Melfi Vs Nocerina
Melfi Vs Nocerina Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Serie D - Girone H

2:00 PM
Oct 4th
NocerinaMelfi: Matches Played 10
3 Wins
In last 10 games
6 Losses
In last 10 games
1 Draws
In last 10 games
Nocerina: Matches Played 10
4 Wins
In last 10 games
3 Losses
In last 10 games
3 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
No head-to-head data yet.
Last Matches (Melfi)
Melfi
Ebolitana
Melfi
Nardò
Melfi
Real Normanna
Melfi
Foggia
Melfi
Messina
Last Matches (Nocerina)
Melfi
Nocerina
Bisceglie
Nocerina
Manfredonia
Nocerina
Nocerina
Monastir
Nocerina
Atletico Lodigiani
League Table
Virtus Francavilla
Martina Franca
Turris
Brindisi
Bisceglie
Gravina
Manfredonia
Nocerina
Fidelis Andria
Gladiator
Real Normanna
USD Palmese
Ebolitana
Francavilla
Melfi
Real Forio 2014
Ischia
NardòTop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2.6
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 92.6% | 7.4% |
| 1.5 goals | 73.3% | 26.7% |
| 2.5 goals | 48.2% | 51.8% |
| 3.5 goals | 26.4% | 73.6% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
50.4%
No
49.6%
1X
48.7%
12
75%
X2
76.3%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
7.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.1%
1 / 1
13.1%
1 / X
4.7%
1 / 2
2.5%
X / 1
9.1%
X / X
15.5%
X / 2
17.3%
2 / 1
1.4%
2 / X
4.7%
2 / 2
31.5%
Home -1
11.2%
odds 8.10
Away -1
88.8%
odds 1.02
Implied from Marathonbet odds.
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Nocerina
Advice: Double chance : draw or Nocerina
Expected goals: 2.6
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Melfi
Nocerina
Average Event Minute
Melfi
Nocerina
Season Statistics
| Melfi | Nocerina | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | LLDWL | WDWLW |
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 1.6 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 0 |
| Biggest win streak | 1 | 1 |
Trends
3 match streak · Serie D - Girone H
Melfi have conceded in each of their last 3 matches in Serie D - Girone H.
6 match streak · Serie D - Girone H
Nocerina have scored in each of their last 6 matches in Serie D - Girone H.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Melfi
A · 11 Oct
Ischia
1/5H · 18 Oct
Bisceglie
4/5H · 25 Oct
USD Palmese
2/5A · 1 Nov
Manfredonia
4/5H · 8 Nov
Brindisi
4/5A · 15 Nov
Martina Franca
5/5H · 22 Nov
Gladiator
3/5A · 29 Nov
Gravina
4/5Nocerina
H · 7 Oct
Turris
5/5H · 11 Oct
Brindisi
4/5A · 18 Oct
Martina Franca
5/5H · 25 Oct
Gladiator
3/5A · 1 Nov
Gravina
4/5H · 8 Nov
Real Forio 2014
1/5A · 15 Nov
Fidelis Andria
3/5H · 22 Nov
Virtus Francavilla
5/5Melfi vs Nocerina Prediction & Tips
Melfi takes on Nocerina in the Italy Serie D - Girone H on Sunday, 4 October 2026. Melfi have won 1 and drawn 1 of their 5 league games this season, while Nocerina have 3 wins and 1 draws from 5.
Our model favours Nocerina as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.6, with both teams to score rated at 50.4%. The published tip for this match is Under 3.5 at a 78% win probability.
Published by
Goodluck Basil
Football Analyst & Predictor
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Match Preview
Melfi vs Nocerina Prediction & Match Preview
League: Italy : Serie D - Girone H
Date: Sun, Oct 4th 2026
Venue: ,