Italy Vs France
Italy Vs France Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
UEFA Nations League

3 : 1 FT
Nov 12th
FranceItaly: Matches Played 10
7 Wins
In last 10 games
2 Losses
In last 10 games
1 Draws
In last 10 games
France: Matches Played 10
6 Wins
In last 10 games
3 Losses
In last 10 games
1 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
France
Italy
France
France
France
Last Matches (Italy)
Italy
Italy
France
Türkiye
Italy
Greece
Luxembourg
Italy
Italy
Moldova
Last Matches (France)
Italy
France
France
Belgium
Türkiye
France
France
France
Paraguay
France
League Table
Netherlands
Greece
Germany
SerbiaTop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2.8
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 93.9% | 6.1% |
| 1.5 goals | 76.9% | 23.1% |
| 2.5 goals | 53.1% | 46.9% |
| 3.5 goals | 30.8% | 69.2% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
56.2%
No
43.8%
1X
55.7%
12
75%
X2
69.3%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
1 / 1
17.7%
1 / X
5.2%
1 / 2
2.6%
X / 1
11.1%
X / X
14.6%
X / 2
15%
2 / 1
2%
2 / X
5.2%
2 / 2
26.7%
Home -1.25
13.6%
odds 7.00
Away -1.25
86.4%
odds 1.10
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 9.5
47.9%
odds 1.98
Under 9.5
52.1%
odds 1.82
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 3.5
51.5%
odds 1.80
Under 3.5
48.5%
odds 1.91
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Implied from Bet365 anytime-scorer odds (margin included, not devigged across players).
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: France
Advice: Double chance : draw or France
Expected goals: 2.8
Match Centre
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Italy
France
Average Event Minute
Italy
France
Season Statistics
| Italy | France | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | LWDW | WWDW |
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 2 | 1.8 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 |
| Biggest win streak | 1 | 2 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.
Italy
France
Trends
4 match streak · UEFA Nations League
Italy are unbeaten in their last 4 matches in UEFA Nations League.
4 match streak · UEFA Nations League
Italy have scored in each of their last 4 matches in UEFA Nations League.
5 match streak · UEFA Nations League
Italy have conceded in each of their last 5 matches in UEFA Nations League.
4 match streak · UEFA Nations League
Both teams have scored in each of Italy's last 4 matches in UEFA Nations League.
5 match streak · UEFA Nations League
France have scored in each of their last 5 matches in UEFA Nations League.
3 match streak · UEFA Nations League
France have conceded in each of their last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.
3 match streak · UEFA Nations League
Both teams have scored in each of France's last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Italy
A · 15 Nov
Belgium
UnratedFrance
H · 15 Nov
Türkiye
UnratedItaly vs France Prediction & Tips
Italy took on France in the World UEFA Nations League. Italy had won 2 and drawn 1 of their 4 league games this season, while France have 3 wins and 1 draws from 4.
Our model favoured France as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.8, with both teams to score rated at 56.2%. The published tip for this match was BTS at a 61% win probability.
Published by
Victor Moses
Football Analyst & Predictor
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Match Preview
Italy vs France Prediction & Match Preview
League: World : UEFA Nations League
Date: Thu, Nov 12th 2026
Venue: ,