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LeaguesQPR Vs Derby
QPR Vs Derby Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Championship
4 : 1 FT
Oct 14th
DerbyQPR: Matches Played 10
4 Wins
In last 10 games
2 Losses
In last 10 games
4 Draws
In last 10 games
Derby: Matches Played 10
1 Wins
In last 10 games
6 Losses
In last 10 games
3 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
QPR
DerbyQPRDerbyQPRDerbyQPRDerbyQPRLast Matches (QPR)QPR
BirminghamQPR
West HamQPR
West Brom
CharltonQPR
QPR
BlackburnLast Matches (Derby)
Millwall
Sheffield UtdDerby
QPRDerby
BurnleyDerbyDerbyWest Ham
PortsmouthLeague Table
MiddlesbroughSwansea
WolvesWest Brom
SouthamptonBirminghamStoke CityWest HamQPRSheffield UtdPortsmouthMillwallBlackburn
Bristol City
Norwich
LincolnCardiffWrexham
BoltonCharlton
WatfordBurnleyDerbyPrestonTop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2.4
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 90.5% | 9.5% |
| 1.5 goals | 68% | 32% |
| 2.5 goals | 41.7% | 58.3% |
| 3.5 goals | 21.1% | 78.9% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
45.4%
No
54.6%
1X
76.6%
12
73.3%
X2
50.1%
1-0
13.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
10%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
4.8%
1 / 1
30.1%
1 / X
4.6%
1 / 2
1.2%
X / 1
17.6%
X / X
17.6%
X / 2
9.3%
2 / 1
2.2%
2 / X
4.6%
2 / 2
12.8%
Home -1.25
38.6%
odds 2.42
Away -1.25
61.4%
odds 1.52
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 10.5
48.5%
odds 1.91
Under 10.5
51.5%
odds 1.80
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 3.5
50%
odds 1.83
Under 3.5
50%
odds 1.83
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Implied from Bet365 anytime-scorer odds (margin included, not devigged across players).
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: QPR
Advice: Combo Double chance : QPR or draw and -3.5 goals
Expected goals: 2.4
Match Centre
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
QPR
Derby
Average Event Minute
QPR
Derby
Season Statistics
| QPR | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | WDWWLDDDD | LDLWLLLDD |
| Played | 9 | 9 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 |
| Biggest win streak | 2 | 1 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.
QPR
Derby
Trends
3 match streak · Championship
Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of QPR's last 3 matches in Championship.
9 match streak · Championship
Derby have conceded in each of their last 9 matches in Championship.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
QPR
A · 31 Oct
Southampton
4/5H · 3 Nov
Burnley
1/5H · 7 Nov
Lincoln
2/5A · 21 Nov
Millwall
3/5A · 24 Nov
Norwich
3/5H · 28 Nov
Sheffield Utd
3/5A · 5 Dec
Stoke City
4/5H · 8 Dec
Wolves
5/5Derby
H · 3 Nov
Norwich
3/5H · 6 Nov
Bolton
2/5A · 21 Nov
Southampton
4/5A · 24 Nov
Wolves
5/5H · 28 Nov
Watford
2/5A · 5 Dec
Middlesbrough
5/5H · 9 Dec
Bristol City
3/5A · 12 Dec
Blackburn
3/5QPR vs Derby Prediction & Tips
QPR took on Derby in the England Championship. QPR had won 3 and drawn 5 of their 9 league games this season, while Derby have 1 wins and 3 draws from 9.
Our model favoured QPR as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.4, with both teams to score rated at 45.4%. The published tip for this match was Over 1.5 at a 84% win probability.
Published by
Pá Vick
Football Analyst & Predictor
QPR vs Derby FAQs
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Match Preview
QPR vs Derby Prediction & Match Preview
League: England : Championship
Date: Wed, Oct 14th 2026
Venue: Loftus Road,