VictorsPredict

Ajax Vs NEC Nijmegen

Ajax Vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Eredivisie

Ajax

1 : 1 FT

Oct 10th

NEC Nijmegen
Prediction Odds Confidence
Home 1.31
LOST

Ajax: Matches Played 10

WLWWD
W

6 Wins

In last 10 games

L

2 Losses

In last 10 games

D

2 Draws

In last 10 games

NEC Nijmegen: Matches Played 10

WLDLD
W

1 Wins

In last 10 games

L

3 Losses

In last 10 games

D

6 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
45% 1.30
45% 5.50
10% 7.00

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
21 February 2026 • Eredivisie
D
Ajax
1 1
NEC Nijmegen
20 December 2025 • Eredivisie
D
NEC Nijmegen
2 2
Ajax
11 May 2025 • Eredivisie
L
Ajax
0 3
NEC Nijmegen
1 December 2024 • Eredivisie
W
NEC Nijmegen
1 2
Ajax
18 February 2024 • Eredivisie
D
Ajax
2 2
NEC Nijmegen
3 December 2023 • Eredivisie
W
NEC Nijmegen
1 2
Ajax
5 March 2023 • Eredivisie
W
Ajax
1 0
NEC Nijmegen
8 January 2023 • Eredivisie
D
NEC Nijmegen
1 1
Ajax
23 April 2022 • Eredivisie
W
NEC Nijmegen
0 1
Ajax
Last Matches (Ajax)
25 October 2026 • Eredivisie
W
Sparta Rotterdam
1 2
Ajax
22 October 2026 • UEFA Europa Conference League
W
Ajax
2 0
Atalanta
18 October 2026 • Eredivisie
W
Groningen
2 5
Ajax
15 October 2026 • UEFA Europa Conference League
L
HNK Hajduk Split
2 1
Ajax
10 October 2026 • Eredivisie
D
Ajax
1 1
NEC Nijmegen
19 September 2026 • Eredivisie
D
Ajax
2 2
Excelsior
15 September 2026 • Eredivisie
W
Ajax
5 1
Willem II
12 September 2026 • Eredivisie
W
Fortuna Sittard
1 5
Ajax
5 September 2026 • Eredivisie
L
Ajax
1 3
PSV Eindhoven
30 August 2026 • Eredivisie
W
Telstar
0 4
Ajax
Last Matches (NEC Nijmegen)
25 October 2026 • Eredivisie
D
NEC Nijmegen
2 2
Groningen
22 October 2026 • UEFA Europa League
W
Dinamo Zagreb
2 4
NEC Nijmegen
18 October 2026 • Eredivisie
D
NEC Nijmegen
2 2
Fortuna Sittard
15 October 2026 • UEFA Europa League
D
NEC Nijmegen
1 1
Levski Sofia
10 October 2026 • Eredivisie
D
Ajax
1 1
NEC Nijmegen
20 September 2026 • Eredivisie
D
NEC Nijmegen
1 1
GO Ahead Eagles
17 September 2026 • UEFA Europa League
L
Juventus
5 0
NEC Nijmegen
12 September 2026 • Eredivisie
L
Cambuur
3 0
NEC Nijmegen
8 September 2026 • Eredivisie
D
NEC Nijmegen
2 2
Excelsior
5 September 2026 • Eredivisie
L
NEC Nijmegen
1 3
Feyenoord

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Feyenoord
11 7 4 0 33-12 21 25
DDWWW
2
Ajax
11 7 3 1 30-13 17 24
WWWDD
3
PSV Eindhoven
11 7 2 2 35-13 22 23
WDLWL
4
Twente
10 6 2 2 19-10 9 20
WLDWW
5
AZ Alkmaar
11 6 2 3 20-13 7 20
LLDLW
6
Fortuna Sittard
11 5 4 2 18-18 0 19
DWDDW
7
Heerenveen
11 5 3 3 19-13 6 18
WWWLW
8
Groningen
10 4 3 3 24-21 3 15
DLWWD
9
GO Ahead Eagles
10 3 5 2 23-23 0 14
WLDDD
10
Cambuur
10 3 3 4 19-22 -3 12
WDWDW
11
Utrecht
10 3 3 4 17-27 -10 12
DWWLW
12
Excelsior
10 3 2 5 16-19 -3 11
LLLDL
13
NEC Nijmegen
11 2 5 4 17-19 -2 11
LDDDD
14
Sparta Rotterdam
10 2 3 5 17-24 -7 9
LWDLL
15
PEC Zwolle
10 2 2 6 11-23 -12 8
DWLLL
16
Telstar
10 1 3 6 12-21 -9 6
LLDLD
17
ADO Den Haag
10 1 3 6 13-23 -10 6
LWDDL
18
Willem II
11 0 2 9 10-39 -29 2
LLLLL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 4

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals98%2%
1.5 goals90.4%9.6%
2.5 goals75.3%24.7%
3.5 goals55.6%44.4%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Ajax

Advice: Combo Double chance : Ajax or draw and +1.5 goals

Expected goals: 4

Form 67% / 33%
Attack 71% / 29%
Defence 59% / 41%
Poisson 51% / 49%
Head-to-head 50% / 50%
Goals 44% / 56%
Overall 57% / 43%

Match Centre

1.86 expected_goals 1.11
405 Passes accurate 214
13 Shots insidebox 5
5 Shots outsidebox 3
5 Blocked Shots 2
13 Free Kicks 8
5 Shots on Goal 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
8 Shots off Goal 4
1 Offsides 5
485 Total passes 299
18 Total Shots 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
4 Corner Kicks 4
8 Fouls 13
0 Red Cards 0
61% Ball Possession 39%
7' ⚽ Home
17' 🟨 Home
19' ⚽ Away
33' 🟨 Away
54' 🟨 Away
60' 🔁 Home
60' 🔁 Home
67' 🟨 Home
72' 🔁 Away
73' 🔁 Away
73' 🔁 Home
73' 🔁 Home
80' 🔁 Home
82' 🔁 Away
82' 🔁 Away

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Ajax 6/6
NEC Nijmegen 6/6

Over 2.5

Ajax 4/6
NEC Nijmegen 3/6

Over 3.5

Ajax 2/6
NEC Nijmegen 3/6

BTTS (Yes)

Ajax 5/6
NEC Nijmegen 6/6

Goals By Time Period

Ajax

1
0-15
2
16-30
3
31-45
2
46-60
3
61-75
2
76+

NEC Nijmegen

1
0-15
3
16-30
1
31-45
2
46-60
2
61-75
2
76+

Average Event Minute

Ajax

First goal scored: 38' First goal conceded: 39' First card: 51'

NEC Nijmegen

First goal scored: 32' First goal conceded: 19' First card: 33'

Season Statistics

AjaxNEC Nijmegen
Form
WDWLWWD
LWWLDLD
Played77
Wins42
Draws22
Losses13
Goals for (avg)31.7
Goals against (avg)1.31.9
Clean sheets20
Failed to score01
Biggest win streak22

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Ajax

Total shots 19.2
Blocked 5
55% off target 45% on target
79% inside box 21% outside box
Total passes 583.3
Accurate passes 515.7 (45%)
Possession 60%

NEC Nijmegen

Total shots 17.3
Blocked 5.3
49% off target 51% on target
71% inside box 29% outside box
Total passes 428.5
Accurate passes 348.7 (13%)
Possession 52%

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Ajax

H · 31 Oct

AZ Alkmaar

4/5

A · 5 Nov

FC Midtjylland

Unrated

A · 8 Nov

Twente

4/5

H · 22 Nov

ADO Den Haag

1/5

H · 26 Nov

FC Thun

Unrated

A · 29 Nov

Feyenoord

5/5

H · 6 Dec

Utrecht

3/5

A · 10 Dec

St. Truiden

Unrated

NEC Nijmegen

A · 31 Oct

Heerenveen

4/5

H · 5 Nov

Omonia Nicosia

Unrated

A · 8 Nov

Utrecht

3/5

H · 21 Nov

PSV Eindhoven

5/5

H · 26 Nov

Rennes

Unrated

H · 29 Nov

Twente

4/5

A · 5 Dec

Sparta Rotterdam

2/5

A · 10 Dec

Ararat-Armenia

Unrated

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction & Tips

Ajax took on NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands Eredivisie. Ajax had won 4 and drawn 2 of their 7 league games this season, while NEC Nijmegen have 2 wins and 2 draws from 7.

Our model favoured Ajax as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 4, with both teams to score rated at 70.9%. The published tip for this match was Home at a 76% win probability.

V

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen FAQs

When did the match between Ajax and NEC Nijmegen take place? +
The match between Ajax and NEC Nijmegen took place on Sat, 10th Oct 2026 at 8:00 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
Netherlands Eredivisie
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
Ajax are 2nd on the table, while NEC Nijmegen are 13th.
How accurate was the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction & Match Preview

League: Netherlands : Eredivisie

Date: Sat, Oct 10th 2026

Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena,