Ternana Vs Montevarchi Calcio
Ternana Vs Montevarchi Calcio Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Serie D - Girone E

2:00 PM
Oct 4th
Montevarchi CalcioTernana: Matches Played 10
6 Wins
In last 10 games
1 Losses
In last 10 games
3 Draws
In last 10 games
Montevarchi Calcio: Matches Played 10
4 Wins
In last 10 games
4 Losses
In last 10 games
2 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
Montevarchi Calcio
Last Matches (Ternana)
Prato
Progresso
Ternana
Ternana
Lucchese
Ternana
Scandicci
Ternana
Mezzolara
Ternana
Last Matches (Montevarchi Calcio)
Montevarchi Calcio
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
Montevarchi Calcio
Ternana
Montevarchi Calcio
Robur Siena
Seravezza
Montevarchi Calcio
Lucchese
Montevarchi Calcio
League Table
Prato
Gavorrano
Robur Siena
Tau Altopascio
Seravezza
Ternana
Scandicci
Lucchese
Terranuova Traiana
Montevarchi Calcio
Flaminia
San Donato Tavarnelle
Mezzolara
Rondinella
Sasso Marconi Zola
Grassina
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
ProgressoTop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2.4
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 90.9% | 9.1% |
| 1.5 goals | 69.2% | 30.8% |
| 2.5 goals | 43% | 57% |
| 3.5 goals | 22.1% | 77.9% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
48.8%
No
51.2%
1X
63.8%
12
72.3%
X2
63.8%
1-1
13.1%
0-1
10.9%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
6.5%
1 / 1
20.8%
1 / X
5%
1 / 2
1.9%
X / 1
13.5%
X / X
17.7%
X / 2
13.5%
2 / 1
1.9%
2 / X
5%
2 / 2
20.8%
Home -1.25
35.4%
odds 2.56
Away -1.25
64.6%
odds 1.40
Implied from Marathonbet odds.
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Ternana
Advice: Double chance : Ternana or draw
Expected goals: 2.4
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Ternana
Montevarchi Calcio
Average Event Minute
Ternana
Montevarchi Calcio
Season Statistics
| Ternana | Montevarchi Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | LDLWD | LWDLW |
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1 | 1.6 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 |
| Biggest win streak | 1 | 1 |
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Ternana
H · 1 Nov
Seravezza
4/5A · 8 Nov
Rondinella
2/5A · 15 Nov
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
1/5H · 22 Nov
Grassina
1/5A · 29 Nov
San Donato Tavarnelle
2/5H · 6 Dec
Sasso Marconi Zola
2/5A · 13 Dec
Flaminia
3/5H · 20 Dec
Terranuova Traiana
3/5Montevarchi Calcio
H · 8 Nov
Sasso Marconi Zola
2/5A · 15 Nov
Flaminia
3/5H · 22 Nov
Terranuova Traiana
3/5A · 29 Nov
Prato
5/5H · 6 Dec
Gavorrano
5/5A · 13 Dec
Scandicci
4/5H · 20 Dec
Mezzolara
2/5H · 6 Jan
Lucchese
3/5Ternana vs Montevarchi Calcio Prediction & Tips
Ternana takes on Montevarchi Calcio in the Italy Serie D - Girone E on Sunday, 4 October 2026. Ternana have won 1 and drawn 2 of their 5 league games this season, while Montevarchi Calcio have 2 wins and 1 draws from 5.
Our model favours Ternana as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.4, with both teams to score rated at 48.8%. The published tip for this match is Under 3.5 at a 80% win probability.
Published by
Victor Moses
Football Analyst & Predictor
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Match Preview
Ternana vs Montevarchi Calcio Prediction & Match Preview
League: Italy : Serie D - Girone E
Date: Sun, Oct 4th 2026
Venue: Stadio Libero Liberati,