VictorsPredict

Mārupe Vs Riga Mariners

Mārupe Vs Riga Mariners Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

1. Liga

Mārupe

1 : 6 FT

Oct 24th

Riga Mariners
Prediction Odds Confidence
Over 2.5 1.35
WON

Mārupe: Matches Played 10

LWDWD
W

4 Wins

In last 10 games

L

4 Losses

In last 10 games

D

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Riga Mariners: Matches Played 10

WLWLW
W

7 Wins

In last 10 games

L

2 Losses

In last 10 games

D

1 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
10% 4.75
45% 4.75
45% 1.42

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
27 June 2026 • 1. Liga
L
Riga Mariners
2 0
Mārupe
9 August 2025 • 1. Liga
L
Riga Mariners
3 1
Mārupe
12 April 2025 • 1. Liga
L
Mārupe
1 2
Riga Mariners
Last Matches (Mārupe)
18 October 2026 • 1. Liga
D
JFK Ventspils
0 0
Mārupe
10 October 2026 • 1. Liga
W
Rīgas FS II
2 3
Mārupe
20 September 2026 • 1. Liga
D
Mārupe
0 0
Riga FC II
12 September 2026 • 1. Liga
W
Mārupe
5 0
Tukums II
29 August 2026 • 1. Liga
L
Mārupe
0 2
JDFS Alberts
22 August 2026 • 1. Liga
L
Valmiera / BSS
4 1
Mārupe
15 August 2026 • 1. Liga
W
Mārupe
2 1
Super Nova 2
8 August 2026 • 1. Liga
L
Mārupe
0 1
Leevon / PPK
1 August 2026 • 1. Liga
L
Skanste
4 2
Mārupe
25 July 2026 • 1. Liga
W
Rēzekne FA
1 2
Mārupe
Last Matches (Riga Mariners)
17 October 2026 • 1. Liga
W
Riga Mariners
4 3
Skanste
10 October 2026 • 1. Liga
L
Metta / LU
4 0
Riga Mariners
19 September 2026 • 1. Liga
W
Valmiera / BSS
2 4
Riga Mariners
12 September 2026 • 1. Liga
L
Smiltene
4 1
Riga Mariners
5 September 2026 • 1. Liga
W
Riga Mariners
5 0
Rēzekne FA
29 August 2026 • 1. Liga
W
Riga Mariners
3 1
Rīgas FS II
24 August 2026 • 1. Liga
W
Riga FC II
1 3
Riga Mariners
9 August 2026 • 1. Liga
W
Riga Mariners
4 2
Tukums II
31 July 2026 • 1. Liga
W
Super Nova 2
0 3
Riga Mariners
25 July 2026 • 1. Liga
D
Riga Mariners
1 1
JFK Ventspils

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Metta / LU
24 20 3 1 98-18 80 63
WWWWW
2
Valmiera / BSS
24 17 5 2 66-26 40 56
WDDLW
3
Riga Mariners
24 16 5 3 60-31 29 53
WWLWL
4
Leevon / PPK
24 16 5 3 49-29 20 53
LDWWD
5
JDFS Alberts
24 13 5 6 51-33 18 44
WDWLL
6
Riga FC II
24 9 6 9 39-39 0 33
WDWDD
7
Mārupe
24 10 3 11 38-40 -2 33
LDWDW
8
Super Nova 2
24 7 8 9 33-36 -3 29
WLDLD
9
Skanste
24 8 2 14 47-51 -4 26
LLLLW
10
Smiltene
24 6 5 13 37-62 -25 23
WDWWW
11
Tukums II
24 5 4 15 31-68 -37 19
LDLWW
12
Rīgas FS II
24 5 3 16 37-68 -31 18
LWLLL
13
JFK Ventspils
24 3 7 14 21-48 -27 16
LDLLW
14
Rēzekne FA
24 1 3 20 17-75 -58 6
LLLLD
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 3.4

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals96.5%3.5%
1.5 goals84.7%15.3%
2.5 goals65%35%
3.5 goals43%57%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Riga Mariners

Advice: Double chance : draw or Riga Mariners

Expected goals: 3.4

Form 47% / 53%
Attack 36% / 64%
Defence 76% / 24%
Poisson 39% / 61%
Head-to-head 0% / 100%
Goals 22% / 78%
Overall 44% / 56%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Mārupe 4/6
Riga Mariners 6/6

Over 2.5

Mārupe 3/6
Riga Mariners 6/6

Over 3.5

Mārupe 3/6
Riga Mariners 6/6

BTTS (Yes)

Mārupe 2/6
Riga Mariners 4/6

Goals By Time Period

Mārupe

1
0-15
2
16-30
3
31-45
46-60
61-75
3
76+

Riga Mariners

1
0-15
2
16-30
4
31-45
2
46-60
4
61-75
4
76+

Average Event Minute

Mārupe

First goal scored: 44' First goal conceded: 19' First card: —

Riga Mariners

First goal scored: 31' First goal conceded: 27' First card: —

Season Statistics

MārupeRiga Mariners
Form
WWDLLWWWLLLWLWLLWLLWDWD
WDWDWDWWDWWWLDWWWWWLWLW
Played2323
Wins1015
Draws35
Losses103
Goals for (avg)1.62.3
Goals against (avg)1.51.3
Clean sheets87
Failed to score71
Biggest win streak35

Trends

4 match streak · 1. Liga

Mārupe are unbeaten in their last 4 matches in 1. Liga.

4 match streak · 1. Liga

Riga Mariners have conceded in each of their last 4 matches in 1. Liga.

9 match streak · 1. Liga

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Riga Mariners's last 9 matches in 1. Liga.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Mārupe

H · 24 Oct

Riga Mariners

4/5

A · 31 Oct

Smiltene

2/5

A · 7 Nov

Metta / LU

5/5

Riga Mariners

A · 24 Oct

Mārupe

3/5

H · 31 Oct

JDFS Alberts

4/5

H · 7 Nov

Leevon / PPK

4/5

Mārupe vs Riga Mariners Prediction & Tips

Mārupe took on Riga Mariners in the Latvia 1. Liga. Mārupe had won 10 and drawn 3 of their 23 league games this season, while Riga Mariners have 15 wins and 5 draws from 23.

Our model favoured Riga Mariners as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 3.4, with both teams to score rated at 65.1%. The published tip for this match was Over 2.5 at a 74% win probability.

G

Published by

Goodluck Basil

Football Analyst & Predictor

Mārupe vs Riga Mariners FAQs

When did the match between Mārupe and Riga Mariners take place? +
The match between Mārupe and Riga Mariners took place on Sat, 24th Oct 2026 at 3:00 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
Latvia 1. Liga
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
Mārupe are 7th on the table, while Riga Mariners are 3rd.
How accurate was the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Mārupe vs Riga Mariners Prediction & Match Preview

League: Latvia : 1. Liga

Date: Sat, Oct 24th 2026

Venue: ,