Albirex Niigata Vs Sagan Tosu
Albirex Niigata Vs Sagan Tosu Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
J2 League

2 : 1 FT
Oct 21st
Sagan TosuAlbirex Niigata: Matches Played 10
5 Wins
In last 10 games
3 Losses
In last 10 games
2 Draws
In last 10 games
Sagan Tosu: Matches Played 10
4 Wins
In last 10 games
6 Losses
In last 10 games
0 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
Albirex Niigata
Sagan Tosu
Albirex Niigata
Sagan Tosu
Albirex Niigata
Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu
Albirex Niigata
Last Matches (Albirex Niigata)
Albirex Niigata
Oita Trinita
Shonan Bellmare
Albirex Niigata
Matsumoto Yamaga
Blaublitz Akita
Albirex Niigata
Albirex Niigata
Yokohama FC
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Last Matches (Sagan Tosu)
Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu
Albirex Niigata
Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu
Blaublitz Akita
Montedio Yamagata
Vissel Kobe
Sagan Tosu
League Table
Vegalta Sendai
Albirex Niigata
Kataller Toyama
Yokohama FC
Omiya Ardija
Shonan Bellmare
Oita Trinita
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Iwaki
Fujieda MYFC
Jubilo Iwata
Sagan Tosu
Tokushima Vortis
Consadole Sapporo
Vanraure Hachinohe
Montedio Yamagata
Blaublitz Akita
Tochigi City
Imabari
Ventforet KofuTop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2.6
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 92.9% | 7.1% |
| 1.5 goals | 74.2% | 25.8% |
| 2.5 goals | 49.4% | 50.6% |
| 3.5 goals | 27.5% | 72.5% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
53.9%
No
46.1%
1X
61.9%
12
73.9%
X2
64.2%
1-1
12.4%
0-1
9.5%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
0-0
7.1%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
6%
1 / 1
20.8%
1 / X
5.2%
1 / 2
2.2%
X / 1
12.8%
X / X
15.7%
X / 2
13.5%
2 / 1
2.1%
2 / X
5.2%
2 / 2
22.4%
Home -1.25
13.6%
odds 7.00
Away -1.25
86.4%
odds 1.10
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 9.5
53.6%
odds 1.73
Under 9.5
46.4%
odds 2.00
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Albirex Niigata
Advice: Double chance : Albirex Niigata or draw
Expected goals: 2.6
Match Centre
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Albirex Niigata
Sagan Tosu
Average Event Minute
Albirex Niigata
Sagan Tosu
Season Statistics
| Albirex Niigata | Sagan Tosu | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | LWWWLWWDWDL | WDLDWLLLLWW |
| Played | 11 | 11 |
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.4 | 1 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 |
| Biggest win streak | 3 | 1 |
Trends
4 match streak · J2 League
Albirex Niigata have scored in each of their last 4 matches in J2 League.
4 match streak · J2 League
Albirex Niigata have conceded in each of their last 4 matches in J2 League.
4 match streak · J2 League
Both teams have scored in each of Albirex Niigata's last 4 matches in J2 League.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Albirex Niigata
H · 25 Oct
Vegalta Sendai
5/5H · 31 Oct
Kataller Toyama
5/5A · 3 Nov
Ventforet Kofu
1/5H · 7 Nov
Imabari
1/5H · 14 Nov
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
4/5A · 21 Nov
Tochigi City
1/5A · 25 Nov
Vanraure Hachinohe
2/5H · 29 Nov
Ventforet Kofu
1/5Sagan Tosu
A · 31 Oct
Jubilo Iwata
3/5A · 3 Nov
Shonan Bellmare
4/5H · 7 Nov
Kataller Toyama
5/5A · 15 Nov
Consadole Sapporo
2/5H · 21 Nov
Vegalta Sendai
5/5H · 25 Nov
Oita Trinita
4/5A · 29 Nov
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
4/5A · 5 Dec
Ventforet Kofu
1/5Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu Prediction & Tips
Albirex Niigata took on Sagan Tosu in the Japan J2 League. Albirex Niigata had won 6 and drawn 2 of their 11 league games this season, while Sagan Tosu have 4 wins and 2 draws from 11.
Our model favoured Albirex Niigata as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.6, with both teams to score rated at 53.9%. The published tip for this match was Under 3.5 at a 83% win probability.
Published by
Victor Moses
Football Analyst & Predictor
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Match Preview
Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu Prediction & Match Preview
League: Japan : J2 League
Date: Wed, Oct 21st 2026
Venue: Denka Big Swan Stadium,