VictorsPredict

Bahamas Vs US Virgin Islands

Bahamas Vs US Virgin Islands Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

CONCACAF Nations League

Bahamas

9:00 PM

Oct 4th

US Virgin Islands
Prediction Odds Confidence
Over 2.5 1.30
77%

Bahamas: Matches Played 10

LL
W

1 Wins

In last 10 games

L

9 Losses

In last 10 games

D

0 Draws

In last 10 games

US Virgin Islands: Matches Played 10

WWL
W

3 Wins

In last 10 games

L

6 Losses

In last 10 games

D

1 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
10% 4.40
45% 4.00
45% 1.62

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
29 September 2026 • CONCACAF Nations League
L
US Virgin Islands
3 1
Bahamas
13 October 2024 • CONCACAF Nations League
W
Bahamas
3 1
US Virgin Islands
4 September 2024 • CONCACAF Nations League
D
US Virgin Islands
3 3
Bahamas
Last Matches (Bahamas)
29 September 2026 • CONCACAF Nations League
L
US Virgin Islands
3 1
Bahamas
23 September 2026 • CONCACAF Nations League
L
Bahamas
0 8
Saint Martin
30 March 2026 • CONCACAF Series
L
Cayman Islands
1 0
Bahamas
26 March 2026 • CONCACAF Series
L
Bahamas
1 3
Anguilla
15 November 2025 • CONCACAF Series
L
Bahamas
0 6
British Virgin Islands
12 November 2025 • CONCACAF Series
L
Bahamas
1 2
Anguilla
7 June 2025 • World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF
L
Bahamas
0 8
Costa Rica
4 June 2025 • World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF
L
Grenada
6 0
Bahamas
16 October 2024 • CONCACAF Nations League
L
Barbados
6 2
Bahamas
13 October 2024 • CONCACAF Nations League
W
Bahamas
3 1
US Virgin Islands
Last Matches (US Virgin Islands)
1 October 2026 • CONCACAF Nations League
L
US Virgin Islands
0 5
Saint Martin
29 September 2026 • CONCACAF Nations League
W
US Virgin Islands
3 1
Bahamas
26 September 2026 • CONCACAF Nations League
W
Saint Martin
0 2
US Virgin Islands
29 March 2026 • FIFA Series
L
Puerto Rico
2 0
US Virgin Islands
25 March 2026 • FIFA Series
W
US Virgin Islands
5 2
American Samoa
15 November 2025 • Friendlies
L
Grenada
4 1
US Virgin Islands
13 October 2024 • CONCACAF Nations League
L
Bahamas
3 1
US Virgin Islands
10 October 2024 • CONCACAF Nations League
L
US Virgin Islands
0 5
Barbados
10 September 2024 • CONCACAF Nations League
L
Barbados
3 0
US Virgin Islands
4 September 2024 • CONCACAF Nations League
D
US Virgin Islands
3 3
Bahamas

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form

No standings available yet.

See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 4.8

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals98%2%
1.5 goals94.3%5.7%
2.5 goals85%15%
3.5 goals70.2%29.8%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: US Virgin Islands

Advice: Combo Winner : US Virgin Islands and +3.5 goals

Expected goals: 4.8

Form 0% / 100%
Attack 17% / 83%
Defence 35% / 65%
Poisson 0% / 100%
Head-to-head 50% / 50%
Goals 50% / 50%
Overall 38% / 62%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Bahamas 5/6
US Virgin Islands 6/6

Over 2.5

Bahamas 5/6
US Virgin Islands 4/6

Over 3.5

Bahamas 4/6
US Virgin Islands 4/6

BTTS (Yes)

Bahamas 3/6
US Virgin Islands 3/6

Goals By Time Period

Bahamas

0-15
1
16-30
31-45
1
46-60
61-75
76+

US Virgin Islands

0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76+

Average Event Minute

Bahamas

First goal scored: 40' First goal conceded: 30' First card: —

US Virgin Islands

First goal scored: — First goal conceded: — First card: —

Season Statistics

BahamasUS Virgin Islands
Form
LL
WWL
Played23
Wins02
Draws00
Losses21
Goals for (avg)0.51.7
Goals against (avg)5.52
Clean sheets01
Failed to score11
Biggest win streak02

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Bahamas

A · 6 Oct

Saint Martin

Unrated

US Virgin Islands

A · 4 Oct

Bahamas

Unrated

Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands Prediction & Tips

Bahamas takes on US Virgin Islands in the World CONCACAF Nations League on Sunday, 4 October 2026. Bahamas have won 0 and drawn 0 of their 2 league games this season, while US Virgin Islands have 2 wins and 0 draws from 3.

Our model favours US Virgin Islands as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 4.8, with both teams to score rated at 68.6%. The published tip for this match is Over 2.5 at a 77% win probability.

G

Published by

Goodluck Basil

Football Analyst & Predictor

Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands FAQs

When is the match between Bahamas and US Virgin Islands? +
The match between Bahamas and US Virgin Islands is scheduled for Sun, 4th Oct 2026 at 9:00 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
World CONCACAF Nations League
How accurate is the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match is based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Is the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands Prediction & Match Preview

League: World : CONCACAF Nations League

Date: Sun, Oct 4th 2026

Venue: Bethlehem Soccer Stadium,