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LeaguesHeerenveen Vs Excelsior
Heerenveen Vs Excelsior Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Eredivisie
7:00 PM
Oct 16th
ExcelsiorHeerenveen: Matches Played 10
4 Wins
In last 10 games
3 Losses
In last 10 games
3 Draws
In last 10 games
Excelsior: Matches Played 10
3 Wins
In last 10 games
5 Losses
In last 10 games
2 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
Excelsior
HeerenveenExcelsiorHeerenveenHeerenveenExcelsiorHeerenveenExcelsiorLast Matches (Heerenveen)
Excelsior Maassluis
ADO Den HaagHeerenveen
PSV Eindhoven
Sparta RotterdamHeerenveen
Heerenveen
Willem IIHeerenveen
AjaxLast Matches (Excelsior)
Fortuna SittardHeerenveenExcelsior
AjaxExcelsior
NEC NijmegenWillem IIExcelsiorExcelsior
CambuurLeague Table
FeyenoordAjaxPSV Eindhoven
TwenteAZ AlkmaarFortuna SittardHeerenveenGroningen
GO Ahead EaglesCambuurUtrechtExcelsiorNEC NijmegenSparta RotterdamPEC ZwolleTelstarADO Den HaagWillem IITop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 3.3
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 96.3% | 3.7% |
| 1.5 goals | 84.1% | 15.9% |
| 2.5 goals | 64% | 36% |
| 3.5 goals | 42% | 58% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
65.2%
No
34.8%
1X
59.4%
12
77%
X2
63.6%
1-1
10%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8%
2-2
6.8%
0-1
6.3%
1-0
5.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.8%
1 / 1
21.8%
1 / X
5.5%
1 / 2
3%
X / 1
11.9%
X / X
12.1%
X / 2
13%
2 / 1
2.7%
2 / X
5.5%
2 / 2
24.7%
Home -1.25
46.1%
odds 2.05
Away -1.25
53.9%
odds 1.75
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 9.5
53.6%
odds 1.73
Under 9.5
46.4%
odds 2.00
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Implied from Bet365 anytime-scorer odds (margin included, not devigged across players).
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Excelsior
Advice: Double chance : draw or Excelsior
Expected goals: 3.3
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Heerenveen
Excelsior
Average Event Minute
Heerenveen
Excelsior
Season Statistics
| Heerenveen | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | WDLDLDWL | WLWWDLDL |
| Played | 8 | 8 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.4 | 2 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 0 |
| Biggest win streak | 1 | 2 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.
Heerenveen
Excelsior
Trends
6 match streak · Eredivisie
Excelsior have conceded in each of their last 6 matches in Eredivisie.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Heerenveen
H · 31 Oct
NEC Nijmegen
2/5H · 8 Nov
Feyenoord
5/5A · 21 Nov
Groningen
3/5A · 29 Nov
Fortuna Sittard
4/5H · 6 Dec
Cambuur
3/5H · 12 Dec
GO Ahead Eagles
3/5A · 19 Dec
Utrecht
3/5A · 9 Jan
AZ Alkmaar
4/5Excelsior
A · 28 Oct
MVV
UnratedH · 1 Nov
Twente
4/5H · 7 Nov
GO Ahead Eagles
3/5A · 21 Nov
Feyenoord
5/5H · 28 Nov
Telstar
1/5A · 6 Dec
ADO Den Haag
1/5A · 12 Dec
PEC Zwolle
2/5H · 19 Dec
AZ Alkmaar
4/5Heerenveen vs Excelsior Prediction & Tips
Heerenveen takes on Excelsior in the Netherlands Eredivisie on Friday, 16 October 2026. Heerenveen have won 2 and drawn 3 of their 8 league games this season, while Excelsior have 3 wins and 2 draws from 8.
Our model favours Excelsior as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 3.3, with both teams to score rated at 65.2%. The published tip for this match is BTS at a 71% win probability.
Published by
Pá Vick
Football Analyst & Predictor
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Match Preview
Heerenveen vs Excelsior Prediction & Match Preview
League: Netherlands : Eredivisie
Date: Fri, Oct 16th 2026
Venue: Abe Lenstra Stadion,