VictorsPredict

Albirex Niigata Vs Sagan Tosu

Albirex Niigata Vs Sagan Tosu Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

J2 League

Albirex Niigata

2 : 1 FT

Oct 21st

Sagan Tosu
Prediction Odds Confidence
Under 3.5 1.21
WON

Albirex Niigata: Matches Played 10

WDWDL
W

5 Wins

In last 10 games

L

3 Losses

In last 10 games

D

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Sagan Tosu: Matches Played 10

LLLWW
W

4 Wins

In last 10 games

L

6 Losses

In last 10 games

D

0 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
45% 3.20
45% 3.00
10% 2.10

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
6 July 2024 • J1 League
L
Albirex Niigata
3 4
Sagan Tosu
24 February 2024 • J1 League
W
Sagan Tosu
1 2
Albirex Niigata
21 October 2023 • J1 League
D
Albirex Niigata
1 1
Sagan Tosu
20 May 2023 • J1 League
L
Sagan Tosu
2 0
Albirex Niigata
29 October 2017 • J1 League
W
Albirex Niigata
1 0
Sagan Tosu
8 April 2017 • J1 League
L
Sagan Tosu
3 0
Albirex Niigata
15 March 2017 • J-League Cup
D
Sagan Tosu
2 2
Albirex Niigata
27 August 2016 • J1 League
L
Sagan Tosu
1 0
Albirex Niigata
25 June 2016 • J1 League
W
Albirex Niigata
1 0
Sagan Tosu
Last Matches (Albirex Niigata)
21 October 2026 • J2 League
W
Albirex Niigata
2 1
Sagan Tosu
17 October 2026 • J2 League
L
Oita Trinita
5 1
Albirex Niigata
11 October 2026 • J2 League
D
Shonan Bellmare
1 1
Albirex Niigata
3 October 2026 • J2 League
W
Albirex Niigata
2 1
Tokushima Vortis
29 September 2026 • J-League Cup
L
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 0
Albirex Niigata
26 September 2026 • J2 League
D
Blaublitz Akita
2 2
Albirex Niigata
19 September 2026 • J2 League
W
Albirex Niigata
2 1
Jubilo Iwata
13 September 2026 • J2 League
W
Albirex Niigata
1 0
Montedio Yamagata
6 September 2026 • J2 League
L
Yokohama FC
5 0
Albirex Niigata
2 September 2026 • J-League Cup
W
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 2
Albirex Niigata
Last Matches (Sagan Tosu)
28 October 2026 • J-League Cup
L
Sagan Tosu
0 2
Kawasaki Frontale
25 October 2026 • J2 League
W
Sagan Tosu
2 0
Vanraure Hachinohe
21 October 2026 • J2 League
L
Albirex Niigata
2 1
Sagan Tosu
17 October 2026 • J2 League
W
Sagan Tosu
2 1
Omiya Ardija
14 October 2026 • J-League Cup
W
Sagan Tosu
2 1
Avispa Fukuoka
10 October 2026 • J2 League
W
Sagan Tosu
1 0
Fujieda MYFC
4 October 2026 • J2 League
L
Blaublitz Akita
1 0
Sagan Tosu
26 September 2026 • J2 League
L
Montedio Yamagata
2 0
Sagan Tosu
23 September 2026 • Emperor Cup
L
Vissel Kobe
1 0
Sagan Tosu
19 September 2026 • J2 League
L
Sagan Tosu
1 3
Iwaki

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Vegalta Sendai
12 8 3 1 21-9 12 27
WDWWW
2
Albirex Niigata
12 7 2 3 17-20 -3 23
WLDWD
3
Kataller Toyama
12 6 4 2 23-11 12 22
WDDWD
4
Yokohama FC
12 6 3 3 23-14 9 21
WDLWD
5
Omiya Ardija
12 5 5 2 21-14 7 20
LLWDW
6
Shonan Bellmare
12 4 7 1 13-11 2 19
DDDDW
7
Oita Trinita
12 4 6 2 16-9 7 18
DWWWD
8
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
12 4 5 3 17-16 1 17
WDDDW
9
Iwaki
12 5 1 6 19-18 1 16
DWWLL
10
Fujieda MYFC
12 3 6 3 15-13 2 15
DDLDD
11
Jubilo Iwata
12 4 3 5 13-14 -1 15
DDWLL
12
Sagan Tosu
12 4 2 6 12-15 -3 14
LWWLL
13
Tokushima Vortis
12 4 2 6 10-13 -3 14
LDLLW
14
Consadole Sapporo
12 4 2 6 15-19 -4 14
WWLWL
15
Vanraure Hachinohe
12 4 2 6 10-20 -10 14
WDLLW
16
Montedio Yamagata
12 4 1 7 11-11 0 13
LDLLW
17
Blaublitz Akita
12 3 4 5 13-14 -1 13
LLLWD
18
Tochigi City
12 3 3 6 19-20 -1 12
DDLLL
19
Imabari
12 3 2 7 15-25 -10 11
LDWWL
20
Ventforet Kofu
12 3 1 8 9-26 -17 10
LLWLL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.6

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals92.9%7.1%
1.5 goals74.2%25.8%
2.5 goals49.4%50.6%
3.5 goals27.5%72.5%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Albirex Niigata

Advice: Double chance : Albirex Niigata or draw

Expected goals: 2.6

Form 57% / 43%
Attack 67% / 33%
Defence 41% / 59%
Poisson 86% / 14%
Head-to-head 50% / 50%
Goals 47% / 53%
Overall 58% / 42%

Match Centre

11' 🟨 Away
24' ⚽ Home
46' 🔁 Away
46' 🔁 Away
51' 🟨 Home
63' 🔁 Away
63' 🔁 Away
71' 🔁 Home
75' 🔁 Away
77' 🔁 Home
77' 🔁 Home
80' ⚽ Home
83' ⚽ Away
89' 🔁 Home
89' 🔁 Home

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Albirex Niigata 5/6
Sagan Tosu 5/6

Over 2.5

Albirex Niigata 4/6
Sagan Tosu 3/6

Over 3.5

Albirex Niigata 2/6
Sagan Tosu 0/6

BTTS (Yes)

Albirex Niigata 5/6
Sagan Tosu 3/6

Goals By Time Period

Albirex Niigata

1
0-15
3
16-30
1
31-45
1
46-60
61-75
2
76+

Sagan Tosu

0-15
2
16-30
1
31-45
1
46-60
2
61-75
2
76+

Average Event Minute

Albirex Niigata

First goal scored: 30' First goal conceded: 44' First card: 56'

Sagan Tosu

First goal scored: 48' First goal conceded: 53' First card: 30'

Season Statistics

Albirex NiigataSagan Tosu
Form
LWWWLWWDWDL
WDLDWLLLLWW
Played1111
Wins64
Draws22
Losses35
Goals for (avg)1.41
Goals against (avg)1.71.2
Clean sheets24
Failed to score24
Biggest win streak31

Trends

4 match streak · J2 League

Albirex Niigata have scored in each of their last 4 matches in J2 League.

4 match streak · J2 League

Albirex Niigata have conceded in each of their last 4 matches in J2 League.

4 match streak · J2 League

Both teams have scored in each of Albirex Niigata's last 4 matches in J2 League.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Albirex Niigata

H · 25 Oct

Vegalta Sendai

5/5

H · 31 Oct

Kataller Toyama

5/5

A · 3 Nov

Ventforet Kofu

1/5

H · 7 Nov

Imabari

1/5

H · 14 Nov

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

4/5

A · 21 Nov

Tochigi City

1/5

A · 25 Nov

Vanraure Hachinohe

2/5

H · 29 Nov

Ventforet Kofu

1/5

Sagan Tosu

A · 31 Oct

Jubilo Iwata

3/5

A · 3 Nov

Shonan Bellmare

4/5

H · 7 Nov

Kataller Toyama

5/5

A · 15 Nov

Consadole Sapporo

2/5

H · 21 Nov

Vegalta Sendai

5/5

H · 25 Nov

Oita Trinita

4/5

A · 29 Nov

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

4/5

A · 5 Dec

Ventforet Kofu

1/5

Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu Prediction & Tips

Albirex Niigata took on Sagan Tosu in the Japan J2 League. Albirex Niigata had won 6 and drawn 2 of their 11 league games this season, while Sagan Tosu have 4 wins and 2 draws from 11.

Our model favoured Albirex Niigata as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.6, with both teams to score rated at 53.9%. The published tip for this match was Under 3.5 at a 83% win probability.

V

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu FAQs

When did the match between Albirex Niigata and Sagan Tosu take place? +
The match between Albirex Niigata and Sagan Tosu took place on Wed, 21st Oct 2026 at 11:00 AM.
Which league is this match in? +
Japan J2 League
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
Albirex Niigata are 2nd on the table, while Sagan Tosu are 12th.
How accurate was the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu Prediction & Match Preview

League: Japan : J2 League

Date: Wed, Oct 21st 2026

Venue: Denka Big Swan Stadium,