Leça Vs Varzim
Leça Vs Varzim Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga 3

4:00 PM
Oct 31st
VarzimLeça: Matches Played 10
6 Wins
In last 10 games
3 Losses
In last 10 games
1 Draws
In last 10 games
Varzim: Matches Played 10
5 Wins
In last 10 games
5 Losses
In last 10 games
0 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
No head-to-head data yet.
Last Matches (Leça)
Leça
Pacos Ferreira
Penafiel
Leça
Mortágua
Trofense
Leça
Paredes
Guimaraes B
Leça
Last Matches (Varzim)
Varzim
São João Ver
Vitória de Sernache
Varzim
Varzim
Varzim
Pacos Ferreira
Varzim
Trofense
Tirsense
League Table
Paredes
AD Marco 09
Fafe
Leça
São João Ver
Vianense
Varzim
Pacos Ferreira
Guimaraes B
Trofense
CF Os Belenenses
Atlético CP
Mafra
Oliveirense
União Santarém
Louletano
Caldas
SC Covilha
Lusitano Évora 1911
Vitória de SernacheTop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2.9
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 94.5% | 5.5% |
| 1.5 goals | 78.5% | 21.5% |
| 2.5 goals | 55.4% | 44.6% |
| 3.5 goals | 33% | 67% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
58.6%
No
41.4%
1X
62.4%
12
75.2%
X2
62.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
0-1
8%
1-0
8%
2-2
6.1%
0-2
5.8%
2-0
5.8%
1 / 1
22.3%
1 / X
5.3%
1 / 2
2.4%
X / 1
12.9%
X / X
14.1%
X / 2
12.9%
2 / 1
2.4%
2 / X
5.3%
2 / 2
22.3%
Home -0.25
47.9%
odds 1.98
Away -0.25
52.1%
odds 1.82
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 9
53.2%
odds 1.78
Under 9
46.8%
odds 2.02
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Leça
Advice: Double chance : Leça or draw
Expected goals: 2.9
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Leça
Varzim
Average Event Minute
Leça
Varzim
Season Statistics
| Leça | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | DLWLWWL | WWWLLLL |
| Played | 7 | 7 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 |
| Biggest win streak | 2 | 3 |
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Leça
A · 7 Nov
Vianense
4/5A · 21 Nov
União de Leiria
UnratedA · 29 Nov
São João Ver
4/5H · 6 Dec
Guimaraes B
3/5H · 13 Dec
Paredes
5/5A · 20 Dec
Fafe
5/5H · 3 Jan
Trofense
3/5A · 10 Jan
AD Marco 09
5/5Varzim
H · 8 Nov
Fafe
5/5H · 28 Nov
Trofense
3/5A · 6 Dec
AD Marco 09
5/5H · 13 Dec
Pacos Ferreira
4/5A · 20 Dec
Paredes
5/5A · 3 Jan
Vianense
4/5H · 10 Jan
São João Ver
4/5A · 17 Jan
Guimaraes B
3/5Leça vs Varzim Prediction & Tips
Leça takes on Varzim in the Portugal Liga 3 on Saturday, 31 October 2026. Leça have won 3 and drawn 1 of their 7 league games this season, while Varzim have 3 wins and 0 draws from 7.
Our model favours Leça as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.9, with both teams to score rated at 58.6%. The published tip for this match is Under 3.5 at a 79% win probability.
Published by
Pá Vick
Football Analyst & Predictor
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Match Preview
Leça vs Varzim Prediction & Match Preview
League: Portugal : Liga 3
Date: Sat, Oct 31st 2026
Venue: Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube,