VictorsPredict

De Graafschap Vs Waalwijk

De Graafschap Vs Waalwijk Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Eerste Divisie

De Graafschap

1 : 1 FT

Oct 23rd

Waalwijk
Prediction Odds Confidence
Over 2.5 1.35
LOST

De Graafschap: Matches Played 10

LWDWL
W

4 Wins

In last 10 games

L

4 Losses

In last 10 games

D

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Waalwijk: Matches Played 10

WLDLD
W

3 Wins

In last 10 games

L

3 Losses

In last 10 games

D

4 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
45% 2.62
45% 3.90
10% 2.20

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
23 January 2026 • Eerste Divisie
L
De Graafschap
2 4
Waalwijk
9 November 2025 • Eerste Divisie
W
Waalwijk
1 4
De Graafschap
30 March 2018 • Eerste Divisie
W
De Graafschap
1 0
Waalwijk
2 September 2017 • Eerste Divisie
D
Waalwijk
0 0
De Graafschap
7 April 2017 • Eerste Divisie
W
De Graafschap
4 0
Waalwijk
25 November 2016 • Eerste Divisie
L
Waalwijk
2 1
De Graafschap
17 March 2012 • Eredivisie
L
Waalwijk
1 0
De Graafschap
16 December 2011 • Eredivisie
L
De Graafschap
1 3
Waalwijk
Last Matches (De Graafschap)
30 October 2026 • Eerste Divisie
W
FC Volendam
1 2
De Graafschap
27 October 2026 • KNVB Beker
L
Roda
1 0
De Graafschap
23 October 2026 • Eerste Divisie
D
De Graafschap
1 1
Waalwijk
19 October 2026 • Eerste Divisie
L
Jong Ajax
2 1
De Graafschap
9 October 2026 • Eerste Divisie
W
De Graafschap
2 1
Jong Utrecht
3 October 2026 • Eerste Divisie
D
FC Eindhoven
2 2
De Graafschap
27 September 2026 • Eerste Divisie
W
De Graafschap
1 0
Den Bosch
20 September 2026 • Eerste Divisie
L
De Graafschap
1 2
NAC Breda
11 September 2026 • Eerste Divisie
W
Emmen
1 2
De Graafschap
4 September 2026 • Eerste Divisie
L
Heracles
5 0
De Graafschap
Last Matches (Waalwijk)
30 October 2026 • Eerste Divisie
L
Waalwijk
1 2
Almere City FC
23 October 2026 • Eerste Divisie
D
De Graafschap
1 1
Waalwijk
18 October 2026 • Eerste Divisie
D
Waalwijk
1 1
FC Volendam
9 October 2026 • Eerste Divisie
L
Heracles
3 0
Waalwijk
3 October 2026 • Eerste Divisie
D
Waalwijk
1 1
Emmen
26 September 2026 • Eerste Divisie
L
Roda
2 0
Waalwijk
18 September 2026 • Eerste Divisie
W
Waalwijk
6 1
MVV
11 September 2026 • Eerste Divisie
W
Jong Ajax
0 2
Waalwijk
4 September 2026 • Eerste Divisie
W
Waalwijk
4 2
NAC Breda
28 August 2026 • Eerste Divisie
D
Waalwijk
2 2
Jong PSV U21

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Heracles
12 9 2 1 37-14 23 29
DWWDW
2
VVV Venlo
13 9 1 3 36-21 15 28
WWDWW
3
Emmen
12 8 1 3 26-19 7 25
WWWDW
4
Almere City FC
13 8 1 4 27-13 14 25
WLLWW
5
Roda
13 7 4 2 17-12 5 25
WWWDL
6
NAC Breda
12 6 3 3 23-20 3 21
DWWDW
7
FC Volendam
13 6 1 6 30-22 8 19
LWDWL
8
Vitesse
12 5 2 5 16-17 -1 17
LWLDL
9
Jong AZ
13 5 2 6 32-28 4 17
LWDLW
10
MVV
13 5 2 6 17-29 -12 17
LDLLL
11
Jong PSV U21
12 4 4 4 17-19 -2 16
WLDLD
12
Waalwijk
13 3 7 3 22-19 3 16
LDDLD
13
Den Bosch
12 4 3 5 18-21 -3 15
DWWDL
14
De Graafschap
13 4 3 6 17-27 -10 15
WDLWD
15
FC OSS
12 4 1 7 19-20 -1 13
DLWWL
16
Jong Ajax
12 3 3 6 18-29 -11 12
DWLDL
17
Helmond Sport
13 3 3 7 23-28 -5 12
WLLLD
18
Dordrecht
12 3 2 7 16-31 -15 11
LWLDW
19
FC Eindhoven
13 3 2 8 18-28 -10 11
LLLLD
20
Jong Utrecht
12 2 1 9 19-31 -12 7
LLLLW
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 3.5

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals96.8%3.2%
1.5 goals85.8%14.2%
2.5 goals67%33%
3.5 goals45.2%54.8%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: De Graafschap

Advice: Double chance : De Graafschap or draw

Expected goals: 3.5

Form 58% / 42%
Attack 47% / 53%
Defence 53% / 47%
Poisson 44% / 56%
Head-to-head 71% / 29%
Goals 69% / 31%
Overall 57% / 43%

Match Centre

332 Passes accurate 318
5 Shots insidebox 14
6 Shots outsidebox 9
2 Blocked Shots 8
15 Free Kicks 12
3 Shots on Goal 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
6 Shots off Goal 12
1 Offsides 0
418 Total passes 399
11 Total Shots 23
5 Corner Kicks 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
13 Fouls 15
0 Red Cards 0
38% Ball Possession 62%
1.02 expected_goals 1.59
33' ⚽ Home
62' 🔁 Away
62' 🔁 Away
65' 🔁 Home
65' 🔁 Home
71' 🔁 Home
73' 🟨 Away
77' 🔁 Away
77' 🔁 Away
79' 🔁 Home
79' 🔁 Home
83' ⚽ Away
89' 🔁 Away

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

De Graafschap 5/6
Waalwijk 6/6

Over 2.5

De Graafschap 4/6
Waalwijk 2/6

Over 3.5

De Graafschap 1/6
Waalwijk 0/6

BTTS (Yes)

De Graafschap 5/6
Waalwijk 4/6

Goals By Time Period

De Graafschap

0-15
16-30
2
31-45
2
46-60
2
61-75
2
76+

Waalwijk

0-15
1
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
3
76+

Average Event Minute

De Graafschap

First goal scored: 51' First goal conceded: 43' First card: 56'

Waalwijk

First goal scored: 69' First goal conceded: 31' First card: 49'

Season Statistics

De GraafschapWaalwijk
Form
DLLLLWLWDWL
DDDDWWWLDLD
Played1111
Wins33
Draws26
Losses62
Goals for (avg)1.31.8
Goals against (avg)2.31.5
Clean sheets11
Failed to score12
Biggest win streak13

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

De Graafschap

Total shots 14.7
Blocked 3.7
57% off target 43% on target
63% inside box 37% outside box
Total passes 460.5
Accurate passes 389 (15%)
Possession 53%

Waalwijk

Total shots 15.5
Blocked 4.7
62% off target 38% on target
55% inside box 45% outside box
Total passes 418.7
Accurate passes 341.2
Possession 52%

Trends

3 match streak · Eerste Divisie

Waalwijk have scored in each of their last 3 matches in Eerste Divisie.

7 match streak · Eerste Divisie

Waalwijk have conceded in each of their last 7 matches in Eerste Divisie.

3 match streak · Eerste Divisie

Both teams have scored in each of Waalwijk's last 3 matches in Eerste Divisie.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

De Graafschap

A · 8 Nov

Vitesse

4/5

H · 14 Nov

FC OSS

2/5

H · 20 Nov

MVV

3/5

A · 29 Nov

Roda

4/5

A · 7 Dec

Jong PSV U21

3/5

H · 11 Dec

Dordrecht

1/5

H · 18 Dec

Heracles

5/5

A · 8 Jan

Den Bosch

2/5

Waalwijk

A · 6 Nov

FC OSS

2/5

H · 14 Nov

Den Bosch

2/5

A · 21 Nov

FC Eindhoven

1/5

A · 27 Nov

VVV Venlo

5/5

H · 4 Dec

Jong AZ

3/5

A · 11 Dec

Jong Utrecht

1/5

H · 15 Dec

Cambuur

Unrated

H · 18 Dec

Jong Ajax

2/5

De Graafschap vs Waalwijk Prediction & Tips

De Graafschap took on Waalwijk in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie. De Graafschap had won 3 and drawn 2 of their 11 league games this season, while Waalwijk have 3 wins and 6 draws from 11.

Our model favoured De Graafschap as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 3.5, with both teams to score rated at 65.6%. The published tip for this match was Over 2.5 at a 74% win probability.

V

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

De Graafschap vs Waalwijk FAQs

When did the match between De Graafschap and Waalwijk take place? +
The match between De Graafschap and Waalwijk took place on Fri, 23rd Oct 2026 at 7:00 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
Netherlands Eerste Divisie
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
De Graafschap are 14th on the table, while Waalwijk are 12th.
How accurate was the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

De Graafschap vs Waalwijk Prediction & Match Preview

League: Netherlands : Eerste Divisie

Date: Fri, Oct 23rd 2026

Venue: De Vijverberg,