Bahamas Vs US Virgin Islands
Bahamas Vs US Virgin Islands Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
CONCACAF Nations League

9:00 PM
Oct 4th
US Virgin IslandsBahamas: Matches Played 10
1 Wins
In last 10 games
9 Losses
In last 10 games
0 Draws
In last 10 games
US Virgin Islands: Matches Played 10
3 Wins
In last 10 games
6 Losses
In last 10 games
1 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
US Virgin Islands
Bahamas
US Virgin Islands
Last Matches (Bahamas)
US Virgin Islands
Bahamas
Cayman Islands
Bahamas
Bahamas
Bahamas
Bahamas
Grenada
Barbados
Bahamas
Last Matches (US Virgin Islands)
US Virgin Islands
US Virgin Islands
Saint Martin
Puerto Rico
US Virgin Islands
Grenada
Bahamas
US Virgin Islands
Barbados
US Virgin Islands
Top Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 4.8
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 98% | 2% |
| 1.5 goals | 94.3% | 5.7% |
| 2.5 goals | 85% | 15% |
| 3.5 goals | 70.2% | 29.8% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
68.6%
No
31.4%
1X
19.7%
12
87.9%
X2
90%
1-3
7.6%
1-4
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
0-3
6.1%
0-4
5.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-5
4.9%
2-3
4.8%
1 / 1
4.9%
1 / X
3%
1 / 2
4.7%
X / 1
2.9%
X / X
4.9%
X / 2
16.4%
2 / 1
1%
2 / X
3%
2 / 2
59.2%
Home -0.75
16.5%
odds 5.75
Away -0.75
83.5%
odds 1.14
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 8.5
51.5%
odds 1.80
Under 8.5
48.5%
odds 1.91
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: US Virgin Islands
Advice: Combo Winner : US Virgin Islands and +3.5 goals
Expected goals: 4.8
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Bahamas
US Virgin Islands
Average Event Minute
Bahamas
US Virgin Islands
Season Statistics
| Bahamas | US Virgin Islands | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | LL | WWL |
| Played | 2 | 3 |
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0.5 | 1.7 |
| Goals against (avg) | 5.5 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 |
| Biggest win streak | 0 | 2 |
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Bahamas
A · 6 Oct
Saint Martin
UnratedUS Virgin Islands
A · 4 Oct
Bahamas
UnratedBahamas vs US Virgin Islands Prediction & Tips
Bahamas takes on US Virgin Islands in the World CONCACAF Nations League on Sunday, 4 October 2026. Bahamas have won 0 and drawn 0 of their 2 league games this season, while US Virgin Islands have 2 wins and 0 draws from 3.
Our model favours US Virgin Islands as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 4.8, with both teams to score rated at 68.6%. The published tip for this match is Over 2.5 at a 77% win probability.
Published by
Goodluck Basil
Football Analyst & Predictor
Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands FAQs
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Match Preview
Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands Prediction & Match Preview
League: World : CONCACAF Nations League
Date: Sun, Oct 4th 2026
Venue: Bethlehem Soccer Stadium,