VictorsPredict

Derry City Vs Dundalk

Derry City Vs Dundalk Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Premier Division

Derry City

2 : 1 FT

Oct 23rd

Dundalk
Prediction Odds Confidence
1X 1.21
WON

Derry City: Matches Played 10

WDWLW
W

6 Wins

In last 10 games

L

2 Losses

In last 10 games

D

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Dundalk: Matches Played 10

DLLLD
W

2 Wins

In last 10 games

L

6 Losses

In last 10 games

D

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
45% 1.67
45% 3.90
10% 4.40

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
6 September 2026 • FAI Cup
W
Derry City
4 2
Dundalk
29 May 2026 • Premier Division
L
Dundalk
2 1
Derry City
10 April 2026 • Premier Division
D
Dundalk
2 2
Derry City
13 February 2026 • Premier Division
D
Derry City
2 2
Dundalk
18 October 2024 • Premier Division
W
Dundalk
0 2
Derry City
9 August 2024 • Premier Division
D
Derry City
1 1
Dundalk
31 May 2024 • Premier Division
D
Dundalk
0 0
Derry City
5 April 2024 • Premier Division
W
Derry City
4 1
Dundalk
1 September 2023 • Premier Division
W
Dundalk
1 3
Derry City
Last Matches (Derry City)
23 October 2026 • Premier Division
W
Derry City
2 1
Dundalk
19 October 2026 • Premier Division
W
Derry City
1 0
St Patrick's Athl.
16 October 2026 • Premier Division
L
Drogheda United
2 0
Derry City
10 October 2026 • FAI Cup
W
Galway United
0 2
Derry City
18 September 2026 • Premier Division
W
Derry City
1 0
Galway United
14 September 2026 • Premier Division
D
Waterford
2 2
Derry City
11 September 2026 • Premier Division
W
Shelbourne
0 1
Derry City
6 September 2026 • FAI Cup
W
Derry City
4 2
Dundalk
30 August 2026 • Premier Division
D
Derry City
3 3
Shamrock Rovers
21 August 2026 • Premier Division
L
Bohemians
5 3
Derry City
Last Matches (Dundalk)
23 October 2026 • Premier Division
L
Derry City
2 1
Dundalk
17 October 2026 • Premier Division
D
Sligo Rovers
1 1
Dundalk
2 October 2026 • Premier Division
L
Dundalk
1 2
Bohemians
18 September 2026 • Premier Division
L
Dundalk
2 3
Shelbourne
14 September 2026 • Premier Division
L
Dundalk
0 4
St Patrick's Athl.
11 September 2026 • Premier Division
D
Waterford
1 1
Dundalk
6 September 2026 • FAI Cup
L
Derry City
4 2
Dundalk
28 August 2026 • Premier Division
W
Drogheda United
2 3
Dundalk
21 August 2026 • Premier Division
L
Dundalk
1 2
Galway United
15 August 2026 • FAI Cup
W
Dundalk
8 0
Castlebar Celtic

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Shamrock Rovers
35 20 8 7 58-35 23 68
WLWWW
2
Bohemians
35 18 8 9 60-42 18 62
LWLWW
3
St Patrick's Athl.
35 17 9 9 53-28 25 60
DLLWW
4
Shelbourne
35 12 13 10 50-47 3 49
WWWDW
5
Derry City
35 11 14 10 48-45 3 47
WWLWD
6
Galway United
35 10 12 13 46-51 -5 42
DLWDL
7
Dundalk
35 10 12 13 52-58 -6 42
LDLLL
8
Waterford
35 9 13 13 51-59 -8 40
WWLLD
9
Drogheda United
35 9 10 16 42-57 -15 37
LWLLW
10
Sligo Rovers
35 5 9 21 26-64 -38 24
LDLLL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.9

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals94.5%5.5%
1.5 goals78.5%21.5%
2.5 goals55.4%44.6%
3.5 goals33%67%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Derry City

Advice: Double chance : Derry City or draw

Expected goals: 2.9

Form 83% / 17%
Attack 50% / 50%
Defence 73% / 27%
Poisson 59% / 41%
Head-to-head 62% / 38%
Goals 58% / 42%
Overall 64.2% / 35.8%

Match Centre

1.76 expected_goals 0.82
401 Passes accurate 320
10 Shots insidebox 6
6 Shots outsidebox 6
4 Blocked Shots 3
12 Free Kicks 11
8 Shots on Goal 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
4 Shots off Goal 4
5 Offsides 0
499 Total passes 424
16 Total Shots 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
2 Corner Kicks 5
11 Fouls 13
0 Red Cards 0
53% Ball Possession 47%
12' ⚽ Home
43' 🟨 Home
53' 🟨 Away
56' 🔁 Away
56' 🔁 Away
59' 🟨 Away
67' 🔁 Home
69' 🔁 Away
69' 🔁 Away
69' 🔁 Away
71' ⚽ Home
74' 🔁 Home
74' 🔁 Home
79' ⚽ Away
87' 🔁 Home
87' 🔁 Home
89' 🟨 Home

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Derry City 4/6
Dundalk 6/6

Over 2.5

Derry City 2/6
Dundalk 4/6

Over 3.5

Derry City 1/6
Dundalk 2/6

BTTS (Yes)

Derry City 2/6
Dundalk 5/6

Goals By Time Period

Derry City

2
0-15
1
16-30
2
31-45
1
46-60
2
61-75
76+

Dundalk

0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
3
76+

Average Event Minute

Derry City

First goal scored: 31' First goal conceded: 44' First card: 30'

Dundalk

First goal scored: 86' First goal conceded: 28' First card: 41'

Season Statistics

Derry CityDundalk
Form
WDLWLLDDLDDWWDDLDDDLWLDWLDWLDWDWLW
DDDLDWWDWWDWLLDLWDWWWLLLDDLLWDLLLD
Played3434
Wins1010
Draws1412
Losses1012
Goals for (avg)1.41.5
Goals against (avg)1.31.6
Clean sheets105
Failed to score83
Biggest win streak23

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 5 matches.

Derry City

Total shots 16
Blocked 6.6
56% off target 44% on target
47% inside box 53% outside box
Total passes 509.6
Accurate passes 416.6 (17%)
Possession 62%

Dundalk

Total shots 15.3
Blocked 5
39% off target 61% on target
58% inside box 42% outside box
Total passes 382
Accurate passes 268.3
Possession 50%

Trends

4 match streak · Premier Division

Dundalk have scored in each of their last 4 matches in Premier Division.

6 match streak · Premier Division

Dundalk have conceded in each of their last 6 matches in Premier Division.

4 match streak · Premier Division

Both teams have scored in each of Dundalk's last 4 matches in Premier Division.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Derry City

A · 30 Oct

Sligo Rovers

1/5

H · 8 Nov

Waterford

2/5

Dundalk

H · 30 Oct

Shamrock Rovers

5/5

Derry City vs Dundalk Prediction & Tips

Derry City took on Dundalk in the Ireland Premier Division. Derry City had won 10 and drawn 14 of their 34 league games this season, while Dundalk have 10 wins and 12 draws from 34.

Our model favoured Derry City as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.9, with both teams to score rated at 58.5%. The published tip for this match was 1X at a 83% win probability.

P

Published by

Pá Vick

Football Analyst & Predictor

Derry City vs Dundalk FAQs

When did the match between Derry City and Dundalk take place? +
The match between Derry City and Dundalk took place on Fri, 23rd Oct 2026 at 7:45 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
Ireland Premier Division
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
Derry City are 5th on the table, while Dundalk are 7th.
How accurate was the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Derry City vs Dundalk Prediction & Match Preview

League: Ireland : Premier Division

Date: Fri, Oct 23rd 2026

Venue: Brandywell Stadium,