Atletico Paranaense Vs Atletico-MG

Atletico Paranaense Vs Atletico-MG Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Serie A

Atletico Paranaense

2 : 2 FT

Oct 8th

Atletico-MG

Prediction Odds Confidence

Under 3.5 1.26

LOST

Atletico Paranaense: Matches Played 10

WDLDW

4 Wins

In last 10 games

2 Losses

In last 10 games

4 Draws

In last 10 games

Atletico-MG: Matches Played 10

DWLWD

5 Wins

In last 10 games

3 Losses

In last 10 games

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away

10% 2.05

45% 3.25

45% 3.40

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H

5 April 2026 • Serie A

Atletico-MG

2 1

Atletico Paranaense

8 December 2024 • Serie A

Atletico-MG

1 0

Atletico Paranaense

16 November 2024 • Serie A

Atletico Paranaense

1 0

Atletico-MG

2 September 2023 • Serie A

Atletico Paranaense

1 1

Atletico-MG

23 May 2023 • CONMEBOL Libertadores

Atletico-MG

2 1

Atletico Paranaense

30 April 2023 • Serie A

Atletico-MG

2 1

Atletico Paranaense

19 April 2023 • CONMEBOL Libertadores

Atletico Paranaense

2 1

Atletico-MG

7 August 2022 • Serie A

Atletico-MG

2 3

Atletico Paranaense

17 April 2022 • Serie A

Atletico Paranaense

0 1

Atletico-MG

16 December 2021 • Copa Do Brasil

Atletico Paranaense

1 2

Atletico-MG

Last Matches (Atletico Paranaense)

17 October 2026 • Serie A

Atletico Paranaense

0 2

Palmeiras

12 October 2026 • Serie A

Chapecoense-sc

1 4

Atletico Paranaense

8 October 2026 • Serie A

Atletico Paranaense

2 2

Atletico-MG

20 September 2026 • Serie A

Atletico Paranaense

2 1

Bahia

12 September 2026 • Serie A

Coritiba

3 3

Atletico Paranaense

6 September 2026 • Serie A

Cruzeiro

3 1

Atletico Paranaense

30 August 2026 • Serie A

Atletico Paranaense

3 3

Fluminense

24 August 2026 • Serie A

Botafogo

2 3

Atletico Paranaense

15 August 2026 • Serie A

Atletico Paranaense

1 1

RB Bragantino

9 August 2026 • Serie A

Santos

0 2

Atletico Paranaense

Last Matches (Atletico-MG)

29 October 2026 • Serie A

Atletico-MG

0 1

Cruzeiro

26 October 2026 • Serie A

Flamengo

3 2

Atletico-MG

21 October 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Atletico Torque

2 0

Atletico-MG

17 October 2026 • Serie A

Atletico-MG

1 0

Coritiba

14 October 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Atletico-MG

3 0

Atletico Torque

11 October 2026 • Serie A

Atletico-MG

2 1

Santos

8 October 2026 • Serie A

Atletico Paranaense

2 2

Atletico-MG

3 October 2026 • Serie A

Atletico-MG

1 0

RB Bragantino

19 September 2026 • Serie A

Atletico-MG

1 1

Chapecoense-sc

12 September 2026 • Serie A

Atletico-MG

3 1

Fluminense

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form

Flamengo

33 22 7 4 68-28 40 73

WWWWD

Palmeiras

33 20 10 3 56-22 34 70

DWWWW

Cruzeiro

33 17 6 10 52-46 6 57

WWWLW

Fluminense

33 15 9 9 52-42 10 54

WLLLW

Atletico Paranaense

33 15 9 9 50-40 10 54

LDLWD

Bahia

33 14 11 8 48-42 6 53

WDLWL

Atletico-MG

33 14 8 11 44-39 5 50

LLWWD

Santos

33 12 11 10 49-47 2 47

DDWLD

RB Bragantino

33 12 8 13 42-38 4 44

WLDWD

Sao Paulo

33 12 7 14 39-39 0 43

LDWWL

Botafogo

33 10 9 14 45-53 -8 39

LLWDL

Coritiba

32 10 9 13 38-50 -12 39

LLDLL

Vasco DA Gama

32 10 8 14 40-49 -9 38

LWLDW

Vitoria

32 10 8 14 35-46 -11 38

DDLWL

Gremio

33 9 10 14 37-44 -7 37

WWLDD

Mirassol

32 9 10 13 37-45 -8 37

DWLDW

Internacional

33 8 11 14 37-42 -5 35

LWLDW

Corinthians

32 8 9 15 34-42 -8 33

LDLLL

Remo

33 6 11 16 36-51 -15 29

WLDDD

Chapecoense-sc

32 4 9 19 32-66 -34 21

LWLLL

See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.5

Line	Over	Under
0.5 goals	91.8%	8.2%
1.5 goals	71.3%	28.7%
2.5 goals	45.6%	54.4%
3.5 goals	24.2%	75.8%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Atletico-MG

Advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico-MG

Expected goals: 2.5

Form 44% / 56%

Attack 63% / 37%

Defence 29% / 71%

Poisson 68% / 32%

Head-to-head 29% / 71%

Goals 40% / 60%

Overall 45.5% / 54.5%

Match Centre

441 Passes accurate 427

17 Shots insidebox 7

14 Shots outsidebox 8

8 Blocked Shots 1

10 Free Kicks 13

10 Shots on Goal 9

7 Goalkeeper Saves 8

13 Shots off Goal 5

502 Total passes 488

31 Total Shots 15

10 Corner Kicks 4

0 Offsides 1

0 Red Cards 1

0 Yellow Cards 2

13 Fouls 11

51% Ball Possession 49%

8' ⚽ Home

27' ⚽ Away

38' 🔁 Away

61' 🔁 Home

67' 🟨 Away

67' 🔁 Away

68' 🔁 Away

73' 🟥 Away

74' 🟨 Away

76' 🔁 Away

81' 🔁 Home

90' 🔁 Home

90' ⚽ Home

90' ⚽ Away

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Atletico Paranaense 6/6

Atletico-MG 4/6

Over 2.5

Atletico Paranaense 5/6

Atletico-MG 3/6

Over 3.5

Atletico Paranaense 4/6

Atletico-MG 1/6

BTTS (Yes)

Atletico Paranaense 5/6

Atletico-MG 2/6

Goals By Time Period

Atletico Paranaense

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Atletico-MG

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Average Event Minute

Atletico Paranaense

First goal scored: 18' First goal conceded: 34' First card: 43'

Atletico-MG

First goal scored: 53' First goal conceded: 54' First card: 51'

Season Statistics

	Atletico Paranaense	Atletico-MG
Form	WWLDLWWWLLWLWDLDWWWWDWDWDLDW	DLDLWLWLWWLLLWDWLWDWDWDWLWDW
Played	28	28
Wins	14	12
Draws	7	7
Losses	7	9
Goals for (avg)	1.5	1.3
Goals against (avg)	1.1	1.1
Clean sheets	8	7
Failed to score	6	9
Biggest win streak	4	2

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Atletico Paranaense

Total shots 18

Blocked 5

47% off target 53% on target

54% inside box 46% outside box

Total passes 426.3

Accurate passes 358.2 (14%)

Possession 51%

Atletico-MG

Total shots 14.2

Blocked 3.3

53% off target 47% on target

71% inside box 29% outside box

Total passes 485

Accurate passes 414.8 (14%)

Possession 49%

Trends

9 match streak · Serie A

Atletico Paranaense have conceded in each of their last 9 matches in Serie A.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Atletico Paranaense

A · 24 Oct

Vitoria

2/5

A · 30 Oct

Gremio

2/5

H · 4 Nov

Vasco DA Gama

2/5

A · 18 Nov

Flamengo

5/5

H · 22 Nov

Remo

1/5

A · 29 Nov

Mirassol

2/5

H · 2 Dec

Sao Paulo

3/5

Atletico-MG

A · 1 Nov

Gremio

2/5

A · 5 Nov

Botafogo

3/5

H · 7 Nov

Gremio

2/5

A · 14 Nov

Mirassol

2/5

H · 21 Nov

Boca Juniors

Unrated

H · 25 Nov

Corinthians

1/5

H · 29 Nov

Vasco DA Gama

2/5

A · 2 Dec

Bahia

4/5

Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG Prediction & Tips

Atletico Paranaense took on Atletico-MG in the Brazil Serie A. Atletico Paranaense had won 14 and drawn 7 of their 28 league games this season, while Atletico-MG have 12 wins and 7 draws from 28.

Our model favoured Atletico-MG as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.5, with both teams to score rated at 50.8%. The published tip for this match was Under 3.5 at a 79% win probability.

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG FAQs

When did the match between Atletico Paranaense and Atletico-MG take place? +

The match between Atletico Paranaense and Atletico-MG took place on Thu, 8th Oct 2026 at 12:00 AM.

Which league is this match in? +

Brazil Serie A

What is their ranking in the league table this season? +

Atletico Paranaense are 5th on the table, while Atletico-MG are 7th.

How accurate was the prediction for this match? +

The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.

Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +

Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.

How often are predictions updated? +

Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG Prediction & Match Preview

League: Brazil : Serie A

Date: Thu, Oct 8th 2026

Venue: Arena da Baixada,