Sarasota Paradise Vs Charlotte Independence

Sarasota Paradise Vs Charlotte Independence Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USL League One

Sarasota Paradise

2 : 3 FT

Oct 3rd

Charlotte Independence

Prediction Odds Confidence

BTS 1.41

WON

Sarasota Paradise: Matches Played 10

WDDWW

6 Wins

In last 10 games

1 Losses

In last 10 games

3 Draws

In last 10 games

Charlotte Independence: Matches Played 10

LWDWD

6 Wins

In last 10 games

1 Losses

In last 10 games

3 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away

35% 2.15

35% 3.60

30% 2.50

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H

15 August 2026 • USL League One

Charlotte Independence

3 1

Sarasota Paradise

Last Matches (Sarasota Paradise)

17 October 2026 • USL League One

Fort Wayne

1 3

Sarasota Paradise

10 October 2026 • USL League One

Sarasota Paradise

3 2

Richmond Kickers

3 October 2026 • USL League One

Sarasota Paradise

2 3

Charlotte Independence

26 September 2026 • USL League One

Portland Hearts of Pine

1 4

Sarasota Paradise

19 September 2026 • USL League One

Sarasota Paradise

6 0

Greenville Triumph

12 September 2026 • USL League One

Forward Madison

1 1

Sarasota Paradise

5 September 2026 • USL League One

Sarasota Paradise

1 1

Spokane Velocity

2 September 2026 • USL League One

NY Cosmos

1 2

Sarasota Paradise

22 August 2026 • USL League One

Union Omaha

1 1

Sarasota Paradise

19 August 2026 • USL League One

Sarasota Paradise

3 2

Chattanooga Red Wolves

Last Matches (Charlotte Independence)

10 October 2026 • USL League One

Charlotte Independence

3 0

NY Cosmos

3 October 2026 • USL League One

Sarasota Paradise

2 3

Charlotte Independence

26 September 2026 • USL League One

Charlotte Independence

1 1

Fort Wayne

19 September 2026 • USL League One

Richmond Kickers

1 2

Charlotte Independence

17 September 2026 • USL League One

Boise

1 1

Charlotte Independence

12 September 2026 • USL League One

Charlotte Independence

5 4

Westchester SC

6 September 2026 • USL League One

Union Omaha

2 0

Charlotte Independence

2 September 2026 • USL League One

Charlotte Independence

3 2

Portland Hearts of Pine

28 August 2026 • USL League One

Charlotte Independence

5 0

Alta

23 August 2026 • USL League One

Forward Madison

1 1

Charlotte Independence

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form

Charlotte Independence

32 20 6 6 74-46 28 66

LWWWD

Union Omaha

32 19 5 8 54-34 20 62

DLLWW

Boise

32 17 7 8 51-41 10 58

WWWWL

Forward Madison

32 16 8 8 54-30 24 56

DWLDL

Spokane Velocity

32 16 6 10 50-44 6 54

LDWLW

One Knoxville

32 15 9 8 52-36 16 54

WLWLD

Chattanooga Red Wolves

32 14 5 13 51-45 6 47

DLLWL

Naples

32 14 4 14 39-46 -7 46

WWWWW

Fort Wayne

32 12 9 11 47-42 5 45

LLWWD

Westchester SC

32 11 7 14 55-51 4 40

DWWWD

Sarasota Paradise

32 11 7 14 49-51 -2 40

DLWWL

Corpus Christi

32 9 10 13 36-51 -15 37

DLLLL

Alta

32 8 10 14 40-48 -8 34

DLDLL

Portland Hearts of Pine

32 8 10 14 48-58 -10 34

WLLDL

Greenville Triumph

32 8 6 18 37-60 -23 30

WLWDL

NY Cosmos

32 7 6 19 40-66 -26 27

DDLLL

Richmond Kickers

32 7 5 20 37-65 -28 26

LWLLW

See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 3.3

Line	Over	Under
0.5 goals	96.3%	3.7%
1.5 goals	84.1%	15.9%
2.5 goals	64%	36%
3.5 goals	41.9%	58.1%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Sarasota Paradise

Advice: Double chance : Sarasota Paradise or draw

Expected goals: 3.3

Form 58% / 42%

Attack 61% / 39%

Defence 69% / 31%

Poisson 49% / 51%

Head-to-head 0% / 100%

Goals 25% / 75%

Overall 52.4% / 47.6%

Match Centre

7' 🟨 Away

17' ⚽ Away

24' ⚽ Home

42' 🟨 Home

45' 🟨 Away

46' 🔁 Away

62' 🔁 Away

63' 🔁 Home

65' ⚽ Home

74' 🟨 Home

74' 🔁 Away

77' 🔁 Home

78' 🟨 Away

82' 🔁 Away

86' ⚽ Home

87' 🟨 Home

89' ⚽ Away

90' 🔁 Home

90' ⚽ Away

90' 🟨 Away

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Sarasota Paradise 6/6

Charlotte Independence 6/6

Over 2.5

Sarasota Paradise 5/6

Charlotte Independence 4/6

Over 3.5

Sarasota Paradise 5/6

Charlotte Independence 2/6

BTTS (Yes)

Sarasota Paradise 5/6

Charlotte Independence 5/6

Goals By Time Period

Sarasota Paradise

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Charlotte Independence

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Average Event Minute

Sarasota Paradise

First goal scored: 22' First goal conceded: 26' First card: 42'

Charlotte Independence

First goal scored: 38' First goal conceded: 39' First card: 31'

Season Statistics

	Sarasota Paradise	Charlotte Independence
Form	LDWLLLWLLLLWWLWLDDLLWDWDDWW	DWLLDWWWWWWWWDLLWWWWDWWLWDWD
Played	27	28
Wins	9	17
Draws	6	6
Losses	12	5
Goals for (avg)	1.4	2.3
Goals against (avg)	1.5	1.4
Clean sheets	6	5
Failed to score	6	2
Biggest win streak	2	8

Trends

10 match streak · USL League One

Sarasota Paradise have scored in each of their last 10 matches in USL League One.

4 match streak · USL League One

Sarasota Paradise have conceded in each of their last 4 matches in USL League One.

4 match streak · USL League One

Both teams have scored in each of Sarasota Paradise's last 4 matches in USL League One.

5 match streak · USL League One

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Sarasota Paradise's last 5 matches in USL League One.

6 match streak · USL League One

Charlotte Independence are unbeaten in their last 6 matches in USL League One.

6 match streak · USL League One

Charlotte Independence have scored in each of their last 6 matches in USL League One.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Sarasota Paradise

H · 21 Oct

Naples

3/5

H · 24 Oct

Westchester SC

3/5

Charlotte Independence

A · 17 Oct

Greenville Triumph

2/5

A · 24 Oct

Portland Hearts of Pine

2/5

Sarasota Paradise vs Charlotte Independence Prediction & Tips

Sarasota Paradise took on Charlotte Independence in the USA USL League One. Sarasota Paradise had won 9 and drawn 6 of their 27 league games this season, while Charlotte Independence have 17 wins and 6 draws from 28.

Our model favoured Sarasota Paradise as the more likely side (35% home, 35% draw, 30% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 3.3, with both teams to score rated at 64.1%. The published tip for this match was BTS at a 71% win probability.

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

Sarasota Paradise vs Charlotte Independence FAQs

When did the match between Sarasota Paradise and Charlotte Independence take place? +

The match between Sarasota Paradise and Charlotte Independence took place on Sat, 3rd Oct 2026 at 12:30 AM.

Which league is this match in? +

USA USL League One

What is their ranking in the league table this season? +

Sarasota Paradise are 11th on the table, while Charlotte Independence are 1st.

How accurate was the prediction for this match? +

The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.

Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +

Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.

How often are predictions updated? +

Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Sarasota Paradise vs Charlotte Independence Prediction & Match Preview

League: USA : USL League One

Date: Sat, Oct 3rd 2026

Venue: Premier Sports Campus,