VictorsPredict

Middlesbrough Vs Cardiff

Middlesbrough Vs Cardiff Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Championship

Middlesbrough

2 : 2 FT

Oct 17th

Cardiff
Prediction Odds Confidence
Over 2.5 1.30
WON

Middlesbrough: Matches Played 10

WDDWW
W

6 Wins

In last 10 games

L

1 Losses

In last 10 games

D

3 Draws

In last 10 games

Cardiff: Matches Played 10

DLWLW
W

2 Wins

In last 10 games

L

5 Losses

In last 10 games

D

3 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
45% 1.50
45% 4.60
10% 5.00

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
4 January 2025 • Championship
D
Middlesbrough
1 1
Cardiff
31 August 2024 • Championship
W
Cardiff
0 2
Middlesbrough
27 April 2024 • Championship
W
Cardiff
1 4
Middlesbrough
3 October 2023 • Championship
W
Middlesbrough
2 0
Cardiff
11 February 2023 • Championship
W
Cardiff
1 3
Middlesbrough
13 September 2022 • Championship
L
Middlesbrough
2 3
Cardiff
27 April 2022 • Championship
W
Middlesbrough
2 0
Cardiff
23 October 2021 • Championship
W
Cardiff
0 2
Middlesbrough
27 February 2021 • Championship
D
Middlesbrough
1 1
Cardiff
24 October 2020 • Championship
D
Cardiff
1 1
Middlesbrough
Last Matches (Middlesbrough)
31 October 2026 • Championship
W
Middlesbrough
3 0
Charlton
23 October 2026 • Championship
W
Bolton
1 5
Middlesbrough
17 October 2026 • Championship
D
Middlesbrough
2 2
Cardiff
13 October 2026 • Championship
W
Stoke City
2 3
Middlesbrough
10 October 2026 • Championship
W
Middlesbrough
1 0
Wolves
19 September 2026 • Championship
D
Birmingham
2 2
Middlesbrough
15 September 2026 • Championship
D
Middlesbrough
2 2
Millwall
12 September 2026 • Championship
W
Middlesbrough
4 3
Norwich
8 September 2026 • League Cup
L
Crystal Palace
3 0
Middlesbrough
5 September 2026 • Championship
W
QPR
0 1
Middlesbrough
Last Matches (Cardiff)
13 October 2026 • Championship
W
Cardiff
5 1
Watford
10 October 2026 • Championship
L
Blackburn
2 1
Cardiff
19 September 2026 • Championship
W
Cardiff
3 1
Charlton
12 September 2026 • Championship
L
Bolton
1 0
Cardiff
8 September 2026 • Championship
D
Cardiff
1 1
Stoke City
5 September 2026 • Championship
L
Portsmouth
2 0
Cardiff
2 September 2026 • Championship
L
QPR
2 1
Cardiff
29 August 2026 • Championship
D
Cardiff
2 2
Sheffield Utd
25 August 2026 • League Cup
L
Cardiff
1 2
Norwich
22 August 2026 • Championship
D
Derby
2 2
Cardiff

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Middlesbrough
13 8 4 1 30-17 13 28
WWDWW
2
Swansea
13 8 2 3 20-13 7 26
WLLWW
3
Wolves
13 7 3 3 23-16 7 24
WWDWL
4
West Brom
13 7 3 3 19-14 5 24
WDWWL
5
Southampton
13 8 3 2 28-13 15 23
WWDWW
6
Birmingham
13 6 5 2 23-13 10 23
WLWWW
7
Stoke City
13 7 2 4 20-16 4 23
WDWLW
8
West Ham
13 6 4 3 33-18 15 22
LLWWD
9
QPR
13 5 5 3 21-16 5 20
LWLWD
10
Sheffield Utd
13 5 4 4 17-15 2 19
WDWLW
11
Portsmouth
13 5 4 4 16-15 1 19
DWDWW
12
Millwall
13 5 3 5 23-21 2 18
WLDLW
13
Blackburn
13 5 3 5 19-20 -1 18
LWLWW
14
Bristol City
13 5 3 5 15-17 -2 18
WDLLD
15
Norwich
13 5 0 8 23-24 -1 15
WWLLL
16
Lincoln
13 4 3 6 14-23 -9 15
LWDLL
17
Cardiff
13 3 5 5 19-20 -1 14
LWDWL
18
Wrexham
13 3 5 5 15-19 -4 14
LLWLD
19
Bolton
13 4 2 7 18-26 -8 14
LLDWL
20
Charlton
13 3 5 5 11-21 -10 14
LLLDD
21
Watford
13 3 2 8 12-23 -11 11
LLWLL
22
Burnley
13 1 6 6 17-25 -8 9
DLLDW
23
Derby
13 1 4 8 11-25 -14 7
LDLLD
24
Preston
13 1 2 10 10-27 -17 5
LDLLL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 3.2

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals96.1%3.9%
1.5 goals83.5%16.5%
2.5 goals63%37%
3.5 goals40.8%59.2%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Middlesbrough

Advice: Double chance : Middlesbrough or draw

Expected goals: 3.2

Form 61% / 39%
Attack 55% / 45%
Defence 40% / 60%
Poisson 76% / 24%
Head-to-head 93% / 7%
Goals 80% / 20%
Overall 67.5% / 32.5%

Match Centre

12 Shots on Goal 3
11 Shots off Goal 3
36 Total Shots 7
13 Blocked Shots 1
23 Shots insidebox 5
13 Shots outsidebox 2
9 Fouls 10
11 Corner Kicks 4
3 Offsides 4
57% Ball Possession 43%
0 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 8
492 Total passes 380
410 Passes accurate 307
83% Passes % 81%
2.76 expected_goals 0.85
0.40 goals_prevented 0.40
22' ⚽ Away
25' 🟨 Away
45' ⚽ Away
46' 🔁 Home
46' 🔁 Home
46' 🔁 Away
58' ⚽ Home
61' ⚽ Home
63' 🔁 Away
73' 🔁 Away
74' 🔁 Home
79' 🔁 Home
79' 🔁 Away
83' 🟥 Away
88' 🟨 Away
89' 🔁 Home

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Middlesbrough 5/6
Cardiff 5/6

Over 2.5

Middlesbrough 5/6
Cardiff 3/6

Over 3.5

Middlesbrough 4/6
Cardiff 2/6

BTTS (Yes)

Middlesbrough 4/6
Cardiff 4/6

Goals By Time Period

Middlesbrough

2
0-15
16-30
4
31-45
3
46-60
3
61-75
4
76+

Cardiff

2
0-15
1
16-30
3
31-45
1
46-60
2
61-75
1
76+

Average Event Minute

Middlesbrough

First goal scored: 39' First goal conceded: 43' First card: 33'

Cardiff

First goal scored: 34' First goal conceded: 48' First card: 42'

Season Statistics

MiddlesbroughCardiff
Form
WLWDWWDDWW
DDDLLDLWLW
Played1010
Wins62
Draws34
Losses14
Goals for (avg)21.6
Goals against (avg)1.41.5
Clean sheets20
Failed to score02
Biggest win streak21

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Middlesbrough

Total shots 22
Blocked 6.7
47% off target 53% on target
67% inside box 33% outside box
Total passes 497.5
Accurate passes 424.3 (57%)
Possession 58%

Cardiff

Total shots 19.8
Blocked 5.8
52% off target 48% on target
69% inside box 31% outside box
Total passes 497
Accurate passes 417.8 (57%)
Possession 62%

Trends

8 match streak · Championship

Middlesbrough are unbeaten in their last 8 matches in Championship.

8 match streak · Championship

Middlesbrough have scored in each of their last 8 matches in Championship.

4 match streak · Championship

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Middlesbrough's last 4 matches in Championship.

3 match streak · Championship

Cardiff have scored in each of their last 3 matches in Championship.

8 match streak · Championship

Cardiff have conceded in each of their last 8 matches in Championship.

3 match streak · Championship

Both teams have scored in each of Cardiff's last 3 matches in Championship.

3 match streak · Championship

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Cardiff's last 3 matches in Championship.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Middlesbrough

A · 4 Nov

Wrexham

2/5

A · 7 Nov

Watford

2/5

H · 21 Nov

Bristol City

3/5

H · 24 Nov

Swansea

5/5

A · 27 Nov

Southampton

4/5

H · 5 Dec

Derby

1/5

A · 8 Dec

West Ham

4/5

A · 12 Dec

Preston

1/5

Cardiff

A · 17 Oct

Middlesbrough

5/5

H · 24 Oct

Birmingham

4/5

A · 31 Oct

Wolves

5/5

H · 4 Nov

West Ham

4/5

H · 7 Nov

Burnley

1/5

A · 21 Nov

Norwich

3/5

H · 24 Nov

Preston

1/5

A · 29 Nov

Swansea

5/5

Middlesbrough vs Cardiff Prediction & Tips

Middlesbrough took on Cardiff in the England Championship. Middlesbrough had won 6 and drawn 3 of their 10 league games this season, while Cardiff have 2 wins and 4 draws from 10.

Our model favoured Middlesbrough as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 3.2, with both teams to score rated at 64.2%. The published tip for this match was Over 2.5 at a 77% win probability.

P

Published by

Pá Vick

Football Analyst & Predictor

Middlesbrough vs Cardiff FAQs

When did the match between Middlesbrough and Cardiff take place? +
The match between Middlesbrough and Cardiff took place on Sat, 17th Oct 2026 at 12:30 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
England Championship
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
Middlesbrough are 1st on the table, while Cardiff are 17th.
How accurate was the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Middlesbrough vs Cardiff Prediction & Match Preview

League: England : Championship

Date: Sat, Oct 17th 2026

Venue: Riverside Stadium,