Lugo Vs Mérida AD

Lugo Vs Mérida AD Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Lugo

2 : 1 FT

Nov 1st

Mérida AD

Prediction Odds Confidence

Under 3.5 1.26

WON

Lugo: Matches Played 10

WWWWL

8 Wins

In last 10 games

1 Losses

In last 10 games

1 Draws

In last 10 games

Mérida AD: Matches Played 10

LWWWD

5 Wins

In last 10 games

5 Losses

In last 10 games

0 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away

45% 2.10

45% 3.00

10% 3.10

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H

3 May 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Mérida AD

0 2

Lugo

3 January 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Lugo

1 0

Mérida AD

Last Matches (Lugo)

1 November 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Lugo

2 1

Mérida AD

23 October 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Real Unión

4 1

Lugo

17 October 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Lugo

3 0

Deportivo La Coruña II

12 October 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Lugo

3 1

UD Logroñés

2 October 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Real Avilés

1 2

Lugo

26 September 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Lugo

1 0

Racing Ferrol

20 September 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Zamora

1 2

Lugo

13 September 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Lugo

1 0

CD Coria

4 September 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Ponferradina

0 0

Lugo

30 August 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Unionistas de Salamanca

1 3

Lugo

Last Matches (Mérida AD)

18 October 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Arenas Getxo

0 4

Mérida AD

11 October 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Pontevedra

1 2

Mérida AD

4 October 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Mérida AD

2 0

Cacereño

27 September 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Mérida AD

3 5

UD Logroñés

19 September 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Ponferradina

1 0

Mérida AD

12 September 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Mérida AD

3 4

Mirandes

6 September 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Cultural Leonesa

1 0

Mérida AD

29 August 2026 • Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Mérida AD

1 0

Deportivo La Coruña II

14 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

Mérida AD

2 1

Alcorcon

7 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

Leganes

3 0

Mérida AD

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form

Lugo

8 7 1 0 15-4 11 22

WWWWW

UD Logroñés

8 5 2 1 17-11 6 17

DLWWD

Racing Ferrol

8 5 1 2 9-5 4 16

WWWLW

Mérida AD

8 4 0 4 15-12 3 12

WWWLL

Athletic Club II

8 3 3 2 13-10 3 12

LDLWD

Zamora

8 3 3 2 10-8 2 12

DDWWL

Cultural Leonesa

8 3 3 2 9-7 2 12

DWLDW

Cacereño

8 3 3 2 7-5 2 12

LDLDW

Ponferradina

8 3 3 2 6-6 0 12

DLWDW

Real Avilés

8 3 2 3 14-10 4 11

WWLDD

Pontevedra

8 3 2 3 10-10 0 11

WLLDD

Mirandes

8 3 2 3 10-10 0 11

LDLWD

Real Unión

8 2 4 2 15-13 2 10

DDDLD

Extremadura 1924

8 3 1 4 11-10 1 10

DWWLL

Barakaldo

8 2 3 3 8-10 -2 9

WLDDL

Deportivo La Coruña II

8 2 2 4 8-11 -3 8

LLLWD

CD Coria

8 2 2 4 12-16 -4 8

WLLDD

Unionistas de Salamanca

8 2 1 5 10-14 -4 7

LDWLW

UD Ourense

8 1 2 5 3-13 -10 5

LWDDL

Arenas Getxo

8 0 2 6 5-22 -17 2

LLDLL

See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.9

Line	Over	Under
0.5 goals	94.2%	5.8%
1.5 goals	77.7%	22.3%
2.5 goals	54.2%	45.8%
3.5 goals	31.9%	68.1%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Lugo

Advice: Double chance : Lugo or draw

Expected goals: 2.9

Form 55% / 45%

Attack 48% / 52%

Defence 50% / 50%

Poisson 76% / 24%

Head-to-head 100% / 0%

Goals 100% / 0%

Overall 57.3% / 42.8%

Match Centre

20' 🟨 Away

21' 🟨 Away

24' ⚽ Home

32' ⚽ Home

38' 🟨 Home

43' 🟨 Away

45' 🟨 Away

46' 🔁 Home

56' 🟨 Away

64' 🟨 Away

66' 🔁 Away

77' ⚽ Away

82' 🔁 Home

82' 🔁 Away

86' 🟨 Away

90' 🔁 Home

90' 🟨 Home

90' 🔁 Away

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Lugo 5/6

Mérida AD 5/6

Over 2.5

Lugo 5/6

Mérida AD 4/6

Over 3.5

Lugo 2/6

Mérida AD 3/6

BTTS (Yes)

Lugo 4/6

Mérida AD 3/6

Goals By Time Period

Lugo

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Mérida AD

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Average Event Minute

Lugo

First goal scored: 37' First goal conceded: 35' First card: 39'

Mérida AD

First goal scored: 25' First goal conceded: 40' First card: 23'

Season Statistics

	Lugo	Mérida AD
Form	WDWWWWWWL	WLLLLWWWD
Played	9	9
Wins	7	4
Draws	1	1
Losses	1	4
Goals for (avg)	1.8	1.7
Goals against (avg)	0.9	1.3
Clean sheets	4	4
Failed to score	1	3
Biggest win streak	6	3

Trends

8 match streak · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Lugo have scored in each of their last 8 matches in Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

5 match streak · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Lugo's last 5 matches in Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

3 match streak · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Mérida AD are unbeaten in their last 3 matches in Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

3 match streak · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Mérida AD have won 3 consecutive matches in Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

4 match streak · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Mérida AD have scored in each of their last 4 matches in Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Lugo

A · 6 Nov

Cacereño

4/5

H · 15 Nov

Mirandes

3/5

A · 21 Nov

Pontevedra

3/5

H · 29 Nov

UD Ourense

1/5

A · 6 Dec

Arenas Getxo

1/5

H · 13 Dec

Cultural Leonesa

4/5

H · 20 Dec

Barakaldo

2/5

A · 3 Jan

Athletic Club II

4/5

Mérida AD

H · 25 Oct

CD Coria

2/5

A · 1 Nov

Lugo

5/5

H · 8 Nov

Athletic Club II

4/5

A · 15 Nov

UD Ourense

1/5

H · 22 Nov

Real Unión

2/5

A · 29 Nov

Racing Ferrol

5/5

H · 6 Dec

Zamora

4/5

A · 13 Dec

Real Avilés

3/5

Lugo vs Mérida AD Prediction & Tips

Lugo took on Mérida AD in the Spain Primera División RFEF - Group 1. Lugo had won 7 and drawn 1 of their 9 league games this season, while Mérida AD have 4 wins and 1 draws from 9.

Our model favoured Lugo as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.9, with both teams to score rated at 57.3%. The published tip for this match was Under 3.5 at a 79% win probability.

Published by

Goodluck Basil

Football Analyst & Predictor

Lugo vs Mérida AD FAQs

When did the match between Lugo and Mérida AD take place? +

The match between Lugo and Mérida AD took place on Sun, 1st Nov 2026 at 6:45 PM.

Which league is this match in? +

Spain Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What is their ranking in the league table this season? +

Lugo are 1st on the table, while Mérida AD are 4th.

How accurate was the prediction for this match? +

The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.

Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +

Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.

How often are predictions updated? +

Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Lugo vs Mérida AD Prediction & Match Preview

League: Spain : Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Date: Sun, Nov 1st 2026

Venue: Estadio Anxo Carro,