Iceland Vs Bulgaria
Iceland Vs Bulgaria Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
UEFA Nations League

3 : 0 FT
Oct 3rd
BulgariaIceland: Matches Played 10
3 Wins
In last 10 games
4 Losses
In last 10 games
3 Draws
In last 10 games
Bulgaria: Matches Played 10
3 Wins
In last 10 games
5 Losses
In last 10 games
2 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
No head-to-head data yet.
Last Matches (Iceland)
Iceland
Luxembourg
Iceland
Argentina
Japan
Haiti
Canada
Mexico
Ukraine
Azerbaijan
Last Matches (Bulgaria)
Iceland
Bulgaria
Bulgaria
Moldova
Bulgaria
Indonesia
Solomon Islands
Bulgaria
Türkiye
Spain
League Table
Austria
Kosovo
Rep. Of Ireland
IsraelTop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 86.5% | 13.5% |
| 1.5 goals | 59.4% | 40.6% |
| 2.5 goals | 32.3% | 67.7% |
| 3.5 goals | 14.3% | 85.7% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
30.6%
No
69.4%
1X
87.8%
12
74.2%
X2
37.9%
1-0
20.3%
2-0
15.2%
0-0
13.5%
1-1
10.2%
3-0
7.6%
2-1
7.6%
0-1
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
1 / 1
38.3%
1 / X
3.2%
1 / 2
0.5%
X / 1
22.1%
X / X
19.4%
X / 2
5.5%
2 / 1
1.7%
2 / X
3.2%
2 / 2
6.2%
Home -1.25
47.4%
odds 2.00
Away -1.25
52.6%
odds 1.80
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 8.5
51.5%
odds 1.80
Under 8.5
48.5%
odds 1.91
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 1.5
60.6%
odds 1.51
Under 1.5
39.4%
odds 2.32
Implied from 1xBet odds.
Implied from Bet365 anytime-scorer odds (margin included, not devigged across players).
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Iceland
Advice: Combo Double chance : Iceland or draw and -3.5 goals
Expected goals: 2
Match Centre
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Iceland
Bulgaria
Average Event Minute
Iceland
Bulgaria
Season Statistics
| Iceland | Bulgaria | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | DW | LD |
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 2 | 0.5 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0.5 | 1 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 |
| Biggest win streak | 0 | 0 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 5 matches.
Iceland
Bulgaria
Trends
3 match streak · UEFA Nations League
Iceland are unbeaten in their last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.
3 match streak · UEFA Nations League
Iceland have scored in each of their last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Iceland
A · 13 Nov
Bulgaria
UnratedH · 16 Nov
Luxembourg
UnratedBulgaria
A · 6 Oct
Luxembourg
UnratedH · 13 Nov
Iceland
UnratedA · 16 Nov
Estonia
UnratedIceland vs Bulgaria Prediction & Tips
Iceland took on Bulgaria in the World UEFA Nations League. Iceland had won 1 and drawn 1 of their 2 league games this season, while Bulgaria have 0 wins and 1 draws from 2.
Our model favoured Iceland as the more likely side (50% home, 50% draw, 0% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2, with both teams to score rated at 30.6%. The published tip for this match was Over 1.5 at a 81% win probability.
Published by
Pá Vick
Football Analyst & Predictor
Iceland vs Bulgaria FAQs
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Match Preview
Iceland vs Bulgaria Prediction & Match Preview
League: World : UEFA Nations League
Date: Sat, Oct 3rd 2026
Venue: Ice Rink Laugardalur,