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LeaguesTapatío Vs Tepatitlán
Tapatío Vs Tepatitlán Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga de Expansión MX
12:00 AM
Oct 13th
TepatitlánTapatío: Matches Played 10
3 Wins
In last 10 games
6 Losses
In last 10 games
1 Draws
In last 10 games
Tepatitlán: Matches Played 10
2 Wins
In last 10 games
7 Losses
In last 10 games
1 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
Tepatitlán
TapatíoTepatitlánTapatíoTepatitlánTapatíoTepatitlánTapatíoTapatíoLast Matches (Tapatío)Tapatío
DurangoTapatíoTapatío
CancúnTapatío
DoradosTapatío
Alebrijes de OaxacaTapatío
Last Matches (Tepatitlán)TapatíoTepatitlánTepatitlán
Tepatitlán
Venados FCTepatitlán
Cruz Azul HidalgoTepatitlánAlebrijes de OaxacaTepatitlánLeague Table
CA La PazLeones Negros UDGMonarcas
PiratasVenados FCCancúnDurangoTlaxcalaAlebrijes de OaxacaMineros de ZacatecasTapatío
Correcaminos UatDoradosCDS Tampico MaderoCruz Azul HidalgoTepatitlánTop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 3.5
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 96.8% | 3.2% |
| 1.5 goals | 85.8% | 14.2% |
| 2.5 goals | 66.9% | 33.1% |
| 3.5 goals | 45.2% | 54.8% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
63.4%
No
36.6%
1X
79%
12
79.9%
X2
41%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-0
7.7%
1-0
7%
3-1
7%
2-2
6%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
1 / 1
38.4%
1 / X
4.8%
1 / 2
1.7%
X / 1
16.9%
X / X
10.5%
X / 2
7.3%
2 / 1
3.7%
2 / X
4.8%
2 / 2
11.9%
Home -1.25
49.5%
odds 1.92
Away -1.25
50.5%
odds 1.88
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 9.5
53.6%
odds 1.73
Under 9.5
46.4%
odds 2.00
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Tapatío
Advice: Combo Winner : Tapatío and +1.5 goals
Expected goals: 3.5
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Tapatío
Tepatitlán
Average Event Minute
Tapatío
Tepatitlán
Season Statistics
| Tapatío | Tepatitlán | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | DWLWWDLLWLL | LLLLWLLLLWD |
| Played | 11 | 11 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 8 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.7 | 2.7 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 |
| Biggest win streak | 2 | 1 |
Trends
5 match streak · Liga de Expansión MX
Tapatío have conceded in each of their last 5 matches in Liga de Expansión MX.
4 match streak · Liga de Expansión MX
Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Tapatío's last 4 matches in Liga de Expansión MX.
3 match streak · Liga de Expansión MX
Tepatitlán have scored in each of their last 3 matches in Liga de Expansión MX.
10 match streak · Liga de Expansión MX
Tepatitlán have conceded in each of their last 10 matches in Liga de Expansión MX.
3 match streak · Liga de Expansión MX
Both teams have scored in each of Tepatitlán's last 3 matches in Liga de Expansión MX.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Tapatío
A · 1 Nov
Piratas
4/5Tepatitlán
A · 18 Oct
Piratas
4/5H · 24 Oct
Cancún
4/5A · 1 Nov
Leones Negros UDG
5/5Tapatío vs Tepatitlán Prediction & Tips
Tapatío takes on Tepatitlán in the Mexico Liga de Expansión MX on Tuesday, 13 October 2026. Tapatío have won 4 and drawn 2 of their 11 league games this season, while Tepatitlán have 2 wins and 1 draws from 11.
Our model favours Tapatío as the more likely side (35% home, 35% draw, 30% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 3.5, with both teams to score rated at 63.4%. The published tip for this match is Over 2.5 at a 74% win probability.
Published by
Pá Vick
Football Analyst & Predictor
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Match Preview
Tapatío vs Tepatitlán Prediction & Match Preview
League: Mexico : Liga de Expansión MX
Date: Tue, Oct 13th 2026
Venue: Estadio Akron,