VictorsPredict

Italy Vs France

Italy Vs France Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

UEFA Nations League

Italy

3 : 1 FT

Nov 12th

France
Prediction Odds Confidence
BTS 1.63
WON

Italy: Matches Played 10

WLWDW
W

7 Wins

In last 10 games

L

2 Losses

In last 10 games

D

1 Draws

In last 10 games

France: Matches Played 10

LWWDW
W

6 Wins

In last 10 games

L

3 Losses

In last 10 games

D

1 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
10% 3.40
45% 3.40
45% 2.00

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
2 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
D
France
1 1
Italy
17 November 2024 • UEFA Nations League
L
Italy
1 3
France
6 September 2024 • UEFA Nations League
W
France
1 3
Italy
1 June 2018 • Friendlies
L
France
3 1
Italy
17 June 2008 • Euro Championship
W
France
0 2
Italy
Last Matches (Italy)
12 November 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
Italy
3 1
France
5 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
Italy
3 1
Türkiye
2 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
D
France
1 1
Italy
28 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
Türkiye
1 4
Italy
25 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
L
Italy
0 2
Belgium
7 June 2026 • Friendlies
W
Greece
0 1
Italy
3 June 2026 • Friendlies
W
Luxembourg
0 1
Italy
26 March 2026 • World Cup - Qualification Europe
W
Italy
2 0
Northern Ireland
16 November 2025 • World Cup - Qualification Europe
L
Italy
1 4
Norway
13 November 2025 • World Cup - Qualification Europe
W
Moldova
0 2
Italy
Last Matches (France)
12 November 2026 • UEFA Nations League
L
Italy
3 1
France
5 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
France
4 1
Belgium
2 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
D
France
1 1
Italy
28 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
Belgium
0 1
France
25 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
Türkiye
0 1
France
18 July 2026 • World Cup
L
France
4 6
England
14 July 2026 • World Cup
L
France
0 2
Spain
9 July 2026 • World Cup
W
France
2 0
Morocco
4 July 2026 • World Cup
W
Paraguay
0 1
France
30 June 2026 • World Cup
W
France
3 0
Sweden

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Netherlands
4 2 2 0 7-5 2 8
WDWD
2
Greece
4 2 2 0 5-3 2 8
DDWW
3
Germany
4 1 2 1 3-2 1 5
DWLD
4
Serbia
4 0 0 4 3-8 -5 0
LLLL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.8

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals93.9%6.1%
1.5 goals76.9%23.1%
2.5 goals53.1%46.9%
3.5 goals30.8%69.2%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: France

Advice: Double chance : draw or France

Expected goals: 2.8

Form 41% / 59%
Attack 53% / 47%
Defence 29% / 71%
Poisson 0% / 100%
Head-to-head 50% / 50%
Goals 50% / 50%
Overall 44.6% / 55.4%

Match Centre

2.39 expected_goals 1.65
253 Passes accurate 538
10 Shots insidebox 10
1 Shots outsidebox 8
1 Blocked Shots 4
17 Free Kicks 10
5 Shots on Goal 5
4 Goalkeeper Saves 2
5 Shots off Goal 9
1 Offsides 2
316 Total passes 588
11 Total Shots 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
4 Corner Kicks 3
10 Fouls 18
0 Red Cards 0
35% Ball Possession 65%
10' ⚽ Away
13' 🟨 Away
26' ⚽ Home
39' 🟨 Home
60' ⚽ Home
62' 🔁 Home
62' 🔁 Home
63' ⚽ Home
71' 🟨 Home
73' 🔁 Home
75' ⚽ Home
76' 🔁 Away
77' 🔁 Away
77' 🔁 Away
77' 🔁 Away
82' 🔁 Away
90' 🔁 Home
90' 🔁 Home
90' 🟨 Away

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Italy 5/6
France 4/6

Over 2.5

Italy 3/6
France 3/6

Over 3.5

Italy 3/6
France 3/6

BTTS (Yes)

Italy 4/6
France 4/6

Goals By Time Period

Italy

1
0-15
5
16-30
31-45
1
46-60
4
61-75
1
76+

France

1
0-15
16-30
31-45
4
46-60
1
61-75
6
76+

Average Event Minute

Italy

First goal scored: 29' First goal conceded: 39' First card: 47'

France

First goal scored: 55' First goal conceded: 33' First card: 57'

Season Statistics

ItalyFrance
Form
LWDW
WWDW
Played44
Wins23
Draws11
Losses10
Goals for (avg)21.8
Goals against (avg)1.30.5
Clean sheets02
Failed to score10
Biggest win streak12

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Italy

Total shots 14.2
Blocked 4.2
50% off target 50% on target
76% inside box 24% outside box
Total passes 440
Accurate passes 376.5 (29%)
Possession 43%

France

Total shots 18
Blocked 5
48% off target 52% on target
58% inside box 42% outside box
Total passes 629.8
Accurate passes 570.7 (15%)
Possession 62%

Trends

4 match streak · UEFA Nations League

Italy are unbeaten in their last 4 matches in UEFA Nations League.

4 match streak · UEFA Nations League

Italy have scored in each of their last 4 matches in UEFA Nations League.

5 match streak · UEFA Nations League

Italy have conceded in each of their last 5 matches in UEFA Nations League.

4 match streak · UEFA Nations League

Both teams have scored in each of Italy's last 4 matches in UEFA Nations League.

5 match streak · UEFA Nations League

France have scored in each of their last 5 matches in UEFA Nations League.

3 match streak · UEFA Nations League

France have conceded in each of their last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.

3 match streak · UEFA Nations League

Both teams have scored in each of France's last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Italy

A · 15 Nov

Belgium

Unrated

France

H · 15 Nov

Türkiye

Unrated

Italy vs France Prediction & Tips

Italy took on France in the World UEFA Nations League. Italy had won 2 and drawn 1 of their 4 league games this season, while France have 3 wins and 1 draws from 4.

Our model favoured France as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.8, with both teams to score rated at 56.2%. The published tip for this match was BTS at a 61% win probability.

V

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

Italy vs France FAQs

When did the match between Italy and France take place? +
The match between Italy and France took place on Thu, 12th Nov 2026 at 8:45 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
World UEFA Nations League
How accurate was the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Italy vs France Prediction & Match Preview

League: World : UEFA Nations League

Date: Thu, Nov 12th 2026

Venue: ,