VictorsPredict

Chelsea Vs Bournemouth

Chelsea Vs Bournemouth Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Premier League

Chelsea

5 : 1 FT

Oct 10th

Bournemouth
Prediction Odds Confidence
1X 1.22
WON

Chelsea: Matches Played 10

WWLDL
W

6 Wins

In last 10 games

L

3 Losses

In last 10 games

D

1 Draws

In last 10 games

Bournemouth: Matches Played 10

LDDDL
W

6 Wins

In last 10 games

L

2 Losses

In last 10 games

D

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
45% 1.80
45% 3.75
10% 4.00

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
30 December 2025 • Premier League
D
Chelsea
2 2
Bournemouth
6 December 2025 • Premier League
D
Bournemouth
0 0
Chelsea
14 January 2025 • Premier League
D
Chelsea
2 2
Bournemouth
14 September 2024 • Premier League
W
Bournemouth
0 1
Chelsea
19 May 2024 • Premier League
W
Chelsea
2 1
Bournemouth
17 September 2023 • Premier League
D
Bournemouth
0 0
Chelsea
6 May 2023 • Premier League
W
Bournemouth
1 3
Chelsea
27 December 2022 • Premier League
W
Chelsea
2 0
Bournemouth
27 July 2021 • Friendlies Clubs
W
Bournemouth
1 2
Chelsea
Last Matches (Chelsea)
31 October 2026 • Premier League
W
Chelsea
2 0
Manchester United
24 October 2026 • Premier League
L
Chelsea
0 2
Tottenham
17 October 2026 • Premier League
W
Everton
0 2
Chelsea
10 October 2026 • Premier League
W
Chelsea
5 1
Bournemouth
18 September 2026 • Premier League
L
Brentford
3 0
Chelsea
12 September 2026 • Premier League
D
Chelsea
2 2
Hull City
9 September 2026 • League Cup
W
Chelsea
6 3
Leeds
6 September 2026 • Premier League
L
Arsenal
2 1
Chelsea
30 August 2026 • Premier League
W
Chelsea
4 3
Brighton
27 August 2026 • League Cup
W
Chelsea
2 0
Luton
Last Matches (Bournemouth)
25 October 2026 • Premier League
W
Manchester United
0 3
Bournemouth
22 October 2026 • UEFA Europa League
W
Bournemouth
3 0
AC Milan
18 October 2026 • Premier League
W
Bournemouth
2 0
Sunderland
15 October 2026 • UEFA Europa League
W
Bournemouth
3 0
Sturm Graz
10 October 2026 • Premier League
L
Chelsea
5 1
Bournemouth
20 September 2026 • Premier League
L
Bournemouth
0 1
Liverpool
17 September 2026 • UEFA Europa League
W
Real Sociedad
1 2
Bournemouth
12 September 2026 • Premier League
D
Bournemouth
2 2
Brentford
8 September 2026 • League Cup
W
Bournemouth
4 0
Lincoln
5 September 2026 • Premier League
D
Newcastle
2 2
Bournemouth

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Arsenal
9 8 0 1 14-5 9 24
WWWWL
2
Manchester City
9 7 0 2 20-10 10 21
LLWWW
3
Brighton
9 6 1 2 24-7 17 19
WLWWW
4
Chelsea
9 5 1 3 19-15 4 16
WLWWL
5
Liverpool
9 4 3 2 11-9 2 15
LWWLW
6
Brentford
9 3 5 1 16-9 7 14
WDLDW
7
Everton
9 3 4 2 9-9 0 13
WLLDW
8
Bournemouth
9 3 3 3 14-13 1 12
WWWLL
9
Tottenham
9 3 3 3 10-10 0 12
WWWDL
10
Aston Villa
9 3 3 3 10-13 -3 12
DWWDW
11
Hull City
9 2 5 2 11-10 1 11
DDLDL
12
Leeds
9 2 5 2 9-8 1 11
LDDLD
13
Newcastle
9 3 2 4 12-15 -3 11
LWLLW
14
Ipswich
9 3 2 4 14-18 -4 11
DDLWL
15
Fulham
9 2 3 4 9-11 -2 9
DWWLD
16
Coventry
9 3 0 6 9-16 -7 9
WLLWW
17
Manchester United
9 1 4 4 10-15 -5 7
LLDDD
18
Crystal Palace
9 2 1 6 9-21 -12 7
LLLWD
19
Nottingham Forest
9 1 3 5 6-12 -6 6
LDLLL
20
Sunderland
9 1 2 6 7-17 -10 5
LDLLL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals
E. Haaland
Manchester City
9 9
A. Isak
Liverpool
8 6
João Pedro
Chelsea
6 5
M. Rogers
Chelsea
9 5
B. White
Arsenal
1 0
M. Tavernier
Bournemouth
9 5
G. Hamer
Coventry
1 0
N. Jackson
Aston Villa
8 5
P. Hincapié
Arsenal
1 0
Evanilson
Bournemouth
9 4
R. Cherki
Manchester City
8 4
E. Eze
Arsenal
1 0
Mikel Merino
Arsenal
1 0
T. Barry
Everton
9 4
B. Mbeumo
Manchester United
9 4
J. Rudoni
Coventry
1 0
N. Angulo
Sunderland
1 1
T. Awoniyi
Coventry
1 0
C. Kostoulas
Brighton
9 3
Martín Zubimendi
Arsenal
1 0
M. Belloumi
Hull City
9 3
Pedro Neto
Chelsea
9 3
N. Madueke
Arsenal
1 0
N. Mendy
Hull City
2 1
D. Ndoye
Nottingham Forest
2 1
V. Torp
Coventry
1 0
D. Calvert-Lewin
Leeds
9 3
K. Havertz
Arsenal
9 3
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
Coventry
1 0
M. Kayode
Brentford
1 1
V. Janelt
Brentford
5 2
J. Enciso
Ipswich
1 0
Víctor Muñoz
Liverpool
3 1
C. Akpom
Ipswich
2 1
K. Schade
Brentford
9 3
D. Rice
Arsenal
1 0
J. Bogle
Leeds
4 2
S. Ajayi
Hull City
2 1
M. Sangaré
Brentford
1 0
Y. Wissa
Newcastle
3 1
A. Scott
Bournemouth
2 1
R. Calafiori
Arsenal
1 0
B. Thomas-Asante
Coventry
1 0
Y. Ayari
Brighton
8 3
C. Gakpo
Liverpool
3 1
L. Davis
Ipswich
5 2
T. Mitchell
Crystal Palace
4 2
E. Simms
Coventry
1 0
B. Brobbey
Sunderland
7 3
J. Clarke
Ipswich
2 1
K. Dewsbury-Hall
Everton
2 1
K. Lewis-Potter
Brentford
3 1
H. Armstrong
Everton
1 0
M. De Cuyper
Brighton
6 2
Bruno Fernandes
Manchester United
7 3
W. Isidor
Sunderland
2 1
M. Yalcouyé
Brighton
5 2
Joshua King
Fulham
4 2
M. Ødegaard
Arsenal
5 2
C. Tzolis
Arsenal
1 0
J. Manzambi
Aston Villa
4 2
A. Stach
Leeds
1 1
I. Ndiaye
Everton
1 0
J. Hinshelwood
Brighton
4 3
A. Elanga
Newcastle
3 2
M. Guéhi
Manchester City
2 1
C. Palmer
Chelsea
9 3
L. Millar
Hull City
2 1
J. Ramsey
Newcastle
3 1
B. Saka
Arsenal
7 3
L. Tchaouna
Coventry
1 0
P. Groß
Brighton
9 3
A. Semenyo
Manchester City
7 2
Emersonn
Ipswich
7 2
R. Slater
Hull City
1 0
J. Willock
Newcastle
5 2
J. Gvardiol
Manchester City
3 1

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 3.6

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals97.2%2.8%
1.5 goals87.4%12.6%
2.5 goals69.7%30.3%
3.5 goals48.5%51.5%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Chelsea

Advice: Combo Double chance : Chelsea or draw and +1.5 goals

Expected goals: 3.6

Form 70% / 30%
Attack 63% / 38%
Defence 40% / 60%
Poisson 58% / 42%
Head-to-head 75% / 25%
Goals 58% / 42%
Overall 60.7% / 39.5%

Match Centre

1.16 expected_goals 1.52
400 Passes accurate 389
7 Shots insidebox 6
3 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Blocked Shots 2
15 Free Kicks 7
6 Shots on Goal 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
2 Shots off Goal 3
1 Offsides 0
477 Total passes 464
10 Total Shots 9
1 Corner Kicks 7
0 Yellow Cards 4
7 Fouls 15
0 Red Cards 0
40% Ball Possession 60%
2' ⚽ Home
3' ⚽ Home
10' 🟨 Away
42' 🟨 Away
45' 🔁 Away
46' ⚽ Home
51' ⚽ Away
62' 🟨 Away
67' ⚽ Home
69' 🟨 Away
70' ⚽ Home
72' 🔁 Home
72' 🔁 Home
72' 🔁 Away
72' 🔁 Away
73' 🔁 Away
83' 🔁 Home
84' 🔁 Home
84' 🔁 Away
88' 🔁 Home

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Chelsea 6/6
Bournemouth 5/6

Over 2.5

Chelsea 3/6
Bournemouth 4/6

Over 3.5

Chelsea 2/6
Bournemouth 1/6

BTTS (Yes)

Chelsea 2/6
Bournemouth 1/6

Goals By Time Period

Chelsea

3
0-15
16-30
31-45
3
46-60
4
61-75
1
76+

Bournemouth

2
0-15
16-30
4
31-45
2
46-60
1
61-75
3
76+

Average Event Minute

Chelsea

First goal scored: 26' First goal conceded: 54' First card: 67'

Bournemouth

First goal scored: 29' First goal conceded: 30' First card: 29'

Season Statistics

ChelseaBournemouth
Form
WWLDL
LDDDL
Played55
Wins20
Draws13
Losses22
Goals for (avg)21.2
Goals against (avg)2.41.6
Clean sheets00
Failed to score11
Biggest win streak20

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Chelsea

Total shots 12.8
Blocked 3.3
39% off target 61% on target
64% inside box 36% outside box
Total passes 476.7
Accurate passes 405.5 (29%)
Possession 52%

Bournemouth

Total shots 16.7
Blocked 3.7
62% off target 38% on target
65% inside box 35% outside box
Total passes 461.7
Accurate passes 378 (13%)
Possession 56%

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Chelsea

A · 8 Nov

Sunderland

1/5

H · 21 Nov

Leeds

3/5

A · 27 Nov

Nottingham Forest

1/5

H · 2 Dec

Crystal Palace

1/5

H · 5 Dec

Liverpool

4/5

A · 12 Dec

Manchester City

5/5

H · 19 Dec

Aston Villa

3/5

A · 27 Dec

Coventry

2/5

Bournemouth

H · 28 Oct

Aston Villa

3/5

H · 31 Oct

Leeds

3/5

A · 5 Nov

Sparta Praha

Unrated

A · 8 Nov

Ipswich

2/5

H · 21 Nov

Nottingham Forest

1/5

A · 26 Nov

Celta Vigo

Unrated

A · 29 Nov

Fulham

2/5

H · 2 Dec

Brighton

5/5

Chelsea vs Bournemouth Prediction & Tips

Chelsea took on Bournemouth in the England Premier League. Chelsea had won 2 and drawn 1 of their 5 league games this season, while Bournemouth have 0 wins and 3 draws from 5.

Our model favoured Chelsea as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 3.6, with both teams to score rated at 69.7%. The published tip for this match was 1X at a 82% win probability.

V

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

Chelsea vs Bournemouth FAQs

When did the match between Chelsea and Bournemouth take place? +
The match between Chelsea and Bournemouth took place on Sat, 10th Oct 2026 at 3:00 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
England Premier League
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
Chelsea are 4th on the table, while Bournemouth are 8th.
How accurate was the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Chelsea vs Bournemouth Prediction & Match Preview

League: England : Premier League

Date: Sat, Oct 10th 2026

Venue: Stamford Bridge,