VictorsPredict

Liverpool Montevideo Vs Progreso

Liverpool Montevideo Vs Progreso Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Primera División - Apertura

Liverpool Montevideo

3 : 2 FT

Oct 3rd

Progreso
Prediction Odds Confidence
Under 3.5 1.27
LOST

Liverpool Montevideo: Matches Played 10

DWLDW
W

7 Wins

In last 10 games

L

1 Losses

In last 10 games

D

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Progreso: Matches Played 10

WWLWW
W

5 Wins

In last 10 games

L

4 Losses

In last 10 games

D

1 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
45% 1.65
45% 3.80
10% 4.60

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
31 March 2026 • Primera División
D
Progreso
3 3
Liverpool Montevideo
26 October 2025 • Primera División - Clausura
W
Liverpool Montevideo
3 1
Progreso
27 April 2025 • Primera División - Apertura
W
Progreso
0 2
Liverpool Montevideo
3 November 2024 • Primera División - Clausura
W
Liverpool Montevideo
2 1
Progreso
28 April 2024 • Primera División - Apertura
L
Progreso
2 1
Liverpool Montevideo
3 October 2021 • Primera División - Clausura
L
Liverpool Montevideo
0 1
Progreso
4 June 2021 • Primera División - Apertura
W
Progreso
1 3
Liverpool Montevideo
30 January 2021 • Primera División - Clausura
W
Progreso
0 4
Liverpool Montevideo
8 March 2020 • Primera División - Apertura
D
Liverpool Montevideo
1 1
Progreso
Last Matches (Liverpool Montevideo)
1 November 2026 • Primera División
W
Liverpool Montevideo
2 0
Juventud
25 October 2026 • Primera División
W
Club Nacional
0 1
Liverpool Montevideo
21 October 2026 • Copa Uruguay
W
Liverpool Montevideo
1 0
Cerro Largo
18 October 2026 • Primera División
W
Liverpool Montevideo
1 0
Penarol
9 October 2026 • Primera División
D
Deportivo Maldonado
1 1
Liverpool Montevideo
3 October 2026 • Primera División
W
Liverpool Montevideo
3 2
Progreso
27 September 2026 • Primera División
W
Central Espanol
1 2
Liverpool Montevideo
23 September 2026 • Copa Uruguay
W
Liverpool Montevideo
3 0
Colón
20 September 2026 • Primera División
D
Liverpool Montevideo
0 0
Racing Montevideo
14 September 2026 • Primera División
L
Atletico Torque
3 1
Liverpool Montevideo
Last Matches (Progreso)
17 October 2026 • Primera División
W
Progreso
2 0
Juventud
10 October 2026 • Primera División
D
Penarol
1 1
Progreso
3 October 2026 • Primera División
L
Liverpool Montevideo
3 2
Progreso
26 September 2026 • Primera División
W
Progreso
2 1
Racing Montevideo
19 September 2026 • Primera División
W
Boston River
1 2
Progreso
16 September 2026 • Copa Uruguay
L
Progreso
0 1
Club Nacional
13 September 2026 • Primera División
L
Progreso
1 3
Cerro
7 September 2026 • Primera División
W
Albion FC
0 1
Progreso
3 September 2026 • Copa Uruguay
L
Albion FC
2 1
Progreso
29 August 2026 • Primera División
W
Progreso
1 0
Danubio

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Penarol
34 19 8 7 51-27 24 64
DLDWD
2
Deportivo Maldonado
34 18 8 8 54-32 22 62
WLDWW
3
Atletico Torque
34 18 6 10 57-40 17 60
WLWLD
4
Club Nacional
34 18 4 12 51-41 10 58
LWWWW
5
Racing Montevideo
34 15 12 7 42-30 12 57
DWLLL
6
Liverpool Montevideo
34 15 11 8 45-31 14 56
WWDWW
7
Wanderers
34 14 8 12 41-43 -2 50
LLLWW
8
Albion FC
34 13 7 14 47-44 3 46
WWWWL
9
Juventud
34 10 11 13 37-41 -4 41
DLWDD
10
Central Espanol
34 10 8 16 33-47 -14 38
LLLLL
11
Cerro Largo
34 9 10 15 32-38 -6 37
WDLLL
12
Boston River
34 10 7 17 33-45 -12 37
LWWDL
13
Cerro
34 10 7 17 28-51 -23 37
LDWLD
14
Defensor Sporting
34 8 12 14 33-43 -10 36
DLLLW
15
Progreso
34 10 5 19 31-47 -16 35
WWDLW
16
Danubio
34 6 14 14 28-43 -15 32
LWLWL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.2

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals88.9%11.1%
1.5 goals64.5%35.5%
2.5 goals37.7%62.3%
3.5 goals18.1%81.9%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Liverpool Montevideo

Advice: Double chance : Liverpool Montevideo or draw

Expected goals: 2.2

Form 40% / 60%
Attack 42% / 58%
Defence 50% / 50%
Poisson 67% / 33%
Head-to-head 71% / 29%
Goals 61% / 39%
Overall 55.2% / 44.8%

Match Centre

4 Shots off Goal 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
53% Ball Possession 47%
0 Red Cards 0
0 Free Kicks 0
5 Shots on Goal 3
3 Corner Kicks 4
0 Blocked Shots 0
9 Total Shots 8
10' 🟨 Home
18' 🟨 Away
34' 🟨 Home
36' 🟨 Away
38' ⚽ Home
45' 🟨 Away
46' 🔁 Away
46' 🔁 Away
48' ⚽ Away
51' 🔁 Home
62' 🔁 Home
62' 🔁 Home
67' 🔁 Home
67' 🔁 Home
71' 🟨 Home
73' 🔁 Away
77' 🟨 Away
79' 🟨 Home
82' ⚽ Home
83' 🔁 Away
88' ⚽ Home
90' ⚽ Away

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Liverpool Montevideo 3/6
Progreso 5/6

Over 2.5

Liverpool Montevideo 1/6
Progreso 3/6

Over 3.5

Liverpool Montevideo 1/6
Progreso 1/6

BTTS (Yes)

Liverpool Montevideo 2/6
Progreso 4/6

Goals By Time Period

Liverpool Montevideo

2
0-15
16-30
2
31-45
46-60
2
61-75
3
76+

Progreso

1
0-15
2
16-30
31-45
1
46-60
61-75
5
76+

Average Event Minute

Liverpool Montevideo

First goal scored: 50' First goal conceded: 63' First card: 28'

Progreso

First goal scored: 38' First goal conceded: 56' First card: 40'

Season Statistics

Liverpool MontevideoProgreso
Form
WLDWWDLDDLWLDWLLDWDLWDWWWDWLDW
LLLDDWLDDLLWLLLLLWLLWLLLLWWLWW
Played3030
Wins128
Draws104
Losses818
Goals for (avg)1.30.8
Goals against (avg)0.91.4
Clean sheets144
Failed to score813
Biggest win streak32

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 5 matches.

Liverpool Montevideo

Total shots 8
Blocked 0
48% off target 52% on target
Possession 50%

Progreso

Total shots 6.5
Blocked 0
50% off target 50% on target
Possession 31%

Trends

5 match streak · Primera División

Progreso have scored in each of their last 5 matches in Primera División.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Liverpool Montevideo

A · 5 Nov

Gladiador

Unrated

Progreso

A · 25 Oct

Wanderers

3/5

H · 1 Nov

Defensor Sporting

2/5

Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso Prediction & Tips

Liverpool Montevideo took on Progreso in the Uruguay Primera División - Apertura. Liverpool Montevideo had won 12 and drawn 10 of their 30 league games this season, while Progreso have 8 wins and 4 draws from 30.

Our model favoured Liverpool Montevideo as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.2, with both teams to score rated at 42.4%. The published tip for this match was Under 3.5 at a 79% win probability.

V

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso FAQs

When did the match between Liverpool Montevideo and Progreso take place? +
The match between Liverpool Montevideo and Progreso took place on Sat, 3rd Oct 2026 at 3:00 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
Uruguay Primera División - Apertura
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
Liverpool Montevideo are 6th on the table, while Progreso are 15th.
How accurate was the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso Prediction & Match Preview

League: Uruguay : Primera División - Apertura

Date: Sat, Oct 3rd 2026

Venue: Estadio Belvedere,