VictorsPredict

Mara Sugar Vs AFC Leopards

Mara Sugar Vs AFC Leopards Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

FKF Premier League

Mara Sugar

0 : 0 FT

Oct 28th

AFC Leopards
Prediction Odds Confidence
X2 1.34
WON

Mara Sugar: Matches Played 10

DLDWD
W

4 Wins

In last 10 games

L

3 Losses

In last 10 games

D

3 Draws

In last 10 games

AFC Leopards: Matches Played 10

LLDWD
W

5 Wins

In last 10 games

L

2 Losses

In last 10 games

D

3 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
10% 2.88
45% 2.60
45% 2.50

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
9 May 2026 • FKF Premier League
L
AFC Leopards
2 1
Mara Sugar
8 November 2025 • FKF Premier League
W
Mara Sugar
2 0
AFC Leopards
15 February 2025 • FKF Premier League
L
Mara Sugar
1 2
AFC Leopards
10 November 2024 • FKF Premier League
D
AFC Leopards
1 1
Mara Sugar
Last Matches (Mara Sugar)
24 October 2026 • FKF Premier League
D
Ulinzi Stars
0 0
Mara Sugar
19 October 2026 • FKF Premier League
W
Mara Sugar
2 1
Mombasa Elite
11 October 2026 • FKF Premier League
D
3K
2 2
Mara Sugar
31 May 2026 • FKF Premier League
L
Murang'a SEAL
2 1
Mara Sugar
27 May 2026 • FKF Premier League
D
Mara Sugar
0 0
GOR Mahia
16 May 2026 • FKF Premier League
L
Mara Sugar
0 1
Mathare United
13 May 2026 • FKF Premier League
W
Mara Sugar
1 0
Shabana
9 May 2026 • FKF Premier League
L
AFC Leopards
2 1
Mara Sugar
24 April 2026 • FKF Premier League
W
Tusker
0 1
Mara Sugar
18 April 2026 • FKF Premier League
W
Kariobangi Sharks
0 1
Mara Sugar
Last Matches (AFC Leopards)
1 November 2026 • FKF Premier League
W
AFC Leopards
2 0
Homeboyz
28 October 2026 • FKF Premier League
D
Mara Sugar
0 0
AFC Leopards
25 October 2026 • FKF Premier League
D
AFC Leopards
0 0
Shabana
20 October 2026 • FKF Premier League
W
Kenya Police
1 2
AFC Leopards
14 October 2026 • FKF Premier League
D
AFC Leopards
0 0
Bandari
31 May 2026 • FKF Premier League
L
AFC Leopards
1 2
Bidco United
24 May 2026 • FKF Premier League
L
APS Bomet
2 1
AFC Leopards
16 May 2026 • FKF Premier League
W
Homeboyz
1 2
AFC Leopards
13 May 2026 • FKF Premier League
W
Ulinzi Stars
0 2
AFC Leopards
9 May 2026 • FKF Premier League
W
AFC Leopards
2 1
Mara Sugar

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
GOR Mahia
5 4 0 1 8-4 4 12
LWWWW
2
KCB
5 3 1 1 8-5 3 10
WWLWD
3
AFC Leopards
5 2 3 0 4-1 3 9
WDDWD
4
Murang'a SEAL
5 2 1 2 11-9 2 7
DWLWL
5
Migori Youth
4 1 3 0 4-2 2 6
WDDD
6
APS Bomet
5 1 3 1 4-2 2 6
DWDLD
7
Mara Sugar
4 1 3 0 4-3 1 6
DDWD
8
Shabana
4 1 3 0 2-1 1 6
DDDW
9
Kenya Police
4 1 2 1 3-3 0 5
WDLD
10
Mathare United
4 1 2 1 2-2 0 5
WDLD
11
3K
4 1 2 1 5-7 -2 5
LWDD
12
Nairobi United
5 0 4 1 6-7 -1 4
DLDDD
13
Bandari
5 0 4 1 2-3 -1 4
DDLDD
14
Homeboyz
4 1 1 2 2-4 -2 4
LLDW
15
Posta Rangers FC
4 1 1 2 2-6 -4 4
DWLL
16
Tusker
2 1 0 1 3-2 1 3
LW
17
Ulinzi Stars
4 0 2 2 1-4 -3 2
LDDL
18
Mombasa Elite
5 0 1 4 2-8 -6 1
LLDLL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 1.6

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals80.8%19.2%
1.5 goals49.1%50.9%
2.5 goals23%77%
3.5 goals8.6%91.4%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: AFC Leopards

Advice: Double chance : draw or AFC Leopards

Expected goals: 1.6

Form 50% / 50%
Attack 67% / 33%
Defence 25% / 75%
Poisson 44% / 56%
Head-to-head 38% / 62%
Goals 50% / 50%
Overall 45.7% / 54.3%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Mara Sugar 3/6
AFC Leopards 3/6

Over 2.5

Mara Sugar 3/6
AFC Leopards 2/6

Over 3.5

Mara Sugar 1/6
AFC Leopards 0/6

BTTS (Yes)

Mara Sugar 3/6
AFC Leopards 2/6

Goals By Time Period

Mara Sugar

1
0-15
1
16-30
2
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
76+

AFC Leopards

1
0-15
16-30
1
31-45
3
46-60
61-75
1
76+

Average Event Minute

Mara Sugar

First goal scored: 21' First goal conceded: 58' First card: —

AFC Leopards

First goal scored: 38' First goal conceded: 71' First card: —

Season Statistics

Mara SugarAFC Leopards
Form
DWD
DWD
Played33
Wins11
Draws22
Losses00
Goals for (avg)1.30.7
Goals against (avg)10.3
Clean sheets12
Failed to score12
Biggest win streak11

Trends

3 match streak · FKF Premier League

Mara Sugar are unbeaten in their last 3 matches in FKF Premier League.

5 match streak · FKF Premier League

AFC Leopards are unbeaten in their last 5 matches in FKF Premier League.

3 match streak · FKF Premier League

AFC Leopards have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches in FKF Premier League.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Mara Sugar

H · 1 Nov

Kenya Police

3/5

H · 7 Nov

Homeboyz

2/5

A · 20 Nov

KCB

5/5

H · 25 Nov

GOR Mahia

5/5

A · 29 Nov

Bandari

2/5

H · 5 Dec

Murang'a SEAL

4/5

A · 11 Dec

Posta Rangers FC

2/5

H · 16 Dec

Mathare United

3/5

AFC Leopards

A · 7 Nov

3K

3/5

H · 14 Nov

Mombasa Elite

1/5

A · 21 Nov

Migori Youth

4/5

A · 25 Nov

Ulinzi Stars

1/5

H · 29 Nov

Tusker

1/5

A · 6 Dec

GOR Mahia

5/5

A · 11 Dec

KCB

5/5

H · 13 Dec

APS Bomet

4/5

Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards Prediction & Tips

Mara Sugar took on AFC Leopards in the Kenya FKF Premier League. Mara Sugar had won 1 and drawn 2 of their 3 league games this season, while AFC Leopards have 1 wins and 2 draws from 3.

Our model favoured AFC Leopards as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 1.6, with both teams to score rated at 31.5%. The published tip for this match was X2 at a 75% win probability.

V

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards FAQs

When did the match between Mara Sugar and AFC Leopards take place? +
The match between Mara Sugar and AFC Leopards took place on Wed, 28th Oct 2026 at 2:15 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
Kenya FKF Premier League
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
Mara Sugar are 7th on the table, while AFC Leopards are 3rd.
How accurate was the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Mara Sugar vs AFC Leopards Prediction & Match Preview

League: Kenya : FKF Premier League

Date: Wed, Oct 28th 2026

Venue: ,