Alaves Vs Atletico Madrid

Alaves Vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

La Liga

Alaves

1 : 2 FT

Oct 10th

Atletico Madrid

Prediction Odds Confidence

Under 3.5 1.34

WON

Alaves: Matches Played 10

WWLLD

2 Wins

In last 10 games

5 Losses

In last 10 games

3 Draws

In last 10 games

Atletico Madrid: Matches Played 10

WLWWW

8 Wins

In last 10 games

1 Losses

In last 10 games

1 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away

10% 4.20

45% 3.50

45% 1.75

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H

18 January 2026 • La Liga

Atletico Madrid

1 0

Alaves

30 August 2025 • La Liga

Alaves

1 1

Atletico Madrid

3 May 2025 • La Liga

Alaves

0 0

Atletico Madrid

23 November 2024 • La Liga

Atletico Madrid

2 1

Alaves

21 April 2024 • La Liga

Alaves

2 0

Atletico Madrid

29 October 2023 • La Liga

Atletico Madrid

2 1

Alaves

2 April 2022 • La Liga

Atletico Madrid

4 1

Alaves

25 September 2021 • La Liga

Alaves

1 0

Atletico Madrid

21 March 2021 • La Liga

Atletico Madrid

1 0

Alaves

Last Matches (Alaves)

31 October 2026 • La Liga

Barcelona

6 1

Alaves

23 October 2026 • La Liga

Alaves

1 1

Malaga

18 October 2026 • La Liga

Celta Vigo

2 1

Alaves

10 October 2026 • La Liga

Alaves

1 2

Atletico Madrid

19 September 2026 • La Liga

Athletic Club

0 0

Alaves

15 September 2026 • La Liga

Alaves

0 1

Valencia

12 September 2026 • La Liga

Racing Santander

2 1

Alaves

6 September 2026 • La Liga

Alaves

5 2

Osasuna

28 August 2026 • La Liga

Alaves

1 0

Villarreal

20 August 2026 • La Liga

Rayo Vallecano

1 1

Alaves

Last Matches (Atletico Madrid)

31 October 2026 • La Liga

Levante

0 2

Atletico Madrid

24 October 2026 • La Liga

Atletico Madrid

1 0

Deportivo La Coruna

20 October 2026 • UEFA Champions League

VfB Stuttgart

1 1

Atletico Madrid

17 October 2026 • La Liga

Espanyol

0 1

Atletico Madrid

13 October 2026 • UEFA Champions League

Atletico Madrid

2 0

Manchester United

10 October 2026 • La Liga

Alaves

1 2

Atletico Madrid

20 September 2026 • La Liga

Atletico Madrid

2 1

Real Madrid

16 September 2026 • La Liga

Atletico Madrid

4 0

Osasuna

13 September 2026 • La Liga

Real Sociedad

0 3

Atletico Madrid

9 September 2026 • UEFA Champions League

Liverpool

2 1

Atletico Madrid

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form

Barcelona

11 10 0 1 46-12 34 30

WLWWW

Atletico Madrid

11 9 1 1 22-8 14 28

WWWWW

Real Madrid

11 9 0 2 28-10 18 27

WWWWL

Real Betis

11 7 2 2 18-15 3 23

WDLWD

Real Sociedad

11 6 1 4 20-20 0 19

LWWWW

Sevilla

11 5 2 4 17-19 -2 17

LWLDL

Athletic Club

10 4 3 3 14-10 4 15

WWLDD

Deportivo La Coruna

11 3 5 3 15-14 1 14

WLDLD

Villarreal

11 3 3 5 15-15 0 12

LWDLW

Celta Vigo

11 2 6 3 10-10 0 12

LDWDW

Alaves

11 3 3 5 15-17 -2 12

LDLLD

Rayo Vallecano

10 3 3 4 15-20 -5 12

WLDDW

Getafe

11 3 3 5 8-16 -8 12

WLDLW

Espanyol

11 3 2 6 13-14 -1 11

WLLDL

Osasuna

11 3 2 6 11-22 -11 11

LLWLD

Racing Santander

11 3 2 6 15-29 -14 11

LWLDL

Elche

11 2 4 5 14-18 -4 10

LWDDW

Levante

11 2 4 5 16-21 -5 10

LLWDD

Valencia

11 2 3 6 8-17 -9 9

WLDDL

Malaga

11 0 5 6 8-21 -13 5

LDLDL

See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

Raphinha

Barcelona

10 15

Kylian Mbappé

Real Madrid

11 12

Lamine Yamal

Barcelona

11 10

M. Zabiri

Racing Santander

11 8

A. Budimir

Osasuna

11 8

Sergio Camello

Rayo Vallecano

11 7

Roberto Fernández

Espanyol

11 6

Fer Niño

Elche

11 6

Fermín

Barcelona

10 5

Álex Baena

Atletico Madrid

11 5

P. Aubameyang

Deportivo La Coruna

8 5

Brugui

Levante

10 5

Adrián Niño Heredia

Malaga

7 5

Marc Aguado

Elche

3 1

L. Boyé

Alaves

10 5

M. Díaz

Alaves

11 4

Mikel Rodriguez

Alaves

1 1

Aitor Paredes

Athletic Club

1 1

Kike Barja

Osasuna

2 1

E. Bardeli

Levante

3 1

Peque Fernández

Sevilla

1 1

J. Bellingham

Real Madrid

11 4

Iago Aspas

Celta Vigo

2 1

Buba Sangaré

Elche

3 1

Jon Guridi

Sevilla

1 1

Guevara

Alaves

1 0

L. Sučić

Real Sociedad

10 4

Álex Calatrava

Espanyol

2 1

Jon Ander Olasagasti

Levante

3 1

N. Tenaglia

Alaves

3 1

Andrés Martín

Racing Santander

1 1

Carles Aleñá

Alaves

1 0

Álex Berenguer

Athletic Club

11 4

G. Simeone

Atletico Madrid

11 3

Álvaro García

Rayo Vallecano

11 3

P. Gueye

Villarreal

8 3

Alberto Moleiro

Villarreal

7 2

Javier Hernandez

Espanyol

1 0

A. Freeman

Villarreal

1 0

L. Amatucci

Deportivo La Coruna

1 0

Lee Kang-In

Atletico Madrid

6 2

Jorge de Frutos

Rayo Vallecano

2 0

Álex Grimaldo

Atletico Madrid

10 4

Isaac

Sevilla

8 3

Oso

Sevilla

2 1

Pablo García

Real Betis

3 1

Vinícius Júnior

Real Madrid

5 1

K. Adeyemi

Barcelona

7 2

A. Güler

Real Madrid

4 1

N. Pépé

Villarreal

5 2

T. Dolan

Espanyol

2 1

Sergio Martínez

Racing Santander

0 1

Rafel Bauzà

Espanyol

1 0

G. Mikautadze

Villarreal

1 0

Robert Navarro

Athletic Club

4 2

Manu Bueno

Sevilla

1 0

Luismi Cruz

Deportivo La Coruna

4 1

Gonzalo Villar

Elche

1 0

J. David

Atletico Madrid

6 3

Rodrigo Riquelme

Real Betis

5 2

Iván Romero

Levante

10 3

A. Ezzalzouli

Real Betis

6 3

Gabriel Jesus

Barcelona

5 3

Y. Diomande

Real Madrid

11 3

C. Ejuke

Sevilla

3 1

E. Ünal

Getafe

2 1

Carlos Espí

Real Madrid

2 1

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.9

Line	Over	Under
0.5 goals	94.5%	5.5%
1.5 goals	78.5%	21.5%
2.5 goals	55.4%	44.6%
3.5 goals	33%	67%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Atletico Madrid

Advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid

Expected goals: 2.9

Form 37% / 63%

Attack 37% / 63%

Defence 50% / 50%

Poisson 61% / 39%

Head-to-head 38% / 62%

Goals 50% / 50%

Overall 45.5% / 54.5%

Match Centre

1.13 expected_goals 2.14

276 Passes accurate 642

5 Shots insidebox 11

3 Shots outsidebox 11

2 Blocked Shots 11

12 Free Kicks 10

3 Shots on Goal 7

5 Goalkeeper Saves 2

3 Shots off Goal 4

1 Offsides 2

340 Total passes 706

1 Red Cards 0

8 Total Shots 22

0 Yellow Cards 3

0 Corner Kicks 10

11 Fouls 14

32% Ball Possession 68%

33' ⚽ Away

45' 🟨 Away

45' ⚽ Home

45' 🔁 Away

57' 🔁 Away

61' 🟥 Home

62' 🔁 Away

64' 🔁 Home

71' 🔁 Home

73' 🔁 Away

79' 🔁 Home

87' ⚽ Away

90' 🟨 Away

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Alaves 4/6

Atletico Madrid 4/6

Over 2.5

Alaves 3/6

Atletico Madrid 1/6

Over 3.5

Alaves 1/6

Atletico Madrid 0/6

BTTS (Yes)

Alaves 4/6

Atletico Madrid 2/6

Goals By Time Period

Alaves

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Atletico Madrid

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Average Event Minute

Alaves

First goal scored: 76' First goal conceded: 43' First card: 39'

Atletico Madrid

First goal scored: 42' First goal conceded: 41' First card: 39'

Season Statistics

	Alaves	Atletico Madrid
Form	WDWWLLD	WDWLWWW
Played	7	7
Wins	3	5
Draws	2	1
Losses	2	1
Goals for (avg)	1.6	2.3
Goals against (avg)	0.9	1
Clean sheets	3	3
Failed to score	2	1
Biggest win streak	2	1

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Alaves

Total shots 11.7

Blocked 3.5

56% off target 44% on target

68% inside box 32% outside box

Total passes 353.5

Accurate passes 283.8 (26%)

Possession 41%

Atletico Madrid

Total shots 15.3

Blocked 4.3

57% off target 43% on target

48% inside box 52% outside box

Total passes 586.5

Accurate passes 518.2

Possession 59%

Trends

4 match streak · La Liga

Alaves have scored in each of their last 4 matches in La Liga.

4 match streak · La Liga

Alaves have conceded in each of their last 4 matches in La Liga.

4 match streak · La Liga

Both teams have scored in each of Alaves's last 4 matches in La Liga.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Alaves

A · 3 Nov

Anaitasuna

Unrated

A · 6 Nov

Sevilla

4/5

H · 22 Nov

Deportivo La Coruna

4/5

A · 29 Nov

Real Madrid

5/5

H · 6 Dec

Espanyol

2/5

A · 13 Dec

Levante

1/5

H · 20 Dec

Elche

2/5

A · 3 Jan

Real Betis

4/5

Atletico Madrid

H · 3 Nov

Bayern München

Unrated

H · 8 Nov

Barcelona

5/5

A · 22 Nov

Getafe

2/5

H · 25 Nov

Viking

Unrated

A · 29 Nov

Elche

2/5

H · 6 Dec

Real Betis

4/5

A · 9 Dec

PSV Eindhoven

Unrated

H · 13 Dec

Valencia

1/5

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Tips

Alaves took on Atletico Madrid in the Spain La Liga. Alaves had won 3 and drawn 2 of their 7 league games this season, while Atletico Madrid have 5 wins and 1 draws from 7.

Our model favoured Atletico Madrid as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.9, with both teams to score rated at 58.1%. The published tip for this match was Under 3.5 at a 75% win probability.

Published by

Pá Vick

Football Analyst & Predictor

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid FAQs

When did the match between Alaves and Atletico Madrid take place? +

The match between Alaves and Atletico Madrid took place on Sat, 10th Oct 2026 at 3:15 PM.

Which league is this match in? +

Spain La Liga

What is their ranking in the league table this season? +

Alaves are 11th on the table, while Atletico Madrid are 2nd.

How accurate was the prediction for this match? +

The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.

Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +

Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.

How often are predictions updated? +

Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Match Preview

League: Spain : La Liga

Date: Sat, Oct 10th 2026

Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza,