Real Madrid Vs Villarreal

Real Madrid Vs Villarreal Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

La Liga

Real Madrid

1 : 0 FT

Oct 10th

Villarreal

Prediction Odds Confidence

Over 2.5 1.25

LOST

Real Madrid: Matches Played 10

WLWWL

9 Wins

In last 10 games

1 Losses

In last 10 games

0 Draws

In last 10 games

Villarreal: Matches Played 10

LLLWW

5 Wins

In last 10 games

4 Losses

In last 10 games

1 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away

45% 1.36

45% 5.00

10% 6.50

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H

24 January 2026 • La Liga

Villarreal

0 2

Real Madrid

4 October 2025 • La Liga

Real Madrid

3 1

Villarreal

15 March 2025 • La Liga

Villarreal

1 2

Real Madrid

5 October 2024 • La Liga

Real Madrid

2 0

Villarreal

19 May 2024 • La Liga

Villarreal

4 4

Real Madrid

17 December 2023 • La Liga

Real Madrid

4 1

Villarreal

8 April 2023 • La Liga

Real Madrid

2 3

Villarreal

19 January 2023 • Copa del Rey

Villarreal

2 3

Real Madrid

7 January 2023 • La Liga

Villarreal

2 1

Real Madrid

Last Matches (Real Madrid)

1 November 2026 • La Liga

Racing Santander

0 3

Real Madrid

25 October 2026 • La Liga

Barcelona

1 2

Real Madrid

21 October 2026 • UEFA Champions League

Real Madrid

4 1

RB Leipzig

18 October 2026 • La Liga

Real Madrid

4 1

Sevilla

14 October 2026 • UEFA Champions League

AS Roma

3 4

Real Madrid

10 October 2026 • La Liga

Real Madrid

1 0

Villarreal

20 September 2026 • La Liga

Atletico Madrid

2 1

Real Madrid

15 September 2026 • La Liga

Elche

2 3

Real Madrid

12 September 2026 • La Liga

Real Madrid

4 1

Rayo Vallecano

8 September 2026 • UEFA Champions League

Real Madrid

2 1

Inter

Last Matches (Villarreal)

30 October 2026 • La Liga

Villarreal

0 1

Espanyol

27 October 2026 • Copa del Rey

Manacor

0 5

Villarreal

24 October 2026 • La Liga

Valencia

1 2

Villarreal

20 October 2026 • UEFA Champions League

Liverpool

4 3

Villarreal

17 October 2026 • La Liga

Villarreal

0 0

Elche

13 October 2026 • UEFA Champions League

Villarreal

3 1

Napoli

10 October 2026 • La Liga

Real Madrid

1 0

Villarreal

20 September 2026 • La Liga

Villarreal

3 1

Levante

17 September 2026 • La Liga

Malaga

1 3

Villarreal

14 September 2026 • La Liga

Villarreal

1 2

Real Betis

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form

Barcelona

11 10 0 1 46-12 34 30

WLWWW

Atletico Madrid

11 9 1 1 22-8 14 28

WWWWW

Real Madrid

11 9 0 2 28-10 18 27

WWWWL

Real Betis

11 7 2 2 18-15 3 23

WDLWD

Real Sociedad

11 6 1 4 20-20 0 19

LWWWW

Sevilla

11 5 2 4 17-19 -2 17

LWLDL

Athletic Club

10 4 3 3 14-10 4 15

WWLDD

Deportivo La Coruna

11 3 5 3 15-14 1 14

WLDLD

Villarreal

11 3 3 5 15-15 0 12

LWDLW

Celta Vigo

11 2 6 3 10-10 0 12

LDWDW

Alaves

11 3 3 5 15-17 -2 12

LDLLD

Rayo Vallecano

10 3 3 4 15-20 -5 12

WLDDW

Getafe

11 3 3 5 8-16 -8 12

WLDLW

Espanyol

11 3 2 6 13-14 -1 11

WLLDL

Osasuna

11 3 2 6 11-22 -11 11

LLWLD

Racing Santander

11 3 2 6 15-29 -14 11

LWLDL

Elche

11 2 4 5 14-18 -4 10

LWDDW

Levante

11 2 4 5 16-21 -5 10

LLWDD

Valencia

11 2 3 6 8-17 -9 9

WLDDL

Malaga

11 0 5 6 8-21 -13 5

LDLDL

See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

Raphinha

Barcelona

10 15

Kylian Mbappé

Real Madrid

11 12

Lamine Yamal

Barcelona

11 10

M. Zabiri

Racing Santander

11 8

A. Budimir

Osasuna

11 8

Sergio Camello

Rayo Vallecano

11 7

Roberto Fernández

Espanyol

11 6

Fer Niño

Elche

11 6

Fermín

Barcelona

10 5

Álex Baena

Atletico Madrid

11 5

P. Aubameyang

Deportivo La Coruna

8 5

Brugui

Levante

10 5

Adrián Niño Heredia

Malaga

7 5

Marc Aguado

Elche

3 1

L. Boyé

Alaves

10 5

M. Díaz

Alaves

11 4

Mikel Rodriguez

Alaves

1 1

Aitor Paredes

Athletic Club

1 1

Kike Barja

Osasuna

2 1

E. Bardeli

Levante

3 1

Peque Fernández

Sevilla

1 1

J. Bellingham

Real Madrid

11 4

Iago Aspas

Celta Vigo

2 1

Buba Sangaré

Elche

3 1

Jon Guridi

Sevilla

1 1

Guevara

Alaves

1 0

L. Sučić

Real Sociedad

10 4

Álex Calatrava

Espanyol

2 1

Jon Ander Olasagasti

Levante

3 1

N. Tenaglia

Alaves

3 1

Andrés Martín

Racing Santander

1 1

Carles Aleñá

Alaves

1 0

Álex Berenguer

Athletic Club

11 4

G. Simeone

Atletico Madrid

11 3

Álvaro García

Rayo Vallecano

11 3

P. Gueye

Villarreal

8 3

Alberto Moleiro

Villarreal

7 2

Javier Hernandez

Espanyol

1 0

A. Freeman

Villarreal

1 0

L. Amatucci

Deportivo La Coruna

1 0

Lee Kang-In

Atletico Madrid

6 2

Jorge de Frutos

Rayo Vallecano

2 0

Álex Grimaldo

Atletico Madrid

10 4

Isaac

Sevilla

8 3

Oso

Sevilla

2 1

Pablo García

Real Betis

3 1

Vinícius Júnior

Real Madrid

5 1

K. Adeyemi

Barcelona

7 2

A. Güler

Real Madrid

4 1

N. Pépé

Villarreal

5 2

T. Dolan

Espanyol

2 1

Sergio Martínez

Racing Santander

0 1

Rafel Bauzà

Espanyol

1 0

G. Mikautadze

Villarreal

1 0

Robert Navarro

Athletic Club

4 2

Manu Bueno

Sevilla

1 0

Luismi Cruz

Deportivo La Coruna

4 1

Gonzalo Villar

Elche

1 0

J. David

Atletico Madrid

6 3

Rodrigo Riquelme

Real Betis

5 2

Iván Romero

Levante

10 3

A. Ezzalzouli

Real Betis

6 3

Gabriel Jesus

Barcelona

5 3

Y. Diomande

Real Madrid

11 3

C. Ejuke

Sevilla

3 1

E. Ünal

Getafe

2 1

Carlos Espí

Real Madrid

2 1

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 3.6

Line	Over	Under
0.5 goals	97.4%	2.6%
1.5 goals	87.9%	12.1%
2.5 goals	70.6%	29.4%
3.5 goals	49.5%	50.5%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Real Madrid

Advice: Combo Double chance : Real Madrid or draw and +1.5 goals

Expected goals: 3.6

Form 60% / 40%

Attack 57% / 43%

Defence 57% / 43%

Poisson 80% / 20%

Head-to-head 93% / 7%

Goals 68% / 32%

Overall 69.2% / 30.8%

Match Centre

1.47 expected_goals 0.62

338 Passes accurate 423

9 Shots insidebox 7

2 Shots outsidebox 8

3 Blocked Shots 4

13 Free Kicks 8

4 Shots on Goal 4

4 Goalkeeper Saves 3

4 Shots off Goal 7

3 Offsides 1

406 Total passes 478

1 Red Cards 0

11 Total Shots 15

5 Yellow Cards 2

9 Corner Kicks 3

8 Fouls 13

46% Ball Possession 54%

10' 🟨 Away

19' 🟨 Home

45' 🔁 Home

52' 🔁 Home

56' 🔁 Away

62' ⚽ Home

67' 🔁 Away

68' 🟨 Home

72' 🟥 Home

77' 🔁 Home

81' 🟨 Home

83' 🟨 Home

84' 🟨 Away

86' 🔁 Home

86' 🔁 Away

87' 🟨 Home

90' 🟨 Home

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Real Madrid 5/6

Villarreal 4/6

Over 2.5

Real Madrid 5/6

Villarreal 4/6

Over 3.5

Real Madrid 3/6

Villarreal 3/6

BTTS (Yes)

Real Madrid 4/6

Villarreal 3/6

Goals By Time Period

Real Madrid

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Villarreal

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Average Event Minute

Real Madrid

First goal scored: 35' First goal conceded: 62' First card: 49'

Villarreal

First goal scored: 27' First goal conceded: 36' First card: 49'

Season Statistics

	Real Madrid	Villarreal
Form	WWWLWWL	DDLLLWW
Played	7	7
Wins	5	2
Draws	0	2
Losses	2	3
Goals for (avg)	2.6	1.9
Goals against (avg)	1.1	1.7
Clean sheets	1	0
Failed to score	1	1
Biggest win streak	3	0

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Real Madrid

Total shots 15.3

Blocked 2.2

46% off target 54% on target

70% inside box 30% outside box

Total passes 531.2

Accurate passes 466.3 (15%)

Possession 52%

Villarreal

Total shots 16.6

Blocked 5.8

58% off target 42% on target

60% inside box 40% outside box

Total passes 524.6

Accurate passes 452.2 (34%)

Possession 56%

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Real Madrid

A · 4 Nov

AEK Athens FC

Unrated

A · 7 Nov

Valencia

1/5

H · 22 Nov

Celta Vigo

3/5

H · 24 Nov

PSV Eindhoven

Unrated

H · 29 Nov

Alaves

3/5

A · 6 Dec

Athletic Club

4/5

A · 9 Dec

Arsenal

Unrated

H · 13 Dec

Osasuna

2/5

Villarreal

H · 3 Nov

Paris Saint Germain

Unrated

H · 8 Nov

Getafe

2/5

A · 22 Nov

Barcelona

5/5

A · 25 Nov

Slavia Praha

Unrated

A · 29 Nov

Celta Vigo

3/5

H · 6 Dec

Real Sociedad

4/5

H · 8 Dec

Sabah FA

Unrated

H · 13 Dec

Rayo Vallecano

3/5

Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction & Tips

Real Madrid took on Villarreal in the Spain La Liga. Real Madrid had won 5 and drawn 0 of their 7 league games this season, while Villarreal have 2 wins and 2 draws from 7.

Our model favoured Real Madrid as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 3.6, with both teams to score rated at 68.6%. The published tip for this match was Over 2.5 at a 80% win probability.

Published by

Pá Vick

Football Analyst & Predictor

Real Madrid vs Villarreal FAQs

When did the match between Real Madrid and Villarreal take place? +

The match between Real Madrid and Villarreal took place on Sat, 10th Oct 2026 at 8:00 PM.

Which league is this match in? +

Spain La Liga

What is their ranking in the league table this season? +

Real Madrid are 3rd on the table, while Villarreal are 9th.

How accurate was the prediction for this match? +

The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.

Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +

Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.

How often are predictions updated? +

Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction & Match Preview

League: Spain : La Liga

Date: Sat, Oct 10th 2026

Venue: Santiago Bernabéu Stadium, Madrid