Watford Vs Burnley

Watford Vs Burnley Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Championship

Watford

0 : 4 FT

Oct 10th

Burnley

Prediction Odds Confidence

Under 3.5 1.32

LOST

Watford: Matches Played 10

LLWLL

2 Wins

In last 10 games

8 Losses

In last 10 games

0 Draws

In last 10 games

Burnley: Matches Played 10

DLDLD

1 Wins

In last 10 games

5 Losses

In last 10 games

4 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away

10% 2.90

45% 3.30

45% 2.25

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H

18 April 2025 • Championship

Watford

1 2

Burnley

21 December 2024 • Championship

Burnley

2 1

Watford

14 February 2023 • Championship

Burnley

1 1

Watford

12 August 2022 • Championship

Watford

1 0

Burnley

30 April 2022 • Premier League

Watford

1 2

Burnley

5 February 2022 • Premier League

Burnley

0 0

Watford

25 June 2020 • Premier League

Burnley

1 0

Watford

23 November 2019 • Premier League

Watford

0 3

Burnley

19 January 2019 • Premier League

Watford

0 0

Burnley

Last Matches (Watford)

31 October 2026 • Championship

Norwich

3 2

Watford

24 October 2026 • Championship

Wolves

1 0

Watford

17 October 2026 • Championship

Watford

2 0

Charlton

13 October 2026 • Championship

Cardiff

5 1

Watford

10 October 2026 • Championship

Watford

0 4

Burnley

18 September 2026 • Championship

Bristol City

1 0

Watford

12 September 2026 • Championship

Watford

1 2

Stoke City

8 September 2026 • Championship

Watford

2 1

Preston

5 September 2026 • Championship

West Brom

1 0

Watford

1 September 2026 • Championship

Swansea

2 0

Watford

Last Matches (Burnley)

24 October 2026 • Championship

Lincoln

4 1

Burnley

16 October 2026 • Championship

Burnley

1 2

Wolves

13 October 2026 • Championship

Burnley

2 2

Charlton

10 October 2026 • Championship

Watford

0 4

Burnley

19 September 2026 • Championship

Burnley

1 1

Derby

12 September 2026 • Championship

Swansea

3 1

Burnley

8 September 2026 • Championship

Wrexham

1 1

Burnley

5 September 2026 • Championship

Burnley

1 2

Bristol City

2 September 2026 • Championship

Burnley

1 1

Middlesbrough

29 August 2026 • Championship

Norwich

4 1

Burnley

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form

Middlesbrough

13 8 4 1 30-17 13 28

WWDWW

Swansea

13 8 2 3 20-13 7 26

WLLWW

Wolves

13 7 3 3 23-16 7 24

WWDWL

West Brom

13 7 3 3 19-14 5 24

WDWWL

Southampton

13 8 3 2 28-13 15 23

WWDWW

Birmingham

13 6 5 2 23-13 10 23

WLWWW

Stoke City

13 7 2 4 20-16 4 23

WDWLW

West Ham

13 6 4 3 33-18 15 22

LLWWD

QPR

13 5 5 3 21-16 5 20

LWLWD

Sheffield Utd

13 5 4 4 17-15 2 19

WDWLW

Portsmouth

13 5 4 4 16-15 1 19

DWDWW

Millwall

13 5 3 5 23-21 2 18

WLDLW

Blackburn

13 5 3 5 19-20 -1 18

LWLWW

Bristol City

13 5 3 5 15-17 -2 18

WDLLD

Norwich

13 5 0 8 23-24 -1 15

WWLLL

Lincoln

13 4 3 6 14-23 -9 15

LWDLL

Cardiff

13 3 5 5 19-20 -1 14

LWDWL

Wrexham

13 3 5 5 15-19 -4 14

LLWLD

Bolton

13 4 2 7 18-26 -8 14

LLDWL

Charlton

13 3 5 5 11-21 -10 14

LLLDD

Watford

13 3 2 8 12-23 -11 11

LLWLL

Burnley

13 1 6 6 17-25 -8 9

DLLDW

Derby

13 1 4 8 11-25 -14 7

LDLLD

Preston

13 1 2 10 10-27 -17 5

LDLLL

See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.7

Line	Over	Under
0.5 goals	93.3%	6.7%
1.5 goals	75.1%	24.9%
2.5 goals	50.6%	49.4%
3.5 goals	28.6%	71.4%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Burnley

Advice: Double chance : draw or Burnley

Expected goals: 2.7

Form 50% / 50%

Attack 38% / 63%

Defence 53% / 47%

Poisson 72% / 28%

Head-to-head 29% / 71%

Goals 42% / 58%

Overall 47.3% / 52.8%

Match Centre

0.64 expected_goals 1.86

398 Passes accurate 348

7 Shots insidebox 12

7 Shots outsidebox 5

2 Blocked Shots 5

10 Free Kicks 8

6 Shots on Goal 8

4 Goalkeeper Saves 6

6 Shots off Goal 4

2 Offsides 5

450 Total passes 423

14 Total Shots 17

6 Corner Kicks 2

8 Fouls 10

0 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

52% Ball Possession 48%

13' ⚽ Away

19' ⚽ Away

25' ⚽ Away

35' 🔁 Home

45' 🔁 Home

60' 🔁 Home

62' 🔁 Away

63' 🔁 Away

69' 🔁 Home

74' 🔁 Away

84' 🔁 Away

87' ⚽ Away

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Watford 4/6

Burnley 6/6

Over 2.5

Watford 3/6

Burnley 5/6

Over 3.5

Watford 3/6

Burnley 4/6

BTTS (Yes)

Watford 2/6

Burnley 5/6

Goals By Time Period

Watford

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Burnley

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Average Event Minute

Watford

First goal scored: 52' First goal conceded: 29' First card: 26'

Burnley

First goal scored: 33' First goal conceded: 48' First card: 57'

Season Statistics

	Watford	Burnley
Form	WDDLLWLL	DLLDLDLD
Played	8	8
Wins	2	0
Draws	2	4
Losses	4	4
Goals for (avg)	0.9	1.1
Goals against (avg)	1.3	2.1
Clean sheets	0	0
Failed to score	3	0
Biggest win streak	1	0

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Watford

Total shots 12

Blocked 2.3

54% off target 46% on target

52% inside box 48% outside box

Total passes 387.2

Accurate passes 311.8 (27%)

Possession 48%

Burnley

Total shots 13.7

Blocked 3.5

55% off target 45% on target

60% inside box 40% outside box

Total passes 422.5

Accurate passes 333.3 (39%)

Possession 48%

Trends

10 match streak · Championship

Burnley have scored in each of their last 10 matches in Championship.

3 match streak · Championship

Burnley have conceded in each of their last 3 matches in Championship.

3 match streak · Championship

Both teams have scored in each of Burnley's last 3 matches in Championship.

4 match streak · Championship

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Burnley's last 4 matches in Championship.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Watford

H · 3 Nov

Lincoln

2/5

H · 7 Nov

Middlesbrough

5/5

A · 21 Nov

Sheffield Utd

3/5

H · 25 Nov

Blackburn

3/5

A · 28 Nov

Derby

1/5

H · 5 Dec

Millwall

3/5

A · 8 Dec

Birmingham

4/5

A · 12 Dec

QPR

4/5

Burnley

H · 31 Oct

Portsmouth

3/5

A · 3 Nov

QPR

4/5

A · 7 Nov

Cardiff

2/5

H · 22 Nov

Blackburn

3/5

H · 25 Nov

Birmingham

4/5

A · 28 Nov

Millwall

3/5

H · 6 Dec

Preston

1/5

A · 9 Dec

Southampton

4/5

Watford vs Burnley Prediction & Tips

Watford took on Burnley in the England Championship. Watford had won 2 and drawn 2 of their 8 league games this season, while Burnley have 0 wins and 4 draws from 8.

Our model favoured Burnley as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.7, with both teams to score rated at 54.3%. The published tip for this match was Under 3.5 at a 76% win probability.

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

Watford vs Burnley FAQs

When did the match between Watford and Burnley take place? +

The match between Watford and Burnley took place on Sat, 10th Oct 2026 at 3:00 PM.

Which league is this match in? +

England Championship

What is their ranking in the league table this season? +

Watford are 21st on the table, while Burnley are 22nd.

How accurate was the prediction for this match? +

The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.

Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +

Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.

How often are predictions updated? +

Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Watford vs Burnley Prediction & Match Preview

League: England : Championship

Date: Sat, Oct 10th 2026

Venue: Vicarage Road,