VictorsPredict

Alverca Vs Arouca

Alverca Vs Arouca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Primeira Liga

Alverca

0 : 1 FT

Oct 24th

Arouca
Prediction Odds Confidence
1X 1.34
LOST

Alverca: Matches Played 10

DLWWW
W

4 Wins

In last 10 games

L

4 Losses

In last 10 games

D

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Arouca: Matches Played 10

WDLDW
W

6 Wins

In last 10 games

L

2 Losses

In last 10 games

D

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
45% 2.15
45% 3.10
10% 3.30

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
24 April 2026 • Primeira Liga
W
Alverca
2 1
Arouca
14 December 2025 • Primeira Liga
L
Arouca
1 0
Alverca
Last Matches (Alverca)
12 October 2026 • Primeira Liga
W
Famalicao
1 4
Alverca
19 September 2026 • Primeira Liga
W
Alverca
1 0
Rio Ave
12 September 2026 • Primeira Liga
W
Nacional
1 3
Alverca
5 September 2026 • Primeira Liga
L
Alverca
1 2
SC Braga
29 August 2026 • Primeira Liga
D
Alverca
1 1
Santa Clara
22 August 2026 • Primeira Liga
L
Sporting CP
3 1
Alverca
15 August 2026 • Primeira Liga
D
Alverca
2 2
Estrela
9 August 2026 • Primeira Liga
L
FC Porto
2 0
Alverca
1 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
W
Alverca
1 0
Sporting CP B
25 July 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
L
Mafra
1 0
Alverca
Last Matches (Arouca)
24 October 2026 • Primeira Liga
W
Alverca
0 1
Arouca
11 October 2026 • Primeira Liga
W
Arouca
1 0
Estrela
19 September 2026 • Primeira Liga
D
Sporting CP
2 2
Arouca
13 September 2026 • Primeira Liga
L
Arouca
1 2
Santa Clara
7 September 2026 • Primeira Liga
D
Estoril
0 0
Arouca
29 August 2026 • Primeira Liga
W
Arouca
2 1
Maritimo
23 August 2026 • Primeira Liga
L
FC Porto
2 0
Arouca
16 August 2026 • Primeira Liga
W
Arouca
4 0
Moreirense
8 August 2026 • Primeira Liga
W
Vitória SC
0 1
Arouca
1 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
W
Lusitânia Lourosa
0 2
Arouca

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
FC Porto
10 10 0 0 25-4 21 30
WWWWW
2
Benfica
9 7 1 1 26-8 18 22
WWLWW
3
Sporting CP
10 6 3 1 23-11 12 21
WLWDD
4
Santa Clara
10 6 3 1 15-6 9 21
WLWDW
5
Arouca
10 6 2 2 13-7 6 20
WWWDL
6
Academico Viseu
10 6 2 2 15-12 3 20
WWWWW
7
GIL Vicente
9 4 2 3 8-7 1 14
LWWDL
8
SC Braga
10 4 2 4 12-11 1 14
WLLLD
9
Moreirense
10 4 2 4 13-17 -4 14
WWLDW
10
Alverca
9 3 2 4 13-13 0 11
LWWWL
11
Famalicao
10 2 4 4 14-14 0 10
LWLWD
12
Estrela
10 2 4 4 15-19 -4 10
LLLLD
13
Vitória SC
9 2 2 5 10-10 0 8
WLDLD
14
Maritimo
10 2 2 6 9-21 -12 8
LLLDL
15
Nacional
10 2 1 7 10-19 -9 7
LWLLL
16
Rio Ave
10 2 1 7 9-23 -14 7
LLWLD
17
Casa Pia
10 2 1 7 5-19 -14 7
LWLWL
18
Estoril
10 0 2 8 5-19 -14 2
LLLLL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.7

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals93.3%6.7%
1.5 goals75.1%24.9%
2.5 goals50.6%49.4%
3.5 goals28.6%71.4%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Alverca

Advice: Double chance : Alverca or draw

Expected goals: 2.7

Form 56% / 44%
Attack 63% / 38%
Defence 50% / 50%
Poisson 60% / 40%
Head-to-head 50% / 50%
Goals 50% / 50%
Overall 54.8% / 45.3%

Match Centre

0.39 expected_goals 2.04
223 Passes accurate 643
5 Shots insidebox 7
5 Shots outsidebox 10
4 Blocked Shots 4
14 Free Kicks 9
1 Shots on Goal 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
5 Shots off Goal 9
1 Offsides 0
280 Total passes 710
2 Red Cards 1
10 Total Shots 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
3 Corner Kicks 3
9 Fouls 14
29% Ball Possession 71%
6' 🟥 Home
9' 🔁 Home
19' 🟨 Away
24' ⚽ Away
45' 🔁 Home
54' 🟨 Away
61' 🔁 Away
62' 🔁 Home
67' 🔁 Away
67' 🔁 Away
71' 🟨 Home
75' 🔁 Home
75' 🔁 Home
79' 🔁 Away
79' 🔁 Away
90' 🟥 Home
90' 🟥 Away
90' 🟨 Home

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Alverca 5/6
Arouca 3/6

Over 2.5

Alverca 4/6
Arouca 3/6

Over 3.5

Alverca 3/6
Arouca 1/6

BTTS (Yes)

Alverca 5/6
Arouca 3/6

Goals By Time Period

Alverca

2
0-15
1
16-30
3
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
3
76+

Arouca

1
0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
2
46-60
61-75
2
76+

Average Event Minute

Alverca

First goal scored: 39' First goal conceded: 52' First card: 49'

Arouca

First goal scored: 40' First goal conceded: 17' First card: 53'

Season Statistics

AlvercaArouca
Form
LDLDLWWW
WWLWDLDW
Played88
Wins34
Draws22
Losses32
Goals for (avg)1.61.4
Goals against (avg)1.50.9
Clean sheets14
Failed to score12
Biggest win streak02

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Alverca

Total shots 11.3
Blocked 2.3
56% off target 44% on target
63% inside box 37% outside box
Total passes 347.3
Accurate passes 275.3 (52%)
Possession 41%

Arouca

Total shots 13
Blocked 2.3
61% off target 39% on target
52% inside box 48% outside box
Total passes 492
Accurate passes 424.5 (43%)
Possession 54%

Trends

3 match streak · Primeira Liga

Alverca are unbeaten in their last 3 matches in Primeira Liga.

3 match streak · Primeira Liga

Alverca have won 3 consecutive matches in Primeira Liga.

7 match streak · Primeira Liga

Alverca have scored in each of their last 7 matches in Primeira Liga.

3 match streak · Primeira Liga

Arouca are unbeaten in their last 3 matches in Primeira Liga.

4 match streak · Primeira Liga

Arouca have scored in each of their last 4 matches in Primeira Liga.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Alverca

A · 18 Oct

Tondela

Unrated

H · 24 Oct

Arouca

4/5

A · 2 Nov

Benfica

5/5

H · 7 Nov

Casa Pia

1/5

A · 28 Nov

Academico Viseu

4/5

H · 6 Dec

Moreirense

3/5

A · 13 Dec

Vitória SC

2/5

H · 20 Dec

GIL Vicente

4/5

Arouca

H · 1 Nov

Nacional

2/5

A · 6 Nov

Famalicao

3/5

A · 21 Nov

Mafra

Unrated

H · 28 Nov

Rio Ave

1/5

A · 6 Dec

SC Braga

3/5

A · 13 Dec

Academico Viseu

4/5

H · 20 Dec

Casa Pia

1/5

A · 27 Dec

GIL Vicente

4/5

Alverca vs Arouca Prediction & Tips

Alverca took on Arouca in the Portugal Primeira Liga. Alverca had won 3 and drawn 2 of their 8 league games this season, while Arouca have 4 wins and 2 draws from 8.

Our model favoured Alverca as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.7, with both teams to score rated at 54.6%. The published tip for this match was 1X at a 75% win probability.

P

Published by

Pá Vick

Football Analyst & Predictor

Alverca vs Arouca FAQs

When did the match between Alverca and Arouca take place? +
The match between Alverca and Arouca took place on Sat, 24th Oct 2026 at 6:00 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
Portugal Primeira Liga
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
Alverca are 10th on the table, while Arouca are 5th.
How accurate was the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Alverca vs Arouca Prediction & Match Preview

League: Portugal : Primeira Liga

Date: Sat, Oct 24th 2026

Venue: Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca,