VictorsPredict

Penafiel Vs Leça

Penafiel Vs Leça Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Taça de Portugal

Penafiel

0 : 1 FT

Oct 17th

Leça
Prediction Odds Confidence
Under 3.5 1.35
WON

Penafiel: Matches Played 10

W
W

6 Wins

In last 10 games

L

2 Losses

In last 10 games

D

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Leça: Matches Played 10

W
W

6 Wins

In last 10 games

L

3 Losses

In last 10 games

D

1 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
10% 1.62
45% 3.40
45% 4.60

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H

No head-to-head data yet.

Last Matches (Penafiel)
24 October 2026 • Segunda Liga
W
Farense
1 4
Penafiel
17 October 2026 • Taça de Portugal
L
Penafiel
0 1
Leça
9 October 2026 • Segunda Liga
L
Penafiel
1 2
AVS
25 September 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
D
Penafiel
2 2
Deportivo La Coruna
19 September 2026 • Taça de Portugal
W
Oliveirense
1 2
Penafiel
12 September 2026 • Segunda Liga
W
Felgueiras 1932
1 2
Penafiel
5 September 2026 • Segunda Liga
W
Penafiel
4 1
Academica
30 August 2026 • Segunda Liga
W
FC Porto B
0 3
Penafiel
23 August 2026 • Segunda Liga
W
Penafiel
2 0
Sporting CP B
15 August 2026 • Segunda Liga
D
Torreense
2 2
Penafiel
Last Matches (Leça)
31 October 2026 • Liga 3
W
Leça
2 0
Varzim
23 October 2026 • Liga 3
L
Pacos Ferreira
1 0
Leça
17 October 2026 • Taça de Portugal
W
Penafiel
0 1
Leça
10 October 2026 • Liga 3
W
Leça
2 0
AD Marco 09
20 September 2026 • Taça de Portugal
W
Mortágua
0 2
Leça
12 September 2026 • Liga 3
W
Trofense
1 4
Leça
6 September 2026 • Liga 3
L
Leça
0 3
Fafe
23 August 2026 • Liga 3
W
Paredes
1 2
Leça
15 August 2026 • Liga 3
L
Guimaraes B
2 0
Leça
9 August 2026 • Liga 3
D
Leça
1 1
São João Ver

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form

No standings available yet.

See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.5

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals91.8%8.2%
1.5 goals71.3%28.7%
2.5 goals45.6%54.4%
3.5 goals24.2%75.8%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Leça

Advice: Double chance : draw or Leça

Expected goals: 2.5

Form 50% / 50%
Attack 50% / 50%
Defence 0% / 100%
Overall 50% / 50%

Match Centre

28' 🟨 Home
39' ⚽ Away
73' 🟨 Home
86' 🟨 Home
90' 🟨 Away

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Penafiel 5/6
Leça 4/6

Over 2.5

Penafiel 5/6
Leça 1/6

Over 3.5

Penafiel 2/6
Leça 1/6

BTTS (Yes)

Penafiel 5/6
Leça 1/6

Goals By Time Period

Penafiel

4
0-15
1
16-30
31-45
2
46-60
2
61-75
2
76+

Leça

2
0-15
1
16-30
3
31-45
2
46-60
61-75
3
76+

Average Event Minute

Penafiel

First goal scored: 31' First goal conceded: 38' First card: 39'

Leça

First goal scored: 32' First goal conceded: 28' First card: 49'

Season Statistics

PenafielLeça
Form
W
W
Played11
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)22
Goals against (avg)10
Clean sheets01
Failed to score00
Biggest win streak11

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 3 matches.

Penafiel

Total shots 14.7
Blocked 0
62% off target 38% on target
Possession 34%

Leça

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Penafiel

A · 7 Nov

Chaves

Unrated

H · 15 Nov

Lusitânia Lourosa

Unrated

H · 29 Nov

Benfica B

Unrated

A · 6 Dec

Tondela

Unrated

H · 13 Dec

Leixoes

Unrated

A · 20 Dec

Vizela

Unrated

H · 27 Dec

Amarante

Unrated

A · 10 Jan

União de Leiria

Unrated

Leça

A · 7 Nov

Vianense

Unrated

A · 21 Nov

União de Leiria

Unrated

A · 29 Nov

São João Ver

Unrated

H · 6 Dec

Guimaraes B

Unrated

H · 13 Dec

Paredes

Unrated

A · 20 Dec

Fafe

Unrated

H · 3 Jan

Trofense

Unrated

A · 10 Jan

AD Marco 09

Unrated

Penafiel vs Leça Prediction & Tips

Penafiel took on Leça in the Portugal Taça de Portugal. Penafiel had won 1 and drawn 0 of their 1 league games this season, while Leça have 1 wins and 0 draws from 1.

Our model favoured Leça as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.5, with both teams to score rated at 49.1%. The published tip for this match was Under 3.5 at a 74% win probability.

P

Published by

Pá Vick

Football Analyst & Predictor

Penafiel vs Leça FAQs

When did the match between Penafiel and Leça take place? +
The match between Penafiel and Leça took place on Sat, 17th Oct 2026 at 8:00 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
Portugal Taça de Portugal
How accurate was the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Penafiel vs Leça Prediction & Match Preview

League: Portugal : Taça de Portugal

Date: Sat, Oct 17th 2026

Venue: Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril,