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LeaguesVigor Lamezia Vs CastrumFavara
Vigor Lamezia Vs CastrumFavara Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Serie D - Girone I
2:00 PM
Oct 4th
CastrumFavaraVigor Lamezia: Matches Played 10
1 Wins
In last 10 games
4 Losses
In last 10 games
5 Draws
In last 10 games
CastrumFavara: Matches Played 10
2 Wins
In last 10 games
5 Losses
In last 10 games
3 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
Vigor Lamezia
CastrumFavaraLast Matches (Vigor Lamezia)
SambiaseVigor Lamezia
RagusaVigor Lamezia
NissaVigor Lamezia
SancataldeseVigor Lamezia
MilazzoVigor Lamezia
Last Matches (CastrumFavara)CastrumFavara
Trapani 1905CastrumFavaraVigor LameziaCastrumFavara
ModicaCastrumFavara
GelaCastrumFavaraCastrumFavara
League Table
RegginaSambiase
ViboneseLicataCalcio AvolaMilazzo
Digiesse PraiaTortoraIgea Virtus
AC PalermoGelaNissa
SiracusaCastrumFavaraVigor LameziaModicaTrapani 1905RagusaEnnaTop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2.8
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 93.9% | 6.1% |
| 1.5 goals | 76.9% | 23.1% |
| 2.5 goals | 53% | 47% |
| 3.5 goals | 30.8% | 69.2% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
52.8%
No
47.2%
1X
43.9%
12
76.9%
X2
79.2%
0-1
10.9%
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-0
6.1%
0-0
6.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
5.9%
1 / 1
11.5%
1 / X
4.6%
1 / 2
2.9%
X / 1
7.9%
X / X
13.8%
X / 2
18%
2 / 1
1.4%
2 / X
4.6%
2 / 2
35.3%
Home +0
53.2%
odds 1.78
Away +0
46.8%
odds 2.02
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: CastrumFavara
Advice: Double chance : draw or CastrumFavara
Expected goals: 2.8
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Vigor Lamezia
CastrumFavara
Average Event Minute
Vigor Lamezia
CastrumFavara
Season Statistics
| Vigor Lamezia | CastrumFavara | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | LDDLL | WLDLL |
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1 | 1 |
| Goals against (avg) | 2.6 | 1 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 |
| Biggest win streak | 0 | 1 |
Trends
8 match streak · Serie D - Girone I
Vigor Lamezia have conceded in each of their last 8 matches in Serie D - Girone I.
8 match streak · Serie D - Girone I
CastrumFavara have conceded in each of their last 8 matches in Serie D - Girone I.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Vigor Lamezia
H · 4 Oct
CastrumFavara
2/5H · 7 Oct
Gelbison
UnratedA · 11 Oct
Siracusa
2/5H · 18 Oct
Enna
1/5A · 25 Oct
Digiesse PraiaTortora
4/5H · 1 Nov
AC Palermo
3/5A · 8 Nov
Milazzo
4/5H · 15 Nov
Gela
3/5CastrumFavara
A · 1 Nov
Nissa
3/5H · 8 Nov
Vibonese
5/5A · 15 Nov
Ragusa
1/5A · 22 Nov
Enna
1/5H · 29 Nov
Sambiase
5/5A · 6 Dec
Siracusa
2/5H · 13 Dec
Digiesse PraiaTortora
4/5A · 20 Dec
AC Palermo
3/5Vigor Lamezia vs CastrumFavara Prediction & Tips
Vigor Lamezia takes on CastrumFavara in the Italy Serie D - Girone I on Sunday, 4 October 2026. Vigor Lamezia have won 0 and drawn 2 of their 5 league games this season, while CastrumFavara have 1 wins and 1 draws from 5.
Our model favours CastrumFavara as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.8, with both teams to score rated at 52.8%. The published tip for this match is Under 3.5 at a 79% win probability.
Published by
Victor Moses
Football Analyst & Predictor
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Match Preview
Vigor Lamezia vs CastrumFavara Prediction & Match Preview
League: Italy : Serie D - Girone I
Date: Sun, Oct 4th 2026
Venue: ,