Mebrat Hayl Vs Negelle Arsi

Mebrat Hayl Vs Negelle Arsi Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Premier League

Mebrat Hayl

1:00 PM

Oct 16th

Negelle Arsi

Prediction Odds Confidence

X2 1.31

76%

Mebrat Hayl: Matches Played 10

3 Wins

In last 10 games

3 Losses

In last 10 games

4 Draws

In last 10 games

Negelle Arsi: Matches Played 10

5 Wins

In last 10 games

1 Losses

In last 10 games

4 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away

10% 2.80

45% 2.40

45% 2.80

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H

15 March 2026 • Premier League

Negelle Arsi

0 2

Mebrat Hayl

7 November 2025 • Premier League

Mebrat Hayl

0 0

Negelle Arsi

Last Matches (Mebrat Hayl)

20 October 2026 • Premier League

Mebrat Hayl

1 0

Sheger Ketema

16 October 2026 • Premier League

Mebrat Hayl

0 0

Negelle Arsi

9 October 2026 • Premier League

Mebrat Hayl

0 1

Adama Kenema

5 July 2026 • Premier League

Sidama Bunna

0 1

Mebrat Hayl

28 June 2026 • Premier League

Mebrat Hayl

1 1

Awassa Kenema

22 June 2026 • Premier League

Welayta Dicha

1 2

Mebrat Hayl

16 June 2026 • Premier League

Mebrat Hayl

0 0

Mekelle Kenema

30 May 2026 • Premier League

Ethiopia Nigd Bank

2 1

Mebrat Hayl

20 May 2026 • Premier League

Mebrat Hayl

1 1

Dire Dawa Kenema

16 May 2026 • Premier League

Welwalo Adigrat Uni

2 1

Mebrat Hayl

Last Matches (Negelle Arsi)

30 October 2026 • Premier League

Sheger Ketema

1 2

Negelle Arsi

26 October 2026 • Premier League

Negelle Arsi

1 0

Adama Kenema

21 October 2026 • Premier League

Ethiopia Bunna

0 3

Negelle Arsi

16 October 2026 • Premier League

Mebrat Hayl

0 0

Negelle Arsi

10 October 2026 • Premier League

Kedus Giorgis

1 1

Negelle Arsi

1 July 2026 • Premier League

Mekelle Kenema

3 0

Negelle Arsi

26 June 2026 • Premier League

Negelle Arsi

2 0

Ethiopia Nigd Bank

20 June 2026 • Premier League

Sidama Bunna

1 1

Negelle Arsi

15 June 2026 • Premier League

Negelle Arsi

2 1

Awassa Kenema

4 June 2026 • Premier League

Welayta Dicha

0 0

Negelle Arsi

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form

Mekelakeya

4 3 0 1 5-2 3 9

WWLW

Negelle Arsi

4 2 2 0 5-1 4 8

WWDD

Ethiopia Nigd Bank

4 2 2 0 3-1 2 8

DDWW

Mebrat Hayl

4 2 1 1 2-1 1 7

WWDL

Bahardar

3 2 0 1 4-2 2 6

WLW

Welayta Dicha

4 1 2 1 8-4 4 5

WLDD

Sheger Ketema

4 1 2 1 3-3 0 5

DLDW

Adama Kenema

4 1 2 1 2-2 0 5

LDDW

Halaba Ketema

4 1 2 1 3-8 -5 5

LDWD

Ethiopian Medhin

3 1 1 1 4-4 0 4

LDW

Hadiya Hosaena

3 1 1 1 2-2 0 4

WDL

Kedus Giorgis

4 0 3 1 5-6 -1 3

DDLD

Ethiopia Bunna

4 1 0 3 2-6 -4 3

LLWL

Awassa Kenema

3 0 2 1 2-3 -1 2

DDL

Fasil Ketema

3 0 2 1 1-2 -1 2

LDD

Welwalo Adigrat Uni

1 0 1 0 1-1 0 1

Gamo Chencha

3 0 1 2 0-3 -3 1

DLL

Sidama Bunna

1 0 0 1 0-1 -1 0

See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 1.5

Line	Over	Under
0.5 goals	77.7%	22.3%
1.5 goals	44.2%	55.8%
2.5 goals	19.1%	80.9%
3.5 goals	6.6%	93.4%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Negelle Arsi

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Negelle Arsi and -3.5 goals

Expected goals: 1.5

Form 0% / 100%

Attack 0% / 100%

Defence 50% / 50%

Poisson 0% / 100%

Head-to-head 80% / 20%

Goals 100% / 0%

Overall 65% / 35%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Mebrat Hayl 2/6

Negelle Arsi 4/6

Over 2.5

Mebrat Hayl 1/6

Negelle Arsi 3/6

Over 3.5

Mebrat Hayl 0/6

Negelle Arsi 0/6

BTTS (Yes)

Mebrat Hayl 2/6

Negelle Arsi 2/6

Goals By Time Period

Mebrat Hayl

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Negelle Arsi

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Average Event Minute

Mebrat Hayl

First goal scored: 38' First goal conceded: 43' First card: —

Negelle Arsi

First goal scored: 39' First goal conceded: 48' First card: 90'

Season Statistics

	Mebrat Hayl	Negelle Arsi
Form	L	D
Played	1	1
Wins	0	0
Draws	0	1
Losses	1	0
Goals for (avg)	0	1
Goals against (avg)	1	1
Clean sheets	0	0
Failed to score	1	0
Biggest win streak	0	0

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 1 matches.

Mebrat Hayl

Negelle Arsi

Total shots 7

Blocked 0

72% off target 28% on target

Possession 52%

Trends

5 match streak · Premier League

Negelle Arsi are unbeaten in their last 5 matches in Premier League.

3 match streak · Premier League

Negelle Arsi have won 3 consecutive matches in Premier League.

3 match streak · Premier League

Negelle Arsi have scored in each of their last 3 matches in Premier League.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Mebrat Hayl

A · 25 Oct

Ethiopia Bunna

2/5

H · 1 Nov

Kedus Giorgis

2/5

H · 20 Nov

Halaba Ketema

3/5

H · 24 Nov

Hadiya Hosaena

3/5

H · 29 Nov

Welayta Dicha

4/5

A · 4 Dec

Awassa Kenema

2/5

A · 9 Dec

Sidama Bunna

1/5

A · 13 Dec

Gamo Chencha

1/5

Negelle Arsi

H · 20 Nov

Gamo Chencha

1/5

H · 24 Nov

Sidama Bunna

1/5

H · 29 Nov

Awassa Kenema

2/5

H · 5 Dec

Bahardar

4/5

H · 10 Dec

Welwalo Adigrat Uni

1/5

H · 14 Dec

Fasil Ketema

2/5

A · 20 Dec

Ethiopian Medhin

3/5

A · 24 Dec

Ethiopia Nigd Bank

5/5

Mebrat Hayl vs Negelle Arsi Prediction & Tips

Mebrat Hayl takes on Negelle Arsi in the Ethiopia Premier League on Friday, 16 October 2026. Mebrat Hayl have won 0 and drawn 0 of their 1 league games this season, while Negelle Arsi have 0 wins and 1 draws from 1.

Our model favours Negelle Arsi as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 1.5, with both teams to score rated at 24.9%. The published tip for this match is X2 at a 76% win probability.

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

Mebrat Hayl vs Negelle Arsi FAQs

When is the match between Mebrat Hayl and Negelle Arsi? +

The match between Mebrat Hayl and Negelle Arsi is scheduled for Fri, 16th Oct 2026 at 1:00 PM.

Which league is this match in? +

Ethiopia Premier League

What is their ranking in the league table this season? +

Mebrat Hayl are 4th on the table, while Negelle Arsi are 2nd.

How accurate is the prediction for this match? +

The prediction for this match is based on statistical analysis and the available football data.

Is the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +

Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.

How often are predictions updated? +

Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Mebrat Hayl vs Negelle Arsi Prediction & Match Preview

League: Ethiopia : Premier League

Date: Fri, Oct 16th 2026

Venue: ,