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LeaguesMarseille Vs Toulouse
Marseille Vs Toulouse Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Ligue 1
8:45 PM
Nov 1st
ToulouseMarseille: Matches Played 10
3 Wins
In last 10 games
7 Losses
In last 10 games
0 Draws
In last 10 games
Toulouse: Matches Played 10
2 Wins
In last 10 games
4 Losses
In last 10 games
4 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
Toulouse
MarseilleMarseilleMarseilleToulouseToulouseMarseilleToulouseMarseilleMarseilleLast Matches (Marseille)Marseille
Sturm Graz
AngersMarseille
Estac TroyesMarseille
Beşiktaş
RennesMarseille
MonacoLast Matches (Toulouse)Toulouse
Le MansMonacoToulouse
Toulouse
LorientToulouse
Stade Brestois 29Toulouse
Toulouse
League Table
Paris Saint GermainLilleRennesMonacoLyonParis FC
Nice
LensMarseilleLorientToulouse
AuxerreStade Brestois 29AngersEstac Troyes
StrasbourgLe MansLe HavreTop Scorers Table
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 3.4
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 96.6% | 3.4% |
| 1.5 goals | 85.3% | 14.7% |
| 2.5 goals | 66% | 34% |
| 3.5 goals | 44.1% | 55.9% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
66.4%
No
33.6%
1X
67.4%
12
77.6%
X2
55%
1-1
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
6.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.2%
1 / 1
27.8%
1 / X
5.4%
1 / 2
2.6%
X / 1
13.9%
X / X
11.6%
X / 2
10.7%
2 / 1
3.3%
2 / X
5.4%
2 / 2
19.3%
Home -1.25
32.9%
odds 2.85
Away -1.25
67.1%
odds 1.40
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 9.5
48.5%
odds 1.91
Under 9.5
51.5%
odds 1.80
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 3.5
53.6%
odds 1.73
Under 3.5
46.4%
odds 2.00
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Implied from Bet365 anytime-scorer odds (margin included, not devigged across players).
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Marseille
Advice: Combo Double chance : Marseille or draw and +1.5 goals
Expected goals: 3.4
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Marseille
Toulouse
Average Event Minute
Marseille
Toulouse
Season Statistics
| Marseille | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | WLLLLWWW | LDLDWDWD |
| Played | 8 | 8 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals for (avg) | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 |
| Biggest win streak | 1 | 1 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.
Marseille
Toulouse
Trends
3 match streak · Ligue 1
Toulouse are unbeaten in their last 3 matches in Ligue 1.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Marseille
H · 1 Nov
Toulouse
3/5A · 5 Nov
Bayer Leverkusen
UnratedA · 8 Nov
Lens
3/5H · 22 Nov
Le Mans
1/5H · 26 Nov
Levski Sofia
UnratedA · 29 Nov
Auxerre
2/5H · 6 Dec
Nice
4/5H · 10 Dec
Celta Vigo
UnratedToulouse
A · 1 Nov
Marseille
3/5H · 6 Nov
Strasbourg
1/5A · 21 Nov
Lens
3/5H · 29 Nov
Rennes
5/5H · 4 Dec
Paris Saint Germain
5/5A · 11 Dec
Auxerre
2/5H · 2 Jan
Angers
2/5A · 17 Jan
Paris FC
4/5Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction & Tips
Marseille takes on Toulouse in the France Ligue 1 on Sunday, 1 November 2026. Marseille have won 4 and drawn 0 of their 8 league games this season, while Toulouse have 2 wins and 4 draws from 8.
Our model favours Marseille as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 3.4, with both teams to score rated at 66.4%. The published tip for this match is 1X at a 78% win probability.
Published by
Victor Moses
Football Analyst & Predictor
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Match Preview
Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction & Match Preview
League: France : Ligue 1
Date: Sun, Nov 1st 2026
Venue: Orange Vélodrome,