Atletico Paranaense Vs Vasco DA Gama

Atletico Paranaense Vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Serie A

Atletico Paranaense

11:30 PM

Nov 4th

Vasco DA Gama

Prediction Odds Confidence

Under 3.5 1.35

74%

Atletico Paranaense: Matches Played 10

WDWLD

4 Wins

In last 10 games

2 Losses

In last 10 games

4 Draws

In last 10 games

Vasco DA Gama: Matches Played 10

DWLLW

5 Wins

In last 10 games

4 Losses

In last 10 games

1 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away

35% 2.05

35% 3.30

30% 3.30

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H

10 May 2026 • Serie A

Vasco DA Gama

1 0

Atletico Paranaense

12 September 2024 • Copa Do Brasil

Atletico Paranaense

2 1

Vasco DA Gama

29 August 2024 • Copa Do Brasil

Vasco DA Gama

2 1

Atletico Paranaense

27 August 2024 • Serie A

Vasco DA Gama

2 1

Atletico Paranaense

5 May 2024 • Serie A

Atletico Paranaense

1 0

Vasco DA Gama

25 November 2023 • Serie A

Atletico Paranaense

0 0

Vasco DA Gama

23 July 2023 • Serie A

Vasco DA Gama

0 2

Atletico Paranaense

27 December 2020 • Serie A

Atletico Paranaense

3 0

Vasco DA Gama

6 September 2020 • Serie A

Vasco DA Gama

1 0

Atletico Paranaense

22 September 2019 • Serie A

Vasco DA Gama

1 1

Atletico Paranaense

Last Matches (Atletico Paranaense)

17 October 2026 • Serie A

Atletico Paranaense

0 2

Palmeiras

12 October 2026 • Serie A

Chapecoense-sc

1 4

Atletico Paranaense

8 October 2026 • Serie A

Atletico Paranaense

2 2

Atletico-MG

20 September 2026 • Serie A

Atletico Paranaense

2 1

Bahia

12 September 2026 • Serie A

Coritiba

3 3

Atletico Paranaense

6 September 2026 • Serie A

Cruzeiro

3 1

Atletico Paranaense

30 August 2026 • Serie A

Atletico Paranaense

3 3

Fluminense

24 August 2026 • Serie A

Botafogo

2 3

Atletico Paranaense

15 August 2026 • Serie A

Atletico Paranaense

1 1

RB Bragantino

9 August 2026 • Serie A

Santos

0 2

Atletico Paranaense

Last Matches (Vasco DA Gama)

1 November 2026 • Copa Do Brasil

Palmeiras

1 0

Vasco DA Gama

29 October 2026 • Serie A

Vasco DA Gama

1 4

Flamengo

24 October 2026 • Serie A

Vasco DA Gama

3 2

Corinthians

21 October 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Vasco DA Gama

1 3

Boca Juniors

18 October 2026 • Serie A

Sao Paulo

1 0

Vasco DA Gama

14 October 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Boca Juniors

0 1

Vasco DA Gama

10 October 2026 • Serie A

Vasco DA Gama

0 0

Remo

7 October 2026 • Serie A

Botafogo

1 2

Vasco DA Gama

19 September 2026 • Serie A

Vasco DA Gama

5 0

Coritiba

15 September 2026 • CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Vasco DA Gama

2 0

Santa Fe

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form

Flamengo

33 22 7 4 68-28 40 73

WWWWD

Palmeiras

33 20 10 3 56-22 34 70

DWWWW

Cruzeiro

33 17 6 10 52-46 6 57

WWWLW

Fluminense

33 15 9 9 52-42 10 54

WLLLW

Atletico Paranaense

33 15 9 9 50-40 10 54

LDLWD

Bahia

33 14 11 8 48-42 6 53

WDLWL

Atletico-MG

33 14 8 11 44-39 5 50

LLWWD

RB Bragantino

34 13 8 13 44-39 5 47

WWLDW

Santos

34 12 11 11 50-49 1 47

LDDWL

Sao Paulo

33 12 7 14 39-39 0 43

LDWWL

Coritiba

33 11 9 13 40-50 -10 42

WLLDL

Botafogo

33 10 9 14 45-53 -8 39

LLWDL

Vasco DA Gama

32 10 8 14 40-49 -9 38

LWLDW

Vitoria

33 10 8 15 35-48 -13 38

LDDLW

Gremio

33 9 10 14 37-44 -7 37

WWLDD

Mirassol

33 9 10 14 37-47 -10 37

LDWLD

Corinthians

33 9 9 15 36-42 -6 36

WLDLL

Internacional

33 8 11 14 37-42 -5 35

LWLDW

Remo

33 6 11 16 36-51 -15 29

WLDDD

Chapecoense-sc

32 4 9 19 32-66 -34 21

LWLLL

See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.8

Line	Over	Under
0.5 goals	93.6%	6.4%
1.5 goals	76%	24%
2.5 goals	51.9%	48.1%
3.5 goals	29.7%	70.3%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Atletico Paranaense

Advice: Double chance : Atletico Paranaense or draw

Expected goals: 2.8

Form 42% / 58%

Attack 54% / 46%

Defence 50% / 50%

Poisson 69% / 31%

Head-to-head 40% / 60%

Goals 45% / 55%

Overall 50% / 50%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Atletico Paranaense 6/6

Vasco DA Gama 3/6

Over 2.5

Atletico Paranaense 5/6

Vasco DA Gama 3/6

Over 3.5

Atletico Paranaense 4/6

Vasco DA Gama 3/6

BTTS (Yes)

Atletico Paranaense 5/6

Vasco DA Gama 3/6

Goals By Time Period

Atletico Paranaense

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Vasco DA Gama

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Average Event Minute

Atletico Paranaense

First goal scored: 18' First goal conceded: 34' First card: 43'

Vasco DA Gama

First goal scored: 35' First goal conceded: 31' First card: 48'

Season Statistics

	Atletico Paranaense	Vasco DA Gama
Form	WWLDLWWWLLWLWDLDWWWWDWDWDLDWDWLDL	LDLLWDWWDLDWLDWLLLLDDLLWLWWWDLWL
Played	33	32
Wins	15	10
Draws	9	8
Losses	9	14
Goals for (avg)	1.5	1.3
Goals against (avg)	1.2	1.5
Clean sheets	8	4
Failed to score	8	10
Biggest win streak	4	3

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Atletico Paranaense

Total shots 18

Blocked 5

47% off target 53% on target

54% inside box 46% outside box

Total passes 426.3

Accurate passes 358.2 (14%)

Possession 51%

Vasco DA Gama

Total shots 13.3

Blocked 3.3

72% off target 28% on target

67% inside box 33% outside box

Total passes 499.2

Accurate passes 421 (15%)

Possession 53%

Trends

9 match streak · Serie A

Atletico Paranaense have conceded in each of their last 9 matches in Serie A.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Atletico Paranaense

A · 24 Oct

Vitoria

2/5

A · 30 Oct

Gremio

2/5

H · 4 Nov

Vasco DA Gama

2/5

A · 18 Nov

Flamengo

5/5

H · 22 Nov

Remo

1/5

A · 29 Nov

Mirassol

2/5

H · 2 Dec

Sao Paulo

3/5

Vasco DA Gama

A · 4 Nov

Atletico Paranaense

4/5

H · 8 Nov

Palmeiras

5/5

H · 19 Nov

Internacional

1/5

A · 22 Nov

RB Bragantino

4/5

A · 29 Nov

Atletico-MG

4/5

H · 2 Dec

Vitoria

2/5

Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction & Tips

Atletico Paranaense takes on Vasco DA Gama in the Brazil Serie A on Wednesday, 4 November 2026. Atletico Paranaense have won 15 and drawn 9 of their 33 league games this season, while Vasco DA Gama have 10 wins and 8 draws from 32.

Our model favours Atletico Paranaense as the more likely side (35% home, 35% draw, 30% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.8, with both teams to score rated at 55.4%. The published tip for this match is Under 3.5 at a 74% win probability.

Published by

Pá Vick

Football Analyst & Predictor

Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama FAQs

When is the match between Atletico Paranaense and Vasco DA Gama? +

The match between Atletico Paranaense and Vasco DA Gama is scheduled for Wed, 4th Nov 2026 at 11:30 PM.

Which league is this match in? +

Brazil Serie A

What is their ranking in the league table this season? +

Atletico Paranaense are 5th on the table, while Vasco DA Gama are 13th.

How accurate is the prediction for this match? +

The prediction for this match is based on statistical analysis and the available football data.

Is the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +

Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.

How often are predictions updated? +

Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction & Match Preview

League: Brazil : Serie A

Date: Wed, Nov 4th 2026

Venue: Arena da Baixada,