Chelsea Vs Bournemouth
Chelsea Vs Bournemouth Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Premier League

5 : 1 FT
Oct 10th
BournemouthChelsea: Matches Played 10
6 Wins
In last 10 games
3 Losses
In last 10 games
1 Draws
In last 10 games
Bournemouth: Matches Played 10
6 Wins
In last 10 games
2 Losses
In last 10 games
2 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Last Matches (Chelsea)
Chelsea
Chelsea
Everton
Chelsea
Brentford
Chelsea
Chelsea
Arsenal
Chelsea
Chelsea
Last Matches (Bournemouth)
Manchester United
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Real Sociedad
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Newcastle
League Table
Arsenal
Manchester City
Brighton
Chelsea
Liverpool
Brentford
Everton
Bournemouth
Tottenham
Aston Villa
Hull City
Leeds
Newcastle
Ipswich
Fulham
Coventry
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
SunderlandTop Scorers Table
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 3.6
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 97.2% | 2.8% |
| 1.5 goals | 87.4% | 12.6% |
| 2.5 goals | 69.7% | 30.3% |
| 3.5 goals | 48.5% | 51.5% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
69.7%
No
30.3%
1X
61%
12
78%
X2
61%
1-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-1
8%
2-2
7.2%
1-0
4.9%
0-1
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
1 / 1
23.8%
1 / X
5.5%
1 / 2
3.1%
X / 1
12.1%
X / X
10.9%
X / 2
12.1%
2 / 1
3.1%
2 / X
5.5%
2 / 2
23.8%
Home -1.25
35.1%
odds 2.68
Away -1.25
64.9%
odds 1.45
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 10.5
50%
odds 1.83
Under 10.5
50%
odds 1.83
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 3.5
57.6%
odds 1.62
Under 3.5
42.4%
odds 2.20
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Implied from Bet365 anytime-scorer odds (margin included, not devigged across players).
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Chelsea
Advice: Combo Double chance : Chelsea or draw and +1.5 goals
Expected goals: 3.6
Match Centre
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Average Event Minute
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Season Statistics
| Chelsea | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | WWLDL | LDDDL |
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals for (avg) | 2 | 1.2 |
| Goals against (avg) | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 |
| Biggest win streak | 2 | 0 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Chelsea
A · 8 Nov
Sunderland
1/5H · 21 Nov
Leeds
3/5A · 27 Nov
Nottingham Forest
1/5H · 2 Dec
Crystal Palace
1/5H · 5 Dec
Liverpool
4/5A · 12 Dec
Manchester City
5/5H · 19 Dec
Aston Villa
3/5A · 27 Dec
Coventry
2/5Bournemouth
H · 28 Oct
Aston Villa
3/5H · 31 Oct
Leeds
3/5A · 5 Nov
Sparta Praha
UnratedA · 8 Nov
Ipswich
2/5H · 21 Nov
Nottingham Forest
1/5A · 26 Nov
Celta Vigo
UnratedA · 29 Nov
Fulham
2/5H · 2 Dec
Brighton
5/5Chelsea vs Bournemouth Prediction & Tips
Chelsea took on Bournemouth in the England Premier League. Chelsea had won 2 and drawn 1 of their 5 league games this season, while Bournemouth have 0 wins and 3 draws from 5.
Our model favoured Chelsea as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 3.6, with both teams to score rated at 69.7%. The published tip for this match was 1X at a 82% win probability.
Published by
Victor Moses
Football Analyst & Predictor
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Match Preview
Chelsea vs Bournemouth Prediction & Match Preview
League: England : Premier League
Date: Sat, Oct 10th 2026
Venue: Stamford Bridge,