VictorsPredict

Heart Of Midlothian Vs ST Mirren

Heart Of Midlothian Vs ST Mirren Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian

5 : 0 FT

Oct 10th

ST Mirren
Prediction Odds Confidence
1 1.45
WON

Heart Of Midlothian: Matches Played 10

WWWLD
W

5 Wins

In last 10 games

L

3 Losses

In last 10 games

D

2 Draws

In last 10 games

ST Mirren: Matches Played 10

DWLLL
W

3 Wins

In last 10 games

L

6 Losses

In last 10 games

D

1 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
45% 1.44
45% 4.50
10% 5.80

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
3 February 2026 • Premiership
L
ST Mirren
1 0
Heart Of Midlothian
14 January 2026 • Premiership
W
Heart Of Midlothian
2 0
ST Mirren
29 October 2025 • Premiership
D
ST Mirren
2 2
Heart Of Midlothian
16 August 2025 • League Cup
D
ST Mirren
1 1
Heart Of Midlothian
26 February 2025 • Premiership
W
Heart Of Midlothian
3 1
ST Mirren
10 February 2025 • FA Cup
D
ST Mirren
1 1
Heart Of Midlothian
19 October 2024 • Premiership
W
Heart Of Midlothian
4 0
ST Mirren
21 September 2024 • Premiership
L
ST Mirren
2 1
Heart Of Midlothian
15 May 2024 • Premiership
D
ST Mirren
2 2
Heart Of Midlothian
6 April 2024 • Premiership
W
ST Mirren
1 2
Heart Of Midlothian
Last Matches (Heart Of Midlothian)
25 October 2026 • Premiership
W
Motherwell
0 2
Heart Of Midlothian
22 October 2026 • UEFA Europa Conference League
L
Trabzonspor
2 0
Heart Of Midlothian
18 October 2026 • Premiership
L
Celtic
7 1
Heart Of Midlothian
15 October 2026 • UEFA Europa Conference League
D
Heart Of Midlothian
1 1
FC Nordsjaelland
10 October 2026 • Premiership
W
Heart Of Midlothian
5 0
ST Mirren
19 September 2026 • Premiership
D
Kilmarnock
1 1
Heart Of Midlothian
15 September 2026 • Premiership
L
Falkirk
2 1
Heart Of Midlothian
11 September 2026 • League Cup
W
Stenhousemuir
0 3
Heart Of Midlothian
6 September 2026 • Premiership
W
Heart Of Midlothian
2 1
Dundee
3 September 2026 • Premiership
W
Hibernian
1 3
Heart Of Midlothian
Last Matches (ST Mirren)
24 October 2026 • Premiership
W
ST Mirren
2 1
Dundee
17 October 2026 • Premiership
L
Aberdeen
3 1
ST Mirren
10 October 2026 • Premiership
L
Heart Of Midlothian
5 0
ST Mirren
19 September 2026 • Premiership
L
ST Mirren
0 3
Dundee Utd
9 September 2026 • Premiership
L
Rangers
1 0
ST Mirren
5 September 2026 • Premiership
L
ST Mirren
1 2
Celtic
2 September 2026 • Premiership
W
Kilmarnock
0 1
ST Mirren
30 August 2026 • Premiership
D
ST Mirren
3 3
Motherwell
16 August 2026 • League Cup
L
Rangers
5 1
ST Mirren
8 August 2026 • Premiership
W
ST Mirren
1 0
ST Johnstone

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Celtic
12 9 1 2 27-10 17 28
LDWWW
2
Rangers
11 7 3 1 19-9 10 24
DWDWW
3
Heart Of Midlothian
11 6 2 3 24-17 7 20
DWLWD
4
Falkirk
12 5 3 4 15-12 3 18
WWWWL
5
Dundee
11 5 2 4 17-13 4 17
WLDWW
6
Dundee Utd
11 4 4 3 16-16 0 16
DWDWW
7
ST Johnstone
12 3 5 4 15-19 -4 14
DDLDW
8
ST Mirren
12 4 2 6 12-20 -8 14
LDWLL
9
Motherwell
12 3 3 6 14-20 -6 12
WDLLL
10
Aberdeen
11 3 2 6 12-14 -2 11
LLWLD
11
Kilmarnock
12 2 3 7 13-28 -15 9
DLLWL
12
Hibernian
11 2 2 7 11-17 -6 8
DLLLD
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.8

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals93.6%6.4%
1.5 goals76%24%
2.5 goals51.8%48.2%
3.5 goals29.7%70.3%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Heart Of Midlothian

Advice: Double chance : Heart Of Midlothian or draw

Expected goals: 2.8

Form 71% / 29%
Attack 64% / 36%
Defence 60% / 40%
Poisson 60% / 40%
Head-to-head 50% / 50%
Goals 57% / 43%
Overall 60.3% / 39.7%

Match Centre

3.51 expected_goals 0.74
321 Passes accurate 342
16 Shots insidebox 4
3 Shots outsidebox 4
5 Blocked Shots 2
17 Free Kicks 15
6 Shots on Goal 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
8 Shots off Goal 5
3 Offsides 1
416 Total passes 439
19 Total Shots 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
6 Corner Kicks 2
16 Fouls 18
0 Red Cards 0
49% Ball Possession 51%
20' ⚽ Home
23' 🟨 Home
30' 🟨 Away
32' ⚽ Home
45' 🟨 Away
45' 🔁 Away
45' 🔁 Away
45' 🔁 Away
50' ⚽ Home
54' ⚽ Home
56' 🔁 Home
56' 🔁 Home
65' 🟨 Home
65' 🟨 Home
67' 🔁 Away
73' 🔁 Home
74' 🔁 Home
80' ⚽ Home
82' 🔁 Home
82' 🔁 Away
90' 🟨 Away

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Heart Of Midlothian 6/6
ST Mirren 5/6

Over 2.5

Heart Of Midlothian 2/6
ST Mirren 5/6

Over 3.5

Heart Of Midlothian 2/6
ST Mirren 2/6

BTTS (Yes)

Heart Of Midlothian 3/6
ST Mirren 3/6

Goals By Time Period

Heart Of Midlothian

0-15
2
16-30
3
31-45
2
46-60
61-75
3
76+

ST Mirren

0-15
2
16-30
1
31-45
1
46-60
61-75
76+

Average Event Minute

Heart Of Midlothian

First goal scored: 42' First goal conceded: 35' First card: 27'

ST Mirren

First goal scored: 28' First goal conceded: 41' First card: 48'

Season Statistics

Heart Of MidlothianST Mirren
Form
LWWWWLD
WWDWLLL
Played77
Wins43
Draws11
Losses23
Goals for (avg)21.1
Goals against (avg)1.11.3
Clean sheets13
Failed to score02
Biggest win streak42

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Heart Of Midlothian

Total shots 16.7
Blocked 5.5
60% off target 40% on target
71% inside box 29% outside box
Total passes 440.3
Accurate passes 356.2 (55%)
Possession 50%

ST Mirren

Total shots 11.5
Blocked 3.5
57% off target 43% on target
57% inside box 43% outside box
Total passes 450.5
Accurate passes 362 (40%)
Possession 52%

Trends

6 match streak · Premiership

ST Mirren have conceded in each of their last 6 matches in Premiership.

4 match streak · Premiership

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of ST Mirren's last 4 matches in Premiership.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Heart Of Midlothian

A · 31 Oct

Dundee Utd

3/5

H · 1 Nov

Hibernian

1/5

A · 5 Nov

FC Thun

Unrated

H · 8 Nov

Falkirk

4/5

A · 21 Nov

Dundee

4/5

H · 26 Nov

Monaco

Unrated

H · 29 Nov

Celtic

5/5

H · 2 Dec

Aberdeen

2/5

ST Mirren

H · 28 Oct

Hibernian

1/5

A · 31 Oct

Motherwell

2/5

H · 7 Nov

Rangers

5/5

A · 21 Nov

Celtic

5/5

H · 28 Nov

Kilmarnock

1/5

A · 2 Dec

ST Johnstone

3/5

H · 5 Dec

Heart Of Midlothian

4/5

A · 12 Dec

Dundee Utd

3/5

Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren Prediction & Tips

Heart Of Midlothian took on ST Mirren in the Scotland Premiership. Heart Of Midlothian had won 4 and drawn 1 of their 7 league games this season, while ST Mirren have 3 wins and 1 draws from 7.

Our model favoured Heart Of Midlothian as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.8, with both teams to score rated at 53.9%. The published tip for this match was 1 at a 69% win probability.

V

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren FAQs

When did the match between Heart Of Midlothian and ST Mirren take place? +
The match between Heart Of Midlothian and ST Mirren took place on Sat, 10th Oct 2026 at 3:00 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
Scotland Premiership
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
Heart Of Midlothian are 3rd on the table, while ST Mirren are 8th.
How accurate was the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren Prediction & Match Preview

League: Scotland : Premiership

Date: Sat, Oct 10th 2026

Venue: Tynecastle Park,