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LeaguesRacing Montevideo Vs Penarol
Racing Montevideo Vs Penarol Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera División - Apertura
11:30 PM
Oct 4th
PenarolRacing Montevideo: Matches Played 10
4 Wins
In last 10 games
4 Losses
In last 10 games
2 Draws
In last 10 games
Penarol: Matches Played 10
4 Wins
In last 10 games
2 Losses
In last 10 games
4 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
Racing Montevideo
PenarolPenarolRacing MontevideoPenarolPenarolPenarolRacing MontevideoPenarolRacing MontevideoLast Matches (Racing Montevideo)
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
JuventudRacing Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
OrientalRacing Montevideo
DanubioRacing Montevideo
Last Matches (Penarol)Penarol
JuventudLiverpool MontevideoPenarolRacing MontevideoAtletico TorquePenarolDanubioCerroPenarolLeague Table
Penarol
Deportivo MaldonadoAtletico TorqueClub NacionalRacing MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo
WanderersAlbion FCJuventudCentral Espanol
Cerro LargoBoston RiverCerro
Defensor SportingProgresoDanubioTop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2.2
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 89.5% | 10.5% |
| 1.5 goals | 65.7% | 34.3% |
| 2.5 goals | 39.1% | 60.9% |
| 3.5 goals | 19.1% | 80.9% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
45.1%
No
54.9%
1X
58%
12
71.5%
X2
70.4%
0-1
13.2%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
10.5%
1-0
10.5%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.3%
1 / 1
16.5%
1 / X
4.8%
1 / 2
1.9%
X / 1
11.6%
X / X
18.9%
X / 2
15.6%
2 / 1
1.4%
2 / X
4.8%
2 / 2
24.5%
Home -1
13.9%
odds 6.80
Away -1
86.1%
odds 1.10
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 8.5
50%
odds 1.83
Under 8.5
50%
odds 1.83
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Penarol
Advice: Double chance : draw or Penarol
Expected goals: 2.2
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Average Event Minute
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Season Statistics
| Racing Montevideo | Penarol | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | LDWWWWWDWWWDWDLWDDDDLWDWDWLWDL | WLWWDWWWLWLDLDWWWLWDWWWWDLWWWWD |
| Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 19 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Clean sheets | 13 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 5 |
| Biggest win streak | 5 | 4 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 5 matches.
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Racing Montevideo
H · 4 Oct
Penarol
5/5A · 10 Oct
Juventud
3/5Penarol
H · 31 Oct
Wanderers
3/5Racing Montevideo vs Penarol Prediction & Tips
Racing Montevideo takes on Penarol in the Uruguay Primera División - Apertura on Sunday, 4 October 2026. Racing Montevideo have won 14 and drawn 11 of their 30 league games this season, while Penarol have 19 wins and 6 draws from 31.
Our model favours Penarol as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.2, with both teams to score rated at 45.1%. The published tip for this match is Under 3.5 at a 85% win probability.
Published by
Goodluck Basil
Football Analyst & Predictor
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Match Preview
Racing Montevideo vs Penarol Prediction & Match Preview
League: Uruguay : Primera División - Apertura
Date: Sun, Oct 4th 2026
Venue: Estadio Osvaldo Roberto,