsfield or draw

Expected goals: 2.1

Form 62% / 38%

Attack 70% / 30%

Defence 50% / 50%

Poisson 71% / 29%

Head-to-head 0% / 100%

Goals 40% / 60%

Overall 58.6% / 41.4%

Match Centre

6 Shots on Goal 2

7 Shots off Goal 5

20 Total Shots 11

7 Blocked Shots 4

14 Shots insidebox 5

6 Shots outsidebox 6

9 Fouls 11

12 Corner Kicks 2

4 Offsides 0

62% Ball Possession 38%

4 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 5

495 Total passes 320

402 Passes accurate 218

81% Passes % 68%

1.50 expected_goals 0.73

-0.08 goals_prevented -0.08

32' 🟨 Home

46' 🔁 Away

58' 🟨 Away

60' 🟨 Home

70' 🔁 Away

79' 🔁 Home

82' 🟨 Away

83' 🔁 Away

85' ⚽ Home

87' 🔁 Home

88' 🔁 Away

90' 🟨 Home

90' 🔁 Home

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Velez Sarsfield 5/6

Gimnasia M. 3/6

Over 2.5

Velez Sarsfield 4/6

Gimnasia M. 2/6

Over 3.5

Velez Sarsfield 4/6

Gimnasia M. 1/6

BTTS (Yes)

Velez Sarsfield 3/6

Gimnasia M. 1/6

Goals By Time Period

Velez Sarsfield

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Gimnasia M.

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Average Event Minute

Velez Sarsfield

First goal scored: 27' First goal conceded: 42' First card: 33'

Gimnasia M.

First goal scored: 39' First goal conceded: 62' First card: 50'

Season Statistics

	Velez Sarsfield	Gimnasia M.
Form	WWDWDWDWDWLLWDDDLWWWDDDDWDWDL	WLLWLLDDDLLWDWLWWLWLWWWDLDLW
Played	29	28
Wins	12	11
Draws	13	6
Losses	4	11
Goals for (avg)	1.2	1
Goals against (avg)	0.9	1.2
Clean sheets	10	9
Failed to score	5	10
Biggest win streak	3	3

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Velez Sarsfield

Total shots 17.3

Blocked 4.7

49% off target 51% on target

63% inside box 37% outside box

Total passes 471.5

Accurate passes 376.8 (14%)

Possession 56%

Gimnasia M.

Total shots 12.6

Blocked 3.4

68% off target 32% on target

58% inside box 42% outside box

Total passes 373.4

Accurate passes 285.6 (30%)

Possession 49%

Trends

3 match streak · Liga Profesional Argentina

Velez Sarsfield are unbeaten in their last 3 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina.

3 match streak · Liga Profesional Argentina

Velez Sarsfield have scored in each of their last 3 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Velez Sarsfield

A · 8 Nov

Union Santa Fe

3/5

Gimnasia M.

H · 23 Oct

Platense

2/5

A · 1 Nov

Lanus

4/5

H · 8 Nov

Independ. Rivadavia

Unrated

Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. Prediction & Tips

Velez Sarsfield took on Gimnasia M. in the Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina. Velez Sarsfield had won 12 and drawn 13 of their 29 league games this season, while Gimnasia M. have 11 wins and 6 draws from 28.

Our model favoured Velez Sarsfield as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.1, with both teams to score rated at 42.9%. The published tip for this match was Under 3.5 at a 85% win probability.

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. FAQs

When did the match between Velez Sarsfield and Gimnasia M. take place? +

The match between Velez Sarsfield and Gimnasia M. took place on Sat, 17th Oct 2026 at 12:00 AM.

Which league is this match in? +

Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina

What is their ranking in the league table this season? +

Velez Sarsfield are 3rd on the table, while Gimnasia M. are 11th.

How accurate was the prediction for this match? +

The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.

Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +

Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.

How often are predictions updated? +

Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. Prediction & Match Preview

League: Argentina : Liga Profesional Argentina

Date: Sat, Oct 17th 2026

Venue: Jose Amalfitani,