VictorsPredict

Sarasota Paradise Vs Naples

Sarasota Paradise Vs Naples Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USL League One

Sarasota Paradise

2 : 3 FT

Oct 21st

Naples
Prediction Odds Confidence
Under 3.5 1.37
LOST

Sarasota Paradise: Matches Played 10

WWLWW
W

6 Wins

In last 10 games

L

1 Losses

In last 10 games

D

3 Draws

In last 10 games

Naples: Matches Played 10

DWWWW
W

6 Wins

In last 10 games

L

2 Losses

In last 10 games

D

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
35% 1.95
35% 3.30
30% 3.25

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
6 June 2026 • USL League One Cup
W
Naples
0 2
Sarasota Paradise
11 April 2026 • USL League One
L
Naples
2 0
Sarasota Paradise
18 March 2025 • US Open Cup
L
Sarasota Paradise
1 2
Naples
Last Matches (Sarasota Paradise)
17 October 2026 • USL League One
W
Fort Wayne
1 3
Sarasota Paradise
10 October 2026 • USL League One
W
Sarasota Paradise
3 2
Richmond Kickers
3 October 2026 • USL League One
L
Sarasota Paradise
2 3
Charlotte Independence
26 September 2026 • USL League One
W
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 4
Sarasota Paradise
19 September 2026 • USL League One
W
Sarasota Paradise
6 0
Greenville Triumph
12 September 2026 • USL League One
D
Forward Madison
1 1
Sarasota Paradise
5 September 2026 • USL League One
D
Sarasota Paradise
1 1
Spokane Velocity
2 September 2026 • USL League One
W
NY Cosmos
1 2
Sarasota Paradise
22 August 2026 • USL League One
D
Union Omaha
1 1
Sarasota Paradise
19 August 2026 • USL League One
W
Sarasota Paradise
3 2
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Last Matches (Naples)
21 October 2026 • USL League One
W
Sarasota Paradise
2 3
Naples
11 October 2026 • USL League One
W
Corpus Christi
0 1
Naples
7 October 2026 • USL League One
W
Naples
2 0
Richmond Kickers
3 October 2026 • USL League One
W
Naples
2 1
NY Cosmos
26 September 2026 • USL League One
W
Naples
1 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
19 September 2026 • USL League One
D
Fort Wayne
2 2
Naples
11 September 2026 • USL League One
D
One Knoxville
0 0
Naples
5 September 2026 • USL League One
L
Naples
0 2
Boise
29 August 2026 • USL League One
L
Greenville Triumph
4 0
Naples
26 August 2026 • USL League One
W
Naples
2 0
Union Omaha

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Charlotte Independence
32 20 6 6 74-46 28 66
LWWWD
2
Union Omaha
32 19 5 8 54-34 20 62
DLLWW
3
Boise
32 17 7 8 51-41 10 58
WWWWL
4
Forward Madison
32 16 8 8 54-30 24 56
DWLDL
5
Spokane Velocity
32 16 6 10 50-44 6 54
LDWLW
6
One Knoxville
32 15 9 8 52-36 16 54
WLWLD
7
Chattanooga Red Wolves
32 14 5 13 51-45 6 47
DLLWL
8
Naples
32 14 4 14 39-46 -7 46
WWWWW
9
Fort Wayne
32 12 9 11 47-42 5 45
LLWWD
10
Westchester SC
32 11 7 14 55-51 4 40
DWWWD
11
Sarasota Paradise
32 11 7 14 49-51 -2 40
DLWWL
12
Corpus Christi
32 9 10 13 36-51 -15 37
DLLLL
13
Alta
32 8 10 14 40-48 -8 34
DLDLL
14
Portland Hearts of Pine
32 8 10 14 48-58 -10 34
WLLDL
15
Greenville Triumph
32 8 6 18 37-60 -23 30
WLWDL
16
NY Cosmos
32 7 6 19 40-66 -26 27
DDLLL
17
Richmond Kickers
32 7 5 20 37-65 -28 26
LWLLW
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.9

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals94.2%5.8%
1.5 goals77.7%22.3%
2.5 goals54.2%45.8%
3.5 goals31.9%68.1%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Sarasota Paradise

Advice: Double chance : Sarasota Paradise or draw

Expected goals: 2.9

Form 48% / 52%
Attack 69% / 31%
Defence 30% / 70%
Poisson 62% / 38%
Head-to-head 33% / 67%
Goals 43% / 57%
Overall 47.5% / 52.5%

Match Centre

35' ⚽ Home
39' ⚽ Away
57' 🟨 Home
61' ⚽ Away
65' 🔁 Home
67' 🔁 Away
73' 🟨 Away
78' 🟨 Away
79' 🔁 Home
82' 🔁 Away
87' 🟨 Home
90' 🔁 Away
90' 🔁 Away
90' ⚽ Home
90' 🟨 Away
90' 🔁 Home
90' 🔁 Home
90' 🟨 Away
90' 🟥 Home
90' ⚽ Away

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Sarasota Paradise 6/6
Naples 4/6

Over 2.5

Sarasota Paradise 5/6
Naples 3/6

Over 3.5

Sarasota Paradise 5/6
Naples 2/6

BTTS (Yes)

Sarasota Paradise 5/6
Naples 3/6

Goals By Time Period

Sarasota Paradise

4
0-15
2
16-30
6
31-45
4
46-60
1
61-75
2
76+

Naples

1
0-15
4
16-30
2
31-45
46-60
3
61-75
1
76+

Average Event Minute

Sarasota Paradise

First goal scored: 22' First goal conceded: 26' First card: 42'

Naples

First goal scored: 26' First goal conceded: 56' First card: 45'

Season Statistics

Sarasota ParadiseNaples
Form
LDWLLLWLLLLWWLWLDDLLWDWDDWWLWW
WDWLWWDLLLWLLLLLLLWLWWLLDDWWWW
Played3030
Wins1112
Draws64
Losses1314
Goals for (avg)1.51.2
Goals against (avg)1.51.5
Clean sheets610
Failed to score68
Biggest win streak22

Trends

10 match streak · USL League One

Sarasota Paradise have scored in each of their last 10 matches in USL League One.

4 match streak · USL League One

Sarasota Paradise have conceded in each of their last 4 matches in USL League One.

4 match streak · USL League One

Both teams have scored in each of Sarasota Paradise's last 4 matches in USL League One.

5 match streak · USL League One

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Sarasota Paradise's last 5 matches in USL League One.

7 match streak · USL League One

Naples are unbeaten in their last 7 matches in USL League One.

5 match streak · USL League One

Naples have won 5 consecutive matches in USL League One.

6 match streak · USL League One

Naples have scored in each of their last 6 matches in USL League One.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Sarasota Paradise

H · 21 Oct

Naples

3/5

H · 24 Oct

Westchester SC

3/5

Naples

H · 24 Oct

Spokane Velocity

4/5

Sarasota Paradise vs Naples Prediction & Tips

Sarasota Paradise took on Naples in the USA USL League One. Sarasota Paradise had won 11 and drawn 6 of their 30 league games this season, while Naples have 12 wins and 4 draws from 30.

Our model favoured Sarasota Paradise as the more likely side (35% home, 35% draw, 30% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.9, with both teams to score rated at 57.5%. The published tip for this match was Under 3.5 at a 73% win probability.

V

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

Sarasota Paradise vs Naples FAQs

When did the match between Sarasota Paradise and Naples take place? +
The match between Sarasota Paradise and Naples took place on Wed, 21st Oct 2026 at 11:30 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
USA USL League One
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
Sarasota Paradise are 11th on the table, while Naples are 8th.
How accurate was the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Sarasota Paradise vs Naples Prediction & Match Preview

League: USA : USL League One

Date: Wed, Oct 21st 2026

Venue: Premier Sports Campus,