Home
BOTD
Basketball
Hockey
Handball
Article
LeaguesPenarol Vs Progreso
Penarol Vs Progreso Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera División - Apertura
1 : 1 FT
Oct 10th
ProgresoPenarol: Matches Played 10
4 Wins
In last 10 games
2 Losses
In last 10 games
4 Draws
In last 10 games
Progreso: Matches Played 10
5 Wins
In last 10 games
4 Losses
In last 10 games
1 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
Progreso
PenarolProgresoProgresoProgresoPenarolProgresoPenarolProgresoLast Matches (Penarol)Penarol
Juventud
Liverpool MontevideoPenarol
Racing MontevideoAtletico TorquePenarol
Danubio
CerroPenarol
Last Matches (Progreso)ProgresoPenarolLiverpool MontevideoProgresoBoston RiverProgreso
ProgresoAlbion FCAlbion FCProgresoLeague Table
Penarol
Deportivo MaldonadoAtletico TorqueClub NacionalRacing MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo
WanderersAlbion FCJuventud
Central Espanol
Cerro LargoBoston RiverCerro
Defensor SportingProgresoDanubioTop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2.5
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 91.4% | 8.6% |
| 1.5 goals | 70.2% | 29.8% |
| 2.5 goals | 44.3% | 55.7% |
| 3.5 goals | 23.2% | 76.8% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
45.7%
No
54.3%
1X
80.1%
12
75%
X2
44.9%
1-0
13.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
5%
1 / 1
34%
1 / X
4.4%
1 / 2
1.1%
X / 1
18.7%
X / X
16.3%
X / 2
8%
2 / 1
2.4%
2 / X
4.4%
2 / 2
10.8%
Home -1.25
50.5%
odds 1.88
Away -1.25
49.5%
odds 1.92
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 8.5
53.6%
odds 1.73
Under 8.5
46.4%
odds 2.00
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Penarol
Advice: Double chance : Penarol or draw
Expected goals: 2.5
Match Centre
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Penarol
Progreso
Average Event Minute
Penarol
Progreso
Season Statistics
| Penarol | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | WLWWDWWWLWLDLDWWWLWDWWWWDLWWWWDW | LLLDDWLDDLLWLLLLLWLLWLLLLWWLWWL |
| Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 20 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 19 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 11 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 13 |
| Biggest win streak | 4 | 2 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 5 matches.
Penarol
Progreso
Trends
5 match streak · Primera División
Progreso have scored in each of their last 5 matches in Primera División.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Penarol
H · 31 Oct
Wanderers
3/5Progreso
A · 25 Oct
Wanderers
3/5H · 1 Nov
Defensor Sporting
2/5Penarol vs Progreso Prediction & Tips
Penarol took on Progreso in the Uruguay Primera División - Apertura. Penarol had won 20 and drawn 6 of their 32 league games this season, while Progreso have 8 wins and 4 draws from 31.
Our model favoured Penarol as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.5, with both teams to score rated at 45.7%. The published tip for this match was Home at a 75% win probability.
Published by
Goodluck Basil
Football Analyst & Predictor
Penarol vs Progreso FAQs
When did the match between Penarol and Progreso take place? +
Which league is this match in? +
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
How accurate was the prediction for this match? +
Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
How often are predictions updated? +
Match Preview
Penarol vs Progreso Prediction & Match Preview
League: Uruguay : Primera División - Apertura
Date: Sat, Oct 10th 2026
Venue: Estadio Centenario, Montevideo