Leones Negros UDG Vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Leones Negros UDG Vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga de Expansión MX

1 : 2 FT
Oct 18th
Alebrijes de OaxacaLeones Negros UDG: Matches Played 10
5 Wins
In last 10 games
2 Losses
In last 10 games
3 Draws
In last 10 games
Alebrijes de Oaxaca: Matches Played 10
4 Wins
In last 10 games
5 Losses
In last 10 games
1 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Leones Negros UDG
Leones Negros UDG
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Leones Negros UDG
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Leones Negros UDG
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Last Matches (Leones Negros UDG)
Leones Negros UDG
Venados FC
Leones Negros UDG
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Monarcas
Leones Negros UDG
Tapatío
Leones Negros UDG
Durango
Leones Negros UDG
Last Matches (Alebrijes de Oaxaca)
Leones Negros UDG
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Piratas
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Cancún
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Monarcas
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
CDS Tampico Madero
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
League Table
CA La Paz
Leones Negros UDG
Monarcas
Piratas
Venados FC
Cancún
Durango
Tlaxcala
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Mineros de Zacatecas
Tapatío
Correcaminos Uat
Dorados
CDS Tampico Madero
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
TepatitlánTop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 3.2
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 95.9% | 4.1% |
| 1.5 goals | 82.8% | 17.2% |
| 2.5 goals | 62% | 38% |
| 3.5 goals | 39.7% | 60.3% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
58.5%
No
41.5%
1X
80.8%
12
79.4%
X2
39.7%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-0
9%
1-0
8.6%
3-1
6.9%
3-0
6.3%
2-2
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
1 / 1
39.1%
1 / X
4.6%
1 / 2
1.5%
X / 1
17.8%
X / X
11.4%
X / 2
7%
2 / 1
3.4%
2 / X
4.6%
2 / 2
10.7%
Home -1.25
52.1%
odds 1.82
Away -1.25
47.9%
odds 1.98
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 9.5
51.5%
odds 1.80
Under 9.5
48.5%
odds 1.91
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Leones Negros UDG
Advice: Combo Winner : Leones Negros UDG and +1.5 goals
Expected goals: 3.2
Match Centre
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Leones Negros UDG
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Average Event Minute
Leones Negros UDG
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Season Statistics
| Leones Negros UDG | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | WWLWWDWDLWWD | LLWWLDLWLLLW |
| Played | 12 | 12 |
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 7 |
| Goals for (avg) | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 |
| Biggest win streak | 2 | 2 |
Trends
4 match streak · Liga de Expansión MX
Leones Negros UDG have scored in each of their last 4 matches in Liga de Expansión MX.
9 match streak · Liga de Expansión MX
Leones Negros UDG have conceded in each of their last 9 matches in Liga de Expansión MX.
4 match streak · Liga de Expansión MX
Both teams have scored in each of Leones Negros UDG's last 4 matches in Liga de Expansión MX.
5 match streak · Liga de Expansión MX
Alebrijes de Oaxaca have conceded in each of their last 5 matches in Liga de Expansión MX.
5 match streak · Liga de Expansión MX
Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Alebrijes de Oaxaca's last 5 matches in Liga de Expansión MX.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Leones Negros UDG
A · 25 Oct
Mineros de Zacatecas
3/5H · 1 Nov
Tepatitlán
1/5Alebrijes de Oaxaca
H · 23 Oct
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1/5H · 30 Oct
Mineros de Zacatecas
3/5Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction & Tips
Leones Negros UDG took on Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico Liga de Expansión MX. Leones Negros UDG had won 7 and drawn 3 of their 12 league games this season, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca have 4 wins and 1 draws from 12.
Our model favoured Leones Negros UDG as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 3.2, with both teams to score rated at 58.5%. The published tip for this match was 1 at a 75% win probability.
Published by
Pá Vick
Football Analyst & Predictor
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Match Preview
Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction & Match Preview
League: Mexico : Liga de Expansión MX
Date: Sun, Oct 18th 2026
Venue: Estadio Jalisco,